NHL
SpreadTotalMoneyNSH+1.5U 6.5+124ANA-1.5O 6.5-148
NHL · Wednesday 11 November
Predators vs Ducks Best Pick, Prediction and Odds
No bet on the Ducks or the Predators. Our number and the price are 0.8 points apart, and a bet needs 5.
The Anaheim Ducks are -148 and the Nashville Predators +124 at DraftKings. With the margin out, that is 57.2% for Anaheim and 42.8% for Nashville. Our number is 58.0% for the Ducks. The price is close to right.
How 58.0% is reached
Our home win chance is the average of two 2025-26 rates: the home team’s win rate in its own arena and the visitor’s loss rate on the road. Overtime and shootout wins count as wins. Neutral-site games are left out of both splits, so “at home” here means games in the team’s own arena, not every game it was listed as the home side.
The Ducks went 24-13-4 at Honda Center, a 58.5% home win rate. The Predators went 17-16-7 on the road, a 57.5% road loss rate. The average puts Anaheim at 58.0% and Nashville at 42.0%. Against the price, that is 0.8 points toward the Ducks.
The margin is the extra a book builds into both prices so the pair adds up to more than 100%. At -148 and +124 the two come to 104.3%. Taken out, the Ducks are 57.2% and the Predators 42.8%.
Every input is from 2025-26. This season is outside the method. The Ducks are 10-7-1, and only 3-4-1 at home, and they beat Pittsburgh 5-2 on Sunday 8 November. Lukas Dostal has appeared in 10 of their games, Ville Husso in 6 and Laurent Brossoit in 4. The Predators are 8-4-5, 2-1-3 on the road, and beat St. Louis 3-1 on Saturday 7 November. Juuse Saros has appeared in 12 games and Justus Annunen in 4.
Anaheim at home, Nashville on the road
The Ducks at home scored 3.54 a game and allowed 3.49, a surplus of 0.05. The Predators on the road scored 3.0 and allowed 3.33, a deficit of 0.33. Both halves point the same way as the price.
The halves the method leaves out: Anaheim on the road went 19-20-2, a 46.3% win rate, scoring 3.12 and allowing 3.54. Nashville at home went 20-17-3, a 50.0% win rate, scoring 3.12 and allowing 3.27. Neither team outscored its opponents in its own arena by much, and the Ducks were 0.42 a game worse on the road.
The 2025-26 season
Anaheim finished 43-33-6 with 92 points and a goal difference of -15. It beat Edmonton 4-2 in the first round of the playoffs, then lost 4-2 to Vegas. Nashville finished 38-34-10 with 86 points and a goal difference of -22, and missed the playoffs.
The Ducks lived on close games. They went 24-6-6 in one-goal games and won 17 of the 23 that went past regulation. Nashville went 20-8-10 in one-goal games and won 10 of its 20 past 60 minutes. Anaheim lost by two goals or more in 27 of 82 games, Nashville in 26.
The teams met three times. Anaheim won 5-2 in Nashville on 21 October 2025 and 5-4 in Nashville on 16 April 2026; those two are in neither half of our number. Nashville won 5-0 in Anaheim on 7 April 2026, the one meeting that sits inside both halves.
Pick: No bet
No bet on this game. The gap is 0.8 points toward the Ducks against a threshold of 5. A gap that size is inside what the method can tell apart from zero, so the price stands.
The line read Ducks -148 and Predators +124 on 10 November 2026 at 16:49 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN. It opened at the same -148 and +124, with no change since.
What kills the bet
A longer Anaheim price makes the Ducks a bet. At -112 or longer they are a bet whatever Nashville is priced at; against the Predators at +124, they become a bet at -101 or longer.
For the Predators to become the bet, they would need +170 or longer whatever the Ducks are priced at, or +185 or longer against Anaheim at -148. They are +124.
ESPN’s injury list has Jonathan Marchessault day-to-day with a lower-body injury for Nashville. Anaheim lists A.J. Greer, Troy Terry, Ian Moore and Ryan Poehling on injured reserve. No goalie is on either list. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 6.5, over -115 and under -105. The Ducks’ games went over 6.5 in 49 of 82, a 59.8% rate. The Predators’ went over in 35 of 82, 42.7%. Anaheim’s home games averaged 7.03 goals and Nashville’s road games 6.33.
Averaged, the over is 51.2%. With the margin out, the market prices it at 51.1% and the under at 48.9%. That is a 0.1-point lean to the over. Pass on the total.
On the puck line, the Ducks are -1.5 at +164 and the Predators +1.5 at -198, which is 36.3% and 63.7% without the margin. Over 2025-26 the Ducks won by two goals or more in 19 of 82 games and the Predators lost by two or more in 26 of 82. Averaged, Ducks -1.5 lands 27.4% of the time against 36.3% priced, a gap of 8.9 points toward Predators +1.5 at -198. Our method stakes the moneyline only, so that is a lean and not a bet. The call on this game is no bet.
Predators at Ducks, Wednesday 11 November, 10:00 PM ET, Honda Center. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 10 November 2026, 16:49 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025-26 regular season and playoffs. Injury list, 2026-27 records and goalie appearances this season: ESPN’s game page, read 10 November 2026, 16:49 UTC.