Fiorentina

Fiorentina won nine of 38 Serie A games in 2025-26, a share only three clubs fell below, yet a unit on each priced game returned +3.76 and only three clubs did better. The profit sat away from home (+9.12) and in the underdog role (+7.2); as favorite they lost 3.44.

The 2025-26 season

Fiorentina finished 9-15-14, scoring 41 and conceding 50. The first win came on 21 December, 5-1 over Udinese, after 15 league games at 0-6-9. Fifteen draws in all, nine of them at home, where the record was 4-9-6; away it was 5-6-8.

Back them as the outsider, away

That is the Fiorentina bet, and the numbers back it. As underdog, nine priced games, they went 3-4-2 for +7.2; all three wins came on the road: 2-0 at Juventus at +750 on 17 May, 2-1 at Como at +370 on 14 February, 2-1 at Bologna at +200 on 18 January. As favorite, 15 games, they went 6-5-4 for -3.44; only one Serie A club lost more in that role. Two of the favorite defeats were at home and short: Hellas Verona 2-1 at -105 on 14 December, Cagliari 2-1 at -130 on 24 January.

One unit a game: +3.76

Twenty-four priced games, +3.76, a 15.7% return. Away, 11 games, made +9.12, the third-best road figure in the league; home, 13 games at 4-7-2, lost 5.36. February (2-1-0, +3.27) and May (1-2-1, +4.5) did the lifting; the win at Juventus is the whole of May’s profit and more.

Cremonese, Juventus, the Rome and Naples sides

Fiorentina beat Cremonese twice. Against Juventus they drew 1-1 at home and won at +750 away. AS Roma and Napoli both won twice. Genoa and Torino drew both meetings.

The total

Thirteen unders against 11 overs in the priced games, a 45.8% over rate with ten clubs above it and three level: no lean either way. Fiorentina’s league games averaged 2.39 goals.

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