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College Basketball

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

College Basketball

Kennesaw State beat the Hilltoppers three times in 2025-26, the last in the CUSA tournament. Western Kentucky covered better as underdogs, 7 of 11, than as favorites, 8 of 19.

Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State won 81-65 at Western Kentucky on 17 January with the Hilltoppers at -395, 72-69 at home eleven days later, and 96-87 in the CUSA quarterfinal with Western Kentucky favored by 1.5. One cover in the three, and three units lost.

Better with points

As underdogs Western Kentucky covered 7 of 11 and won 3; as favorites they covered 8 of 19 while winning 13. Neither side of the moneyline paid: 3 units lost on the 10 priced underdog games and 1.1 on the 19 as favorite. The best of the underdog wins was 94-73 at Liberty on 21 February at +270.

The Hilltoppers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 12 (75.0%)covered 7 of 14 (50.0%)Away (12)won 5 (41.7%)covered 5 of 12 (41.7%)Favorite (19)won 13 (68.4%)covered 8 of 19 (42.1%)Underdog (11)won 3 (27.3%)covered 7 of 11 (63.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

At the Battle 4 Atlantis in November they covered all three: 83-78 against Vanderbilt getting 18.5, 97-91 against South Florida, and a 75-70 win over Wichita State.

February, then March

February was the best month: 6-1 and 3.96 units, inside a six-game winning run. March was the worst: three games, three defeats, each as a small favorite, at Missouri State, at Florida International and against Kennesaw State. Those three lost 3 units and ended the season.

The Hilltoppers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 82-702025-11-10 at Eastern Kentucky Colonels 87-792025-11-16 v Tennessee State Tigers 95-822025-11-18 v Bethel (TN) Wildcats 97-672025-11-26 v Vanderbilt Commodores 78-832025-11-27 v South Florida Bulls 91-972025-11-28 v Wichita State Shockers 75-702025-12-06 v Evansville Purple Aces 80-792025-12-10 at Marshall Thundering Herd 61-772025-12-15 v Campbellsville Tigers 102-592025-12-19 v Tulsa Golden Hurricane 81-822025-12-29 at Jacksonville State Gamecocks 67-782026-01-02 v Sam Houston Bearkats 102-912026-01-04 v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 66-612026-01-08 at New Mexico State Aggies 64-802026-01-10 at UTEP Miners 68-562026-01-14 v Missouri State Bears 87-722026-01-17 v Kennesaw State Owls 65-812026-01-21 v Liberty Flames 69-762026-01-24 at Sam Houston Bearkats 58-732026-01-28 at Kennesaw State Owls 69-722026-01-31 at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 65-602026-02-05 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 66-712026-02-07 v Florida International Panthers 80-702026-02-14 v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 82-802026-02-18 at Delaware Blue Hens 88-872026-02-21 at Liberty Flames 94-732026-02-26 v New Mexico State Aggies 93-702026-02-28 v UTEP Miners 97-652026-03-05 at Missouri State Bears 74-872026-03-07 at Florida International Panthers 67-922026-03-12 v Kennesaw State Owls 87-96Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
18-14 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season

Straight up 18-14: 12-4 at home, 5-7 away. Against the spread 15-15 exactly: 7 of 14 covered at home, 5 of 12 away, and 3 of 4 at neutral sites. Over the 29 priced games the moneyline lost 4.1 units.

One unit on the Hilltoppers to win, every game0-6-4-2-4.10 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Middle Tennessee lost both meetings, the first 65-60 at Middle Tennessee at +230, and Jacksonville State won both of theirs.

The total

Western Kentucky’s games split 15 overs to 14 unders, with the Hilltoppers scoring 79.28 a game and allowing 76.12.

Questions and answers

How did Western Kentucky do against Kennesaw State in 2025-26?

Three losses in three, one cover, the last 96-87 in the CUSA quarterfinal.

Did the Hilltoppers cover more as underdogs or favorites?

As underdogs: 7 of 11, against 8 of 19 as favorites.

How did Western Kentucky finish the season?

With three straight defeats in March, all as favorites, after a 6-1 February.

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