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Cincinnati Bengals vs Green Bay Packers Week 6 Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals head to historic Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon to face the Green Bay Packers in a Week 6 matchup that could define the early season trajectory for both teams.
The Packers (2-1-1) return from their bye rested and ready, while the Bengals (2-3) arrive in Green Bay with a familiar face under center — Joe Flacco, who defeated the Packers three weeks ago while starting for Cleveland. With Flacco now elevated to QB1 for Cincinnati, head coach Zac Taylor hopes veteran poise can stabilize an offense that ranks last in the NFL in both total and rushing yards.
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Kickoff is set for 4:25 PM ET on CBS, with the Packers opening as massive -14.5 favorites. The total sits at 44.5, and weather forecasts call for mild 60°F temperatures with light clouds — classic Lambeau fall football.
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Line Movement and Odds
Oddsmakers opened Green Bay -13.5, but sharp money quickly pushed the line to -14.5 (-105). Roughly 68% of the public is backing the Packers, while early professional bettors have shown slight interest in the Over 44.5 (-109) expecting Flacco to push the pace.
Green Bay is -1175 on the moneyline, one of the largest favorites of the week. The total has held firm, though models suggest value on the Over given both defenses’ fatigue and the Packers’ post-bye offensive potential.
“We haven’t played a complete four quarters yet,” said Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. “That’s a blessing and a curse. We’ve shown flashes, but there’s still another level we can reach.”
Matchup Breakdown
Cincinnati Bengals Outlook:
Cincinnati’s decision to acquire Flacco highlights the desperation in the Queen City. The Bengals have lost three straight and rank dead last in total offense (228.6 YPG) and rushing (57.0 YPG). However, Flacco’s chemistry with WR Ja’Marr Chase could pay dividends — Chase posted 110 yards and two scores in last week’s loss to Detroit. The defense has been overworked, allowing over 30 points per game and struggling against the run (126 YPG allowed). Unless the offensive line gives Flacco time, it could be another long day.
“Joe’s always been a tremendous passer,” said Bengals coach Zac Taylor. “He’s a pro’s pro, and we believe he can help us move the football.”
Green Bay Packers Outlook:
The Packers’ 2-1-1 record hides both potential and inconsistency. QB Jordan Love has been efficient (69.4% completions, 8 TDs, 1 INT), but the offensive line remains in flux. RB Josh Jacobs leads the team with 266 rushing yards and four touchdowns, though the ground attack averages only 3.3 yards per carry. Defensively, Green Bay is elite — ranking second against the run and fourth overall (283.3 YPG allowed). Coming off a bye, expect a focused effort against a turnover-prone Cincinnati offense.
“We’ve got to keep finding that balance between explosive plays and controlling the tempo,” LaFleur added.
Injuries and Conditions
| Cincinnati Bengals | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|
| Joe Burrow – Out (Toe) | Anthony Belton – Out (Ankle) |
| Drew Sample – Out (Ankle) | Devonte Wyatt – Out (Knee) |
| Dylan Fairchild – Out (Knee) | Christian Watson – Probable (Knee) |
| Charlie Jones – Questionable (Achilles) | Aaron Banks – Limited (Groin) |
| Ja’Marr Chase – Rest (Expected Active) | Zach Tom – Limited (Oblique) |
| Bengals Injury Report | Packers Injury Report |
Weather: Partly cloudy, 61°F, light wind (7 mph). Excellent playing conditions at Lambeau Field.
Best Bets and Prediction
The Packers’ defense and home-field advantage make them a tough opponent for a Bengals team in transition. Flacco may bring stability, but Green Bay’s defensive front led by Micah Parsons (yes, the new addition in this universe’s storyline) should create consistent pressure. Expect the Packers to control possession and pull away late.
Pick: Packers -14.5 (-105)
Projected Final Score: Packers 31, Bengals 17
Best Bet: Packers -14.5 (-105)
Lean: Over 44.5 (-109)
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For expanded Week 6 coverage, check the NFL Week 6 Odds & Predictions hub for live line movement and matchup trends.
| Category | Detail |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Packers -14.5 (-105) |
| Confidence Rating | ★★★★☆ |
| Projected Score | Packers 31, Bengals 17 |
| Total Lean | Over 44.5 (-109) |
| Market Split | 68% bets Packers, 57% sharp money Over |
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
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