Liberty is the Conference USA favorite at -300 on DraftKings, a 75.0% break-even, and Jacksonville State is the only other team shorter than +1000, at +295. Both are 4-0 in the league with four games left.
The two do not play each other in the regular season. The Conference USA Championship Game is on Friday, December 4, and ESPN has no kickoff time or site for it yet.
Conference USA standings after Week 9
| Team | League | Overall | League games left |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 4-0 | 7-1 | 4 |
| Jacksonville State | 4-0 | 6-2 | 4 |
| Delaware | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 |
| Middle Tennessee | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 |
| Missouri State | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 |
| New Mexico State | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 |
| Western Kentucky | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 |
| Florida International | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 |
| Kennesaw State | 1-3 | 2-6 | 4 |
| Sam Houston | 0-4 | 1-7 | 4 |
Teams are ordered by league record, from ESPN’s Conference USA standings read November 1, 2026, at 16:23 UTC, after every league game through Saturday, October 31. No team in the league was in the AP Top 25 of October 25. 20 of the 40 league games have been played, and every team has four left.
Liberty has won its four league games by a combined 148-33: 30-14 at Delaware, 35-3 over Sam Houston, 34-6 at Kennesaw State and 49-10 over Florida International on Saturday. Jacksonville State has had it closer. It beat Middle Tennessee 23-13, won 27-26 at Kennesaw State and beat Florida International 27-24, then won 24-0 at New Mexico State on October 28.
Five teams sit at 2-2, Delaware among them. Kennesaw State, last season’s champion, is 1-3, and Sam Houston is 0-4.
Conference USA championship odds
| Team | DraftKings | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty | -300 | 75.0% |
| Jacksonville State | +295 | 25.3% |
| Delaware | +1900 | 5.0% |
| Western Kentucky | +4200 | 2.3% |
| New Mexico State | +5000 | 2.0% |
| Middle Tennessee | +6000 | 1.6% |
| Missouri State | +7000 | 1.4% |
| Florida International | +10000 | 1.0% |
| Kennesaw State | +30000 | 0.3% |
These are DraftKings’ Conference USA winner prices as ESPN listed them on November 1, 2026, at 16:23 UTC. Nine of the 10 teams are on the board; Sam Houston has no price. For a minus price, break-even is the price divided by the price plus 100, so Liberty at -300 has to win the league 300 times in 400, or 75.0%. Jacksonville State at +295 needs 100 in 395, or 25.3%.
On September 24, before any league game, the same book had Liberty at +320, Delaware at +360 and Jacksonville State third at +500. Delaware lost to Liberty and at Middle Tennessee, and is +1900 now. A futures bet only pays over time when your own estimate of a team’s chance is higher than its break-even figure.
The games still to play
Every Conference USA game left, from ESPN’s schedule, with its kickoff times and TV where ESPN lists them.
| Date | Kickoff (ET) | Game | TV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 | 3 p.m. | Delaware at Kennesaw State | ESPN+ |
| Sat Nov 7 | 3:30 p.m. | Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | ESPN+ |
| Sat Nov 7 | 4 p.m. | Missouri State at Florida International | ESPN+ |
| Sat Nov 7 | 7 p.m. | Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | CBSSN |
| Sat Nov 7 | 8 p.m. | Liberty at New Mexico State | ESPNU |
| Sat Nov 14 | 2 p.m. | Kennesaw State at Sam Houston | – |
| Sat Nov 14 | 3 p.m. | New Mexico State at Missouri State | – |
| Sat Nov 14 | 3 p.m. | Florida International at Delaware | – |
| Sat Nov 14 | 3:30 p.m. | Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky | – |
| Sat Nov 14 | 3:30 p.m. | Middle Tennessee at Liberty | CBSSN |
| Sat Nov 21 | 1 p.m. | Western Kentucky at Liberty | – |
| Sat Nov 21 | 2 p.m. | Missouri State at Jacksonville State | – |
| Sat Nov 21 | 2 p.m. | Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston | – |
| Sat Nov 21 | 3 p.m. | Delaware at New Mexico State | – |
| Sat Nov 21 | 3 p.m. | Florida International at Kennesaw State | – |
| Sat Nov 28 | 1 p.m. | Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky | – |
| Sat Nov 28 | 2 p.m. | Liberty at Missouri State | – |
| Sat Nov 28 | 2 p.m. | Sam Houston at Florida International | – |
| Sat Nov 28 | 2 p.m. | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | – |
| Sat Nov 28 | 3:30 p.m. | Jacksonville State at Delaware | CBSSN |
Liberty goes to New Mexico State on November 7 (8 p.m. ET, ESPNU), hosts Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky, and ends at Missouri State on November 28. Jacksonville State hosts Sam Houston on November 7 (7 p.m. ET, CBSSN), goes to Western Kentucky, hosts Missouri State and ends at Delaware on November 28.
The championship game
ESPN lists the Conference USA Championship Game for Friday, December 4, 2026, with no kickoff time, site or TV yet. Both teams are still to be decided.
Last season’s game was played at AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, Alabama, on December 5, 2025, where Kennesaw State beat Jacksonville State 19-15.
Where to go next
Our game-by-game calls, with the side and the number, are on the college football predictions hub, and the coming week’s games are on the Week 10 page. A futures price is one book’s number, so check Liberty at -300 against other books in our sportsbook reviews before you buy.
The other conference races are here: AAC odds, ACC odds, Big Ten odds and SEC odds. Picks from the site’s handicappers are on the handicappers page.
Standings and results: ESPN, read November 1, 2026, 16:23 UTC. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read November 1, 2026, 16:23 UTC. Rankings: the AP Top 25 of October 25, 2026, from ESPN. Championship game: ESPN’s Week 14 schedule, read November 1, 2026. Last season’s final: ESPN.