Liberty Flames

The Flames won 17 games in a row and finished 25-7 in 2025-26, but covered only 12 of their 29 lined games. Our Liberty predictions are above; the distance between those two records is below.

Seventeen straight, eight covers

Liberty’s run began on 16 December and ended on 21 February with a 73-94 home loss to Western Kentucky at -340. Sixteen of the 17 wins carried a spread, and the Flames covered eight.

February was the narrowest stretch: six wins, two losses and one cover in eight. Three home wins came by three points or fewer while laying 8.5 or more: 73-71 over New Mexico State in January, then 79-76 over Missouri State and 90-89 over Florida International in February.

Laying points

Liberty was favored 27 times and an underdog twice; only seven teams were underdogs less often. As favorites the Flames covered 11 of 27. Across all 29 lined games the 12 covers left only 51 Division I teams with a lower rate, and six level with it.

The moneyline paid anyway

A unit on Liberty in each of 28 priced games made 4.74, a figure only 49 teams beat. January, nine wins in nine, made 3.91. The single biggest return was 64-61 at Dayton in December as a 9.5-point underdog, +425.

March and the total

Missouri State ended the CUSA run in the quarterfinal, 77-69. In the NIT the Flames beat George Mason and lost to Nevada in the second round. The over landed 17 times in 29 priced games, a share 39 teams topped and five equalled.

Questions and answers