Ul Monroe Warhawks

The Warhawks won 4 of 32 games in 2025-26 and still covered 17 of 29 spreads; 55 Division I teams covered more often. Twenty of their 29 totals went over, an over rate behind only three teams.

Losing, covering

UL Monroe went 4-28, a win rate three Division I teams fell below. Against the spread it went 17-12. The covers came from losing by less than big numbers: 86-65 at Ole Miss getting 37.5, 104-79 at Miami getting 35.5, 94-85 at Kansas State getting 32.5, none of them with a posted moneyline. Troy beat ULM twice and failed to cover either: 77-76 and 80-65 against lines of 17.5 and 18.5.

February went 1-8 straight up with six covers in nine, and on the moneyline the month finished exactly level, the eight defeats cancelled by one upset.

The moneyline

Backing ULM to win in all 25 priced games cost 14.82 units, a deficit only 12 Division I teams exceeded. At home it was worse: 11 priced home games cost 9.82, and three teams lost more there. The one underdog win paid most of what came back: 85-79 at Old Dominion on 4 February at +800, worth 8 units. Thirteen straight defeats came before it, from 13 December to 1 February.

The over

ULM totals went over 20 times and under nine, 69.0%; on that rate three teams in Division I ranked higher and one sat level. Eight straight ULM games went over from 7 December to 8 January. The Warhawks allowed 83.91 points a game; six teams allowed more.

Opponents

Arkansas State won both meetings, by 33 and by 8, the second by less than the 15.5 points ULM was getting. Texas State also won twice, and ULM covered both. Old Dominion ended the season, 87-80 in the first round of the Sun Belt tournament, with ULM covering at +9.5.

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