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Mercer Bears

College Basketball

The Bears beat the spread 19 times in 29 during 2025-26; 13 Division I teams beat it more often. Backing them to win over 28 priced games still lost 6.62 units, almost all of it on the road.

Covers without profit

Mercer finished 2025-26 with 19 covers and 10 misses, 65.5%. That placed them behind 13 Division I teams, tied with one. At home the Bears covered 9 of 12, 75%, a rate seven teams beat and four matched; away they covered 10 of 16, and in the one neutral-site game, none.

The Bears 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Tennessee Volunteers 61-762025-11-05 v LaGrange Panthers 101-622025-11-09 v Lipscomb Bisons 92-772025-11-15 at Winthrop Eagles 69-1052025-11-22 at Eastern Kentucky Colonels 95-832025-11-26 v App State Mountaineers 75-672025-11-29 at Elon Phoenix 91-842025-12-02 v Georgia State Panthers 78-672025-12-07 v Oglethorpe Stormy Petrels 100-502025-12-13 at Clemson Tigers 63-702025-12-17 at UCF Knights 63-812025-12-20 at Washington State Cougars 78-842025-12-28 v Baptist (Fl) Eagles 122-492025-12-31 at Furman Paladins 72-742026-01-03 at East Tennessee State Buccaneers 71-772026-01-07 v The Citadel Bulldogs 101-632026-01-10 v Wofford Terriers 109-972026-01-15 at VMI Keydets 77-672026-01-17 at UNC Greensboro Spartans 102-922026-01-21 v Western Carolina Catamounts 88-762026-01-24 at Wofford Terriers 77-802026-01-29 v UNC Greensboro Spartans 95-772026-01-31 v VMI Keydets 95-812026-02-05 at Chattanooga Mocs 75-792026-02-07 at Samford Bulldogs 49-692026-02-11 v Furman Paladins 69-642026-02-14 at The Citadel Bulldogs 70-542026-02-19 v Chattanooga Mocs 90-942026-02-21 v Samford Bulldogs 89-862026-02-25 at Western Carolina Catamounts 74-782026-02-28 v East Tennessee State Buccaneers 82-762026-03-07 v Western Carolina Catamounts 73-77Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
19-13 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline told another story. Backing Mercer to win in every one of the 28 priced games cost 6.62 units. At home, where they went 14-1, it made 2.97 over 12 games. On the road, 5-11, it lost 8.59 over 15, more than all but 34 teams lost away, one losing the same.

The Bears at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 14 (93.3%)covered 9 of 12 (75.0%)Away (16)won 5 (31.2%)covered 10 of 16 (62.5%)Favorite (20)won 14 (70.0%)covered 12 of 20 (60.0%)Underdog (9)won 2 (22.2%)covered 7 of 9 (77.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Points without wins

As underdogs the Bears covered 7 of 9 lined games, a rate 12 teams beat and two matched, yet won only two of them. Their one priced underdog win was 95-83 at Eastern Kentucky at +170, and the underdog moneyline finished 5.30 units down over eight games. As favorites they went 14-6, covered 12 of 20, and lost 1.32 units.

One unit on the Bears to win, every game0-6-4-2-6.62 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 28 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Southern Conference opponents

Chattanooga beat Mercer twice as the underdog, both by four points: 79-75 with Mercer at -205 on the road, then 94-90 on Mercer’s floor at -625, the shortest price the Bears lost at all season. Western Carolina won two of three meetings, the last in the Southern Conference tournament quarterfinal. East Tennessee State and Furman each split with Mercer, who covered all four games.

The Bears against the teams they played mostWestern Carolina Catamounts1-2, covered 1Chattanooga Mocs0-2, covered 0East Tennessee State Buccaneers1-1, covered 2Furman Paladins1-1, covered 2Samford Bulldogs1-1, covered 0The Citadel Bulldogs2-0, covered 2UNC Greensboro Spartans2-0, covered 2VMI Keydets2-0, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Fifteen unders, 14 overs, one game apart, with no lean either way. Mercer scored 82.69 points a game, a figure only 41 Division I teams topped, and allowed 75.50.

Questions and answers

How often did Mercer cover the spread in 2025-26?

The Bears covered 19 of 29 lined games, 65.5%.

What did the Mercer moneyline return in 2025-26?

A 6.62-unit loss across 28 priced games; the road alone lost 8.59.

How did Mercer do against Chattanooga?

Lost both meetings as favorites and failed to cover either.

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