NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Cameron Boozer Is the Favorite at +270 Skip to content
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NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Cameron Boozer Is the Favorite at +270

NBA Rookie of the Year Odds 2026: Cooper Flagg Wins

Cameron Boozer is the favorite in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds at +270 on DraftKings on October 17, 2026, ahead of Caleb Wilson at +340 and Darryn Peterson at +360. AJ Dybantsa, the first pick of the draft, is fourth at +475.

Those are DraftKings prices as ESPN lists them for the 2026-27 season, read on October 17, 2026 at 11:03 UTC. Seven of the 31 prices in our read of October 13 have moved since: Boozer came in from +300, Wilson and Peterson swapped second and third places, and Dybantsa drifted from +425. Meleek Thomas of Cleveland is new to the list at +25000. No source we read gives a reason for the moves. The regular season opens on October 20, so no rookie has played a game that counts.

NBA Rookie of the Year odds for all 32 players

PlayerTeamPickOddsImplied chanceMargin removedOct. 13 odds
Cameron BoozerMemphis Grizzlies3+27027.0%21.7%+300
Caleb WilsonChicago Bulls4+34022.7%18.2%+360
Darryn PetersonUtah Jazz2+36021.7%17.4%+340
AJ DybantsaWashington Wizards1+47517.4%13.9%+425
Darius Acuff Jr.Sacramento Kings7+10009.1%7.3%+1000
Yaxel LendeborgGolden State Warriors11+14006.7%5.3%+1800
Keaton WaglerLA Clippers5+40002.4%2.0%+3500
Mikel Brown Jr.Brooklyn Nets6+40002.4%2.0%+3500
Aday MaraOklahoma City Thunder12+80001.2%1.0%+8000
Nate AmentMilwaukee Bucks13+100001.0%0.8%+10000
Kingston FlemingsAtlanta Hawks8+100001.0%0.8%+10000
Cameron CarrLos Angeles Lakers24+100001.0%0.8%+10000
Brayden BurriesMilwaukee Bucks10+100001.0%0.8%+10000
Morez Johnson Jr.Dallas Mavericks9+100001.0%0.8%+10000
Hannes SteinbachCharlotte Hornets14+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Ebuka OkorieDetroit Pistons17+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Karim LopezMemphis Grizzlies21+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Allen GravesToronto Raptors19+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Christian AndersonCharlotte Hornets18+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Labaron Philon Jr.Philadelphia 76ers22+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Dailyn SwainChicago Bulls15+150000.7%0.5%+15000
Sergio de LarreaDallas Mavericks25+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Bennett StirtzOklahoma City Thunder16+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Chris Cenac Jr.Boston Celtics27+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Zuby EjioforAtlanta Hawks23+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Tarris Reed Jr.San Antonio Spurs26+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Jayden QuaintanceSan Antonio Spurs20+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Thomas SorberOklahoma City Thunder15 (2025)+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Koa PeatPhoenix Suns30+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Meleek ThomasCleveland Cavaliers34+250000.4%0.3%
Alex KarabanSacramento Kings29+250000.4%0.3%+25000
Joshua JeffersonBrooklyn Nets28+250000.4%0.3%+25000

Implied chance is the price turned into a percentage. At +270 a $100 bet wins $270, so it breaks even when Boozer wins the award 27.0% of the time. The 32 implied chances add up to 124.7%, and the 24.7 points above 100 are the book’s margin.

The “margin removed” column divides each implied chance by that 124.7. Counted that way the top four hold 71.3% of the award, and 23 of the 32 players are priced at +10000 or longer.

Pick is the overall selection in the 2026 draft. The board is that draft’s whole first round, all 30 picks, plus Thomas Sorber, the 15th pick in 2025, whom ESPN lists as a first-year player, and Thomas, the 34th pick in 2026 and the only second-round pick with a price. Team is the one whose roster ESPN has the player on today, which for 11 of the 32 is not the team that made the pick, and each team name links to its team page.

The four players at the top of the board

Boozer went third in the draft, to Memphis, which finished 25-57 last season. At Duke he averaged 22.5 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 34 games. His +270 implies 27.0%.

Wilson, the fourth pick, is +340 with Chicago (31-51) after 19.8 points and 9.4 rebounds in 24 games at North Carolina. Peterson, the second pick, is +360 with Utah, a 22-60 team. He played 22 games at Kansas and averaged 19.8 points.

Dybantsa was picked first and is priced fourth. He averaged 25.3 points in 34 games at BYU, the highest scoring average of the ten players in the next table, and joins a Washington team that went 17-65. His +475 implies 17.4%, 9.6 points less than Boozer’s price. ESPN’s injury list has him day-to-day with an ankle injury after he did not return to Friday’s preseason game against New Orleans.

After those four the prices jump. Darius Acuff Jr. of Sacramento is +1000, which implies 9.1%, and Yaxel Lendeborg of Golden State has come in from +1800 to +1400. Lendeborg is 24, the oldest player on the board.

College seasons of the ten shortest prices

PlayerPickCollegeGamesPointsReboundsAssists
Cameron Boozer3Duke3422.510.24.2
Caleb Wilson4North Carolina2419.89.42.7
Darryn Peterson2Kansas2219.84.41.7
AJ Dybantsa1BYU3425.36.73.8
Darius Acuff Jr.7Arkansas3322.93.26.5
Yaxel Lendeborg11Michigan3414.67.03.2
Keaton Wagler5Illinois3217.94.84.4
Mikel Brown Jr.6Louisville2118.23.34.7
Aday Mara12Michigan3411.66.92.3
Nate Ament13Tennessee3117.56.62.5

Each line is the player’s last college season from ESPN, in games played and averages a game. Three of the ten played fewer than 30 games: Mikel Brown Jr. 21, Peterson 22 and Wilson 24.

Michigan has three players on the board. Lendeborg and Aday Mara are in this table, and Morez Johnson Jr. of Dallas is +10000.

Preseason numbers so far

PlayerOddsPreseason gamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssists
Cameron Boozer+270420.214.05.53.0
Caleb Wilson+340526.615.84.42.8
Darryn Peterson+360425.513.24.24.0
AJ Dybantsa+475421.512.83.81.8
Darius Acuff Jr.+1000424.017.21.83.8
Yaxel Lendeborg+1400523.215.67.44.0
Keaton Wagler+4000327.012.04.03.0
Mikel Brown Jr.+4000118.015.03.03.0
Aday Mara+8000523.213.47.62.8
Nate Ament+10000212.05.53.00.5

The table counts preseason games through October 16, from ESPN’s game logs. Nobody in it has played more than five, so the figures show who has been on the floor and prove nothing about a season. The preseason runs through October 19.

Acuff has the highest scoring average of the ten, 17.2 points in four games. Wagler has played the most minutes a game, 27.0 in three games, and Boozer’s 20.2 minutes are the fewest among the seven who have played four games or more. Brown has played one game.

One name further down the board has been on the floor longer than all of them. Bennett Stirtz of Oklahoma City, priced at +25000, has averaged 27.4 minutes and 14.6 points in five games, the most minutes of the 29 listed players with a preseason game.

Past Rookie of the Year winners

Cooper Flagg of the Dallas Mavericks won the 2025-26 award. The first pick of the 2025 draft averaged 21.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists in 70 games for a team that went 26-56.

SeasonWinnerTeamDraft pick
2025-26Cooper FlaggDallas Mavericks1
2024-25Stephon CastleSan Antonio Spurs4
2023-24Victor WembanyamaSan Antonio Spurs1
2022-23Paolo BancheroOrlando Magic1
2021-22Scottie BarnesToronto Raptors4
2020-21LaMelo BallCharlotte Hornets3
2019-20Ja MorantMemphis Grizzlies2
2018-19Luka DoncicDallas Mavericks3
2017-18Ben SimmonsPhiladelphia 76ers1
2016-17Malcolm BrogdonMilwaukee Bucks36
2015-16Karl-Anthony TownsMinnesota Timberwolves1

Ten of the last 11 winners were taken with one of the first four picks of a draft, and five of them went first. The exception is Malcolm Brogdon, the 36th pick, who won for 2016-17. This season’s four shortest prices belong to the first four picks of the 2026 draft.

Sorber’s case has one match in the table. Ben Simmons was drafted in 2016 and won the award for 2017-18.

First games for the ten shortest prices

Listed playersFirst gameTip-offFavoriteTotalOur page
Aday MaraOklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio SpursTue, Oct 20, 9:30 pm ETSan Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-105)231.5Thunder vs Spurs prediction
Nate Ament, AJ DybantsaMilwaukee Bucks at Washington WizardsWed, Oct 21, 7:00 pm ETWashington Wizards -6.5 (-105)238.5Bucks vs Wizards prediction
Caleb WilsonChicago Bulls at Toronto RaptorsWed, Oct 21, 7:30 pm ETToronto Raptors -8.5 (-115)235.5Bulls vs Raptors prediction
Mikel Brown Jr.Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn NetsWed, Oct 21, 7:30 pm ETCharlotte Hornets -2.5 (-110)223.5Hornets vs Nets prediction
Darryn Peterson, Cameron BoozerUtah Jazz at Memphis GrizzliesWed, Oct 21, 8:00 pm ETUtah Jazz -2.5 (-110)242.5Jazz vs Grizzlies prediction
Yaxel LendeborgGolden State Warriors at Los Angeles LakersWed, Oct 21, 10:00 pm ETLos Angeles Lakers -5.5 (-110)235.5Warriors vs Lakers prediction
Darius Acuff Jr., Keaton WaglerSacramento Kings at LA ClippersWed, Oct 21, 10:30 pm ETLA Clippers -4.5 (-105)230.5Kings vs Clippers prediction

Only one of the ten has a team in action on opening night: Mara’s Thunder visit San Antonio on October 20 at 9:30 pm ET on NBC. The other nine teams start on October 21.

Two of the top three in the NBA ROY odds share a game that night. Peterson’s Jazz play at Boozer’s Grizzlies at 8:00 pm ET, and DraftKings has Utah favored by 2.5 with a total of 242.5, the highest total of the seven games in the table. Lines are DraftKings prices as ESPN lists them, read on October 17 at 11:07 UTC, and the last column links to our page for each game.

What the odds mean for a bet

A futures bet pays over time only when a player’s real chance is higher than the one his price implies. Boozer at +270 has to win the award more than 27.0% of the time, Wilson at +340 more than 22.7%, Peterson at +360 more than 21.7% and Dybantsa at +475 more than 17.4%. Those four add up to 88.9% before any of the other 28 players is counted, and that is the 24.7-point margin at work. The MVP board’s margin is 19.8 points.

We make no Rookie of the Year pick. No rookie plays a game that counts before October 20, and five preseason games are not a sample.

Our other NBA awards odds pages cover MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, Sixth Man of the Year, Most Improved Player and Coach of the Year. The title market is on our NBA championship odds page, game predictions are on our NBA predictions page, and our guide to what a futures bet is explains how these prices work. For paid picks, see the PicksToday pricing page.

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