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Sassuolo

Serie A3 predictions

Backing Sassuolo in each of their dozen priced home games of the 2025-26 Serie A season returned +7.64 units, the best home figure in the league, and most of it came as home underdog: 3-0-2 and +8.8 in five games. On the road the same stake lost 6.7; only two clubs did worse away.

The 2025-26 season

Sassuolo went 14-7-17, scoring 46 and conceding 50. At home 9-2-8; away 5-5-9. The narrow games went against them: of 20 decided by one goal they lost 12. Goals conceded ran at 1.32 a game, with six clubs letting in more and two the same.

Sassuolo 2025-26 season, game by game2025-08-23 v Napoli 0-22025-08-29 at Cremonese 2-32025-09-14 v Lazio 1-02025-09-21 at Internazionale 1-22025-09-28 v Udinese 3-12025-10-03 at Hellas Verona 1-02025-10-18 at Lecce 0-02025-10-26 v AS Roma 0-12025-10-30 at Cagliari 2-12025-11-03 v Genoa 1-22025-11-09 at Atalanta 3-02025-11-24 v Pisa 2-22025-11-28 at Como 0-22025-12-06 v Fiorentina 3-12025-12-14 at AC Milan 2-22025-12-21 v Torino 0-12025-12-28 at Bologna 1-12026-01-03 v Parma 1-12026-01-06 v Juventus 0-32026-01-10 at AS Roma 0-22026-01-17 at Napoli 0-12026-01-25 v Cremonese 1-02026-01-31 at Pisa 3-12026-02-08 v Internazionale 0-52026-02-15 at Udinese 2-12026-02-20 v Hellas Verona 3-02026-03-01 v Atalanta 2-12026-03-09 at Lazio 1-22026-03-15 v Bologna 0-12026-03-21 at Juventus 1-12026-04-04 v Cagliari 2-12026-04-12 at Genoa 1-22026-04-17 v Como 2-12026-04-26 at Fiorentina 0-02026-05-03 v AC Milan 2-02026-05-08 at Torino 1-22026-05-17 v Lecce 2-32026-05-24 at Parma 0-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
14-7-17 in 38 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Long prices at home

Losses first, as always: as home underdog they lost 3-0 to Juventus and 5-0 to Internazionale. The other three were wins that paid: 2-1 over Como at +500 on 17 April, 2-0 over AC Milan at +360 on 3 May, 2-1 over Atalanta at +220 on 1 March. Favored at home, seven games, they went 3-1-3 and lost 1.16. Favored anywhere, ten games, 4-1-5 for -1.76: more defeats than wins.

Sassuolo at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (19)won 9 (47.4%)Away (19)won 5 (26.3%)Favorite (10)won 4 (40.0%)Underdog (14)won 4 (28.6%)50%
2025-26 season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: +0.94

All 24 priced games: +0.94 units, 3.9%; seven clubs returned more. Home +7.64, away -6.7, priced away record 2-4-6. December’s three priced games, 0-2-1, cost 3.0; April, 2-1-1, made +4.1 with the Como win inside it.

One unit on Sassuolo to win, every game0-6-4-2+2+0.94 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 24 priced 2025-26 league games (December to May), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Four sweeps, five sweeps against

Sassuolo beat Atalanta, Cagliari, Udinese and Hellas Verona twice each. AS Roma, Genoa, Internazionale, Napoli and Torino did the same to them.

The total

Over the line 13 times, under it 11. Sassuolo shared that over rate with three clubs and sat behind three, which gives us no lean. Their 38 league games held 96 goals.

Questions and answers

What did Sassuolo return at home in 2025-26?

+7.64 units over 12 priced Serie A home games, the best home return of the 20 clubs.

Which home wins paid Sassuolo backers most?

Como at +500, AC Milan at +360 and Atalanta at +220.

Were Sassuolo worth backing when favored?

No: 4-1-5 in ten priced games, -1.76 units, three of the five defeats at home.

Past games

  1. Milan at Sassuolo · 11 OctAC Milan -125
  2. Sassuolo at Monza · 18 SepThe Monza vs Sassuolo recap belonged to Gustavo Varela.
  3. Juventus at Sassuolo · 12 SepThe Sassuolo vs Juventus recap turned into a brutal lesson in late-match game management.

Serie A teams