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Aston Villa

Premier League6 predictions

One unit on Aston Villa in each of their 25 priced Premier League games of 2025-26 returned +11.52, 46.1% of the stake and more than any other club made. The underdog games did it: 6-1-4 in 11 for +13.85, also the league’s best.

The 2025-26 season

Villa went 19-8-11, scoring 56 and conceding 49; only three Premier League clubs had a better win rate. Home was the stronger half at 12-2-5, against 7-6-6 away. Thirteen of their 18 one-goal games were wins, and the longest winning run reached eight.

Aston Villa 2025-26 season, game by game2025-08-16 v Newcastle United 0-02025-08-23 at Brentford 0-12025-08-31 v Crystal Palace 0-32025-09-13 at Everton 0-02025-09-21 at Sunderland 1-12025-09-28 v Fulham 3-12025-10-05 v Burnley 2-12025-10-19 at Tottenham Hotspur 2-12025-10-26 v Manchester City 1-02025-11-01 at Liverpool 0-22025-11-09 v AFC Bournemouth 4-02025-11-23 at Leeds United 2-12025-11-30 v Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-02025-12-03 at Brighton & Hove Albion 4-32025-12-06 v Arsenal 2-12025-12-14 at West Ham United 3-22025-12-21 v Manchester United 2-12025-12-27 at Chelsea 2-12025-12-30 at Arsenal 1-42026-01-03 v Nottingham Forest 3-12026-01-07 at Crystal Palace 0-02026-01-18 v Everton 0-12026-01-25 at Newcastle United 2-02026-02-01 v Brentford 0-12026-02-07 at AFC Bournemouth 1-12026-02-11 v Brighton & Hove Albion 1-02026-02-21 v Leeds United 1-12026-02-27 at Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-22026-03-04 v Chelsea 1-42026-03-15 at Manchester United 1-32026-03-22 v West Ham United 2-02026-04-12 at Nottingham Forest 1-12026-04-19 v Sunderland 4-32026-04-25 at Fulham 0-12026-05-03 v Tottenham Hotspur 1-22026-05-10 at Burnley 2-22026-05-15 v Liverpool 4-22026-05-24 at Manchester City 2-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
19-8-11 in 38 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog 11 times, winners six

Back the price, not the badge. ESPN made Villa underdog in 11 of the 25 games it priced, and six of those were wins, three at long odds: 2-1 at Manchester City at +600 on 24 May, 2-1 at Chelsea at +340 on 27 December, and 2-1 over Arsenal at +330 on 6 December. As favorite, 14 times, Villa went 6-4-4 and lost 2.33 units; Everton won 1-0 at Villa against -170 on 18 January, and Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2-0 at home with Villa at -135 on 27 February.

Aston Villa at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (19)won 12 (63.2%)Away (19)won 7 (36.8%)Favorite (14)won 6 (42.9%)Underdog (11)won 6 (54.5%)50%
2025-26 season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: +11.52

December made the season: five wins from six priced games, +10.1. May added +5.7 at 2-1-1. In between, February (-2.95), March (-1.23) and April (-1.26) gave back 5.44. Home games returned +4.47, a figure three clubs beat, and away games +7.05, which only one club beat.

One unit on Aston Villa to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+10+11.52 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 25 priced 2025-26 league games (December to May), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Manchester City and Brentford

Villa beat Manchester City in both meetings, +6.0 units from two games. Brentford beat Villa in both. Brighton & Hove Albion and West Ham United lost twice to them, and Manchester United and Villa won once each, the Villa win at even money on 21 December.

The total

Overs edged it 13-12 across the 25 priced games, a rate four clubs bettered. No lean.

Questions and answers

Was Aston Villa the most profitable Premier League club to back in 2025-26?

Yes: +11.52 units over 25 priced games, 46.1% of the stake, the most of the 20 clubs.

What was the longest price Aston Villa won at?

+600, a 2-1 win at Manchester City on 24 May 2026.

How did Aston Villa do as favorite?

6-4-4 in 14 priced games, for a loss of 2.33 units.

Past games

  1. Fenerbahce at Aston Villa · 14 OctNo bet
  2. Brentford at Aston Villa · 10 OctAston Villa +165
  3. Aston Villa at Spurs · 19 SepThe Tottenham vs Aston Villa recap turned the preview’s strongest assumption upside down.
  4. Aston Villa at Coventry · 16 SepThe Coventry vs Aston Villa recap was decided by a version of Villa’s attack that the pregame total did not expect.
  5. Nottm Forest at Aston Villa · 12 SepThe Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest recap delivered exactly enough scoring for the ScoresAndStats best bet.
  6. Club Brugge vs Aston Villa Recap: Jackson Caps 3-2 Villa Road Win · 8 SepThe Club Brugge vs Aston Villa recap punished the home underdog price and rewarded bettors who trusted Villa’s attacking ceiling.

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