Conference USA Football Odds 2026: Liberty Favored at +320

By:

Mario Vega

in

NCAAF

Last Updated on

Liberty is the Conference USA favorite at +320, just ahead of Delaware at +360, and no team has played a league game yet. The first one is Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State on Saturday, 26 September, at 7 p.m. ET.

Nobody in the league is unbeaten. Liberty, Delaware and Middle Tennessee are 2-1, and Western Kentucky is 0-3 but still fourth on the board at +650.

See what our experts like today.

Browse today’s picks before the action begins.

Conference USA standings after three weeks

TeamOverallNext game
Delaware2-1Sat 26 Sep, at Virginia
Liberty2-1Thu 24 Sep, at Coastal Carolina
Middle Tennessee2-1Sat 26 Sep, at Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2-2Sat 26 Sep, home to Middle Tennessee
Florida International1-2Sat 26 Sep, home to Long Island University
Kennesaw State1-2Sat 26 Sep, at Arkansas State
Missouri State1-2Sat 26 Sep, at SMU
New Mexico State1-2Sat 26 Sep, home to New Mexico
Sam Houston1-2Sat 26 Sep, at Texas Tech
Western Kentucky0-3Sat 26 Sep, home to Mercyhurst

Every team is 0-0 in the league, so the order is ESPN’s, read on 24 September 2026. There are 10 teams, each playing eight league games. Against ESPN’s 2025 standings, Louisiana Tech and UTEP are gone and nobody has joined.

Western Kentucky is the only team without a win. It lost 49-14 at Nevada, 70-20 at No. 2 Georgia and 38-0 at No. 4 Indiana, all on the road.

Results so far

Liberty lost its opener 20-13 at James Madison on 5 September, then beat Gardner-Webb 24-23 and Ball State 51-15 at home. Delaware beat Merrimack 42-7, lost 35-26 at Vanderbilt and beat Coastal Carolina 22-14 on 19 September.

Jacksonville State has already played four games. It lost 33-7 at North Dakota State and 29-27 at Ohio, and beat Eastern Kentucky 49-7 and Georgia Southern 31-27. Middle Tennessee beat Murray State 38-14 and Nevada 27-20 at home, with a 28-26 loss at Marshall in between.

Two more teams went on the road to ranked opponents and lost heavily. Missouri State lost 50-0 at No. 8 Texas A&M on 5 September, and Kennesaw State lost 42-9 at No. 15 Tennessee on 19 September. Ranks are as ESPN listed them for each game.

Conference USA championship odds

TeamDraftKingsBreak-even
Liberty+32023.8%
Delaware+36021.7%
Jacksonville State+50016.7%
Western Kentucky+65013.3%
Florida International+70012.5%
Kennesaw State+80011.1%
New Mexico State+14006.7%
Missouri State+22004.3%
Sam Houston+35002.8%
Middle Tennessee+40002.4%

These are DraftKings’ 2026 Conference USA winner prices as listed by ESPN on 24 September 2026. The market has the 10 teams above and neither Louisiana Tech nor UTEP, which matches this season’s league. Break-even is 100 divided by the price plus 100, so Liberty at +320 has to win the league 23.8% of the time to break even. The 10 rates add up to 115.4%.

The board is flat at the top. Six teams are priced between +320 and +800, and the longest price of all, +4000, belongs to Middle Tennessee, one of the three teams with a winning record. Western Kentucky, still without a win, is priced ahead of six teams that have won at least once.

The games that settle it

The Conference USA schedule this week, with DraftKings lines via ESPN:

Kickoff (ET)GameSpreadTotal
Thu 7:30 p.m.Liberty at Coastal CarolinaLiberty -2.550.5
Sat 12:00 p.m.Sam Houston at Texas TechTexas Tech -34.555.5
Sat 3:30 p.m.New Mexico at New Mexico StateNew Mexico -11.548.5
Sat 6:00 p.m.Delaware at VirginiaVirginia -19.552.5
Sat 6:00 p.m.Long Island University at Florida InternationalFlorida International -35.550.5
Sat 7:00 p.m.Kennesaw State at Arkansas StateArkansas State -6.552.5
Sat 7:00 p.m.Mercyhurst at Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -38.556.5
Sat 7:00 p.m.Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -751.5
Sat 9:00 p.m.Missouri State at SMUSMU -34.559.5

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State is the only league game. All but one of October’s league games are on weeknights, and these are among the games left for Liberty, Delaware, Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky, the four shortest prices:

  • Thu 1 Oct: Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
  • Fri 2 Oct: Liberty at Delaware
  • Wed 7 Oct: Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
  • Tue 13 Oct: Delaware at Middle Tennessee; Florida International at Jacksonville State
  • Thu 22 Oct: Liberty at Kennesaw State
  • Tue 27 Oct: Delaware at Western Kentucky
  • Sat 14 Nov: Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
  • Sat 21 Nov: Western Kentucky at Liberty
  • Sat 28 Nov: Jacksonville State at Delaware

ESPN lists the Conference USA Championship Game for Friday, 4 December 2026, with no kickoff time or site yet. Both teams are still to be decided.

Where to go next

Our game-by-game calls, with the side and the number, are on the college football predictions hub. A futures price is one book’s number, so check Liberty at +320 against other books in our sportsbook reviews before you buy.

Every college football market, from spreads to conference futures, is explained in our NCAAF betting guide.