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Black Friday football this year is the Denver Broncos at the Pittsburgh Steelers, on Friday, November 27, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET at Acrisure Stadium, streaming on Prime Video. DraftKings has Denver as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 39.5, as ESPN showed the line on September 25.
That is a look-ahead number, posted two months before kickoff, and it will move with injuries and results between now and Week 12. We will publish our own prediction for the game in the week it is played, and it will be on our NFL predictions page.
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The early Black Friday line
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | -1.5 (-110) | -122 | Over 39.5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +1.5 (-110) | +102 | Under 39.5 |
DraftKings opened Denver at -118 on the moneyline and has moved it to -122, with Pittsburgh from -102 to +102. At -122 the price implies a 55.0% chance of a Denver win; at +102, 49.5% for Pittsburgh. The two add up to more than 100%, and the difference is the book’s margin.
Where the two teams stand
Both teams are 1-1 after two weeks of the 2026 season.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | Lost 31-10 at Kansas City | Beat Jacksonville 20-13 | Hosts the Rams, Sunday, September 27 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | Beat Atlanta 20-13 | Lost 20-3 at New England | Hosts Cincinnati, Sunday, September 27 |
Our predictions for both Week 3 games are up: Bengals at Steelers and Rams at Broncos. The Broncos and Steelers team pages carry each team’s schedule.
Past Black Friday games
The NFL has played a game on the Friday after Thanksgiving in each of the last three seasons, and all three streamed on Prime Video at 3 p.m. ET.
| Year | Game | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles | Chicago 24, Philadelphia 15 |
| 2024 | Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs | Kansas City 19, Las Vegas 17 |
| 2023 | Miami Dolphins at New York Jets | Miami 34, New York 13 |
The road team has won two of the three. The combined scores were 47, 36 and 39 points, so two of the three landed below this year’s 39.5 total and one would have gone over.
Betting Black Friday football
The line posted now is the one to compare against later. If Denver moves to a field goal by game week, the market has learned something about one of the two teams; if it drifts to a pick’em, it has learned the opposite. Our call on the side and the total comes with our prediction for the game, and until then this page names no bet. For picks from paid handicappers, see the top handicappers, and our sportsbook reviews cover where to bet.
