Sunderland

ESPN priced Sunderland as underdog 21 times in 25 Premier League games in 2025-26, and a flat unit on them still finished +4.06, a return only two clubs beat. Both meetings with Newcastle United were Sunderland wins at plus prices, +7.45 between them.

The 2025-26 season

Sunderland went 14-12-12 on 42 goals scored and 48 conceded. Only three clubs conceded fewer than their 1.26 a game, and only three scored fewer than their 1.11. Their games averaged 2.37 goals. Home was 9-6-4, away 5-6-8, and they kept 11 clean sheets. Ten of the 14 one-goal games were wins.

Underdog, and close

Look for the close, low game. Sunderland were underdog more often than all but two clubs, and they went 6-7-8 in those 21 games for +3.75. The wins came at prices: 2-1 at Newcastle United at +500 on 22 March, 1-0 at Leeds United at +360 on 3 March and 3-1 at Everton at +340 on 17 May. As favorite, four times, they went 2-1-1. Against the goal line, they covered 15 of 25; three clubs covered more often.

One unit a game: +4.06

One unit a game over the 25 priced games: +4.06, 16.2% of the stake. Home made +2.06 and away +2.0. March carried it, 2-0-1 for +7.6, and May added +3.85 with a 2-1 win over Chelsea at +245 on 24 May. December, January and February all lost, -7.24 between them.

Newcastle and Chelsea twice

Sunderland beat Newcastle United 1-0 at home on 14 December and 2-1 away in March. They beat Chelsea twice as well. Fulham won both meetings with Sunderland.

The total

In the priced games it was 14 unders to 11 overs, 56%; four clubs ran a higher under rate, so we take no lean.

Questions and answers