Flyers vs Blue Jackets Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

Bet the Flyers to win in Columbus. Our number makes Philadelphia a 53.7% winner, and the price gives them 43.7%.

The Philadelphia Flyers are +120 and the Columbus Blue Jackets -142 at DraftKings. With the margin out, that is 43.7% for Philadelphia and 56.3% for Columbus. The price has the home team as a clear favourite. Our number has the visitors ahead by a few points, and the 10.0-point gap between the two is the whole argument.

How 53.7% is reached

Our home win chance is the average of two 2025-26 rates: the home team’s win rate in its own arena and the visitor’s loss rate on the road. Overtime and shootout wins count as wins. Neutral-site games are left out of both.

The Blue Jackets went 20-13-8 at Nationwide Arena, a 48.8% home win rate. The Flyers went 23-14-4 on the road, a 43.9% road loss rate. Averaged, Columbus is 46.3% and Philadelphia 53.7%. That is 10.0 points better for the Flyers than the price.

The margin is the extra a book builds into both prices so the pair comes to more than 100%. At -142 and +120 they come to 104.1%. Taken out, the Blue Jackets are 56.3% and the Flyers 43.7%.

One rule sits on top of the gap. We never bet a side the market gives less than 40%, because the method has no adjustment for the strength of the opponent, and on underdogs its number has run above what the teams then did. At 43.7%, Philadelphia clears that floor.

Every input is from 2025-26. This season is not in the figures, and neither team has started well. The Flyers are 5-10-6, 2-6-3 on the road, and lost 3-2 in overtime at Edmonton on Wednesday 11 November. Dan Vladar has played 11 of their games and Joseph Woll 10. The Blue Jackets are 7-10-0, 6-5-0 at home, and lost 3-1 to Tampa Bay on Thursday 12 November. Jet Greaves has played 10 of their games and Cam Talbot 9.

Columbus at home, Philadelphia on the road

Over the full season the Blue Jackets at home scored 3.29 a game and allowed 3.07, a surplus of 0.22. The Flyers on the road scored 3.39 and allowed 3.17, also a surplus of 0.22. The two halves the method uses are level on goals, and Philadelphia’s road record is the better of the two.

The halves the method leaves out run the other way for Philadelphia. The Flyers at home went 20-13-8, a 48.8% win rate, scoring 2.71 and allowing 2.76. Columbus on the road went 20-17-4, also 48.8%, scoring 2.88 and allowing 3.10. Philadelphia scored more and won more away from its own arena, and that is the half our number is built on.

The season around it

Philadelphia finished 43-27-12 with 98 points and outscored opponents by 7. They beat Pittsburgh 4-2 in the playoffs, then lost 4-0 to Carolina. Columbus finished 40-30-12 with 92 points, a goal difference of 0, and missed the playoffs.

The Flyers were 17-5-12 in one-goal games and won 16 of the 28 that went past regulation. The Blue Jackets were 18-13-12 in one-goal games and won 12 of their 24 past 60 minutes. Philadelphia won by two goals or more 26 times and lost by two or more 22 times; Columbus won by two or more 22 times and lost by two or more 17 times.

Columbus won the three games between these teams in 2025-26. The 5-3 win on Wednesday 28 January was in Columbus, so it sits inside both halves of our number. The 2-1 shootout win on Saturday 14 March and the 3-2 win on Tuesday 24 March were both in Philadelphia, and neither is in our number.

Pick: Flyers +120

Bet the Flyers on the moneyline at +120. The gap is 10.0 points toward Philadelphia, against a threshold of 5.

The line read Flyers +120 and Blue Jackets -142 on 13 November 2026 at 16:33 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN. It opened at the same prices, +120 and -142, and has not moved.

What kills the bet

A shorter Philadelphia price. At +106 or longer the Flyers are a bet whatever Columbus is priced at; against Columbus at -142, they stay a bet down to -126. A drift the other way has a limit too: once the market’s chance for the Flyers falls under 40%, a price of about +150 or longer, the long-shot rule makes them no bet however wide the gap.

For Columbus to become the bet, they would have to be +142 or longer. Against the current Flyers price that never happens, because at that number the Blue Jackets would sit under 40% and the same rule applies.

The rest is on the ice. Both teams’ starts to this season are poor, and none of it is in our number. ESPN’s injury list has Noel Acciari day-to-day with an upper-body injury and Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve with a back injury for Philadelphia. Columbus lists Sean Monahan as day-to-day with an upper-body injury. Check the lineups before you bet.

The total and the puck line

The total is 5.5, over -130 and under +110. The Blue Jackets’ games went over 5.5 in 48 of 82, the Flyers’ in 44 of 82. Columbus’s home games averaged 6.36 goals, Philadelphia’s road games 6.56.

That is 58.5% and 53.7%, an average of 56.1% for the over. With the margin removed the over is priced at 54.3% and the under at 45.7%, so our number leans to the over by 1.8 points. Pass on the total.

On the puck line, Columbus is -1.5 at +170 and Philadelphia +1.5 at -205, which is 35.5% and 64.5% without the margin. Over the full season the Blue Jackets won by two goals or more in 22 of 82 games, and the Flyers lost by two or more in 22 of 82. On that, Blue Jackets -1.5 lands 26.8% of the time against 35.5% priced, a gap of 8.7 points toward Flyers +1.5 at -205. Our method stakes the moneyline only, so this is a lean on the same side. One bet on this game: the Flyers at +120.

Flyers at Blue Jackets, Saturday 14 November, 7:00 PM ET, Nationwide Arena. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 13 November 2026, 16:33 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025-26 regular season and playoffs. Injury list, 2026-27 records and goalie appearances this season: ESPN’s game page, read 13 November 2026, 16:33 UTC.