NHL
NHL · Tuesday 10 November
Devils vs Jets Best Pick, Prediction and Odds
No bet on the Jets. Our number has Winnipeg 4.8 points better than the price, and we need 5 to bet.
The New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets is priced Devils -148 and Jets +124 at DraftKings. With the margin out, that is 57.2% for New Jersey and 42.8% for Winnipeg. Our number is 47.6% for the Jets. The gap is 4.8 points toward the home side, and 4.8 is not 5.
How 47.6% is reached
Our home win chance is the average of two 2025-26 rates: the home team’s win rate in its own arena and the visitor’s loss rate on the road. Overtime and shootout wins count as wins. Neutral-site games are left out.
The Jets went 19-16-6 at Canada Life Centre, a 46.3% home win rate. The Devils went 21-20-0 on the road, a 48.8% road loss rate. Average the two and Winnipeg is 47.6%, New Jersey 52.4%.
A side is a bet when our number and the market’s differ by at least 5 points. This one differs by 4.8. The price says the Devils are a clear favourite; our number says they are a slight one. That disagreement is real, but it is smaller than the rule requires.
The margin is the extra a book builds into both prices so the pair comes to more than 100%. At -148 and +124 they come to 104.3%. Taken out, the Devils are 57.2% and the Jets 42.8%.
Every input is from 2025-26. This season is not in our number, and it has gone well for New Jersey. The Devils are 13-5-0, 5-3-0 on the road, and beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-0 in Toronto on Sunday 8 November. Jake Allen has appeared in nine of their games and Connor Hellebuyck in five. The Jets are 7-8-3, 4-4-1 at home, and beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 at home the same day. Stuart Skinner has appeared in 13 of their games, Nico Daws in six and Clay Stevenson in five.
Winnipeg at home, New Jersey on the road
The Jets at home scored 3.02 a game and allowed 3.10, a deficit of 0.08. The Devils on the road scored 2.66 and allowed 3.17, a deficit of 0.51. Both halves of the method describe a team that was outscored in that building.
The halves the method leaves out: Winnipeg on the road went 16-19-6, a 39.0% win rate, scoring 2.61 and allowing 3.24. New Jersey at home went 21-17-3, a 51.2% win rate, scoring 2.95 and allowing 3.02. The Devils won at the same 51.2% rate home and away. The Jets won 46.3% at home and 39.0% on the road, and the road half is not in our number.
The season around it
New Jersey went 42-37-3 with 87 points and was outscored by 24 in the Eastern Conference. Winnipeg went 35-35-12 with 82 points and was outscored by 29 in the Western Conference. Neither made the playoffs.
The records split in close games. The Devils went 20-8-3 in one-goal games and won 13 of the 16 that went past regulation. The Jets went 16-12-12 in one-goal games and won 7 of their 19 past 60 minutes. Blowouts ran the other way: New Jersey lost by two goals or more in 29 of 82 games, Winnipeg in 23.
Winnipeg won both 2025-26 meetings, each 4-3. The first, on Sunday 11 January 2026, was in Winnipeg, so it sits inside both halves of our number. The second, on Tuesday 27 January 2026, was in New Jersey and is in neither half. Two games prove nothing about a rate.
Pick: No bet
No bet on the moneyline. The gap is 4.8 points toward the Jets against a threshold of 5.
The line read Devils -148 and Jets +124 on 9 November 2026 at 18:07 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN. It opened at Devils -142 and Jets +120. Since the open the market has moved toward the Devils, giving them 0.9 points more than it did then.
What kills the bet
Here the question runs the other way: what makes one. Against the Devils at -148, the Jets become a bet at +126 or longer. They are +124. At +135 or longer, Winnipeg is a bet whatever New Jersey is priced at.
For the Devils to become the bet, they would have to be +111 or longer. They are -148.
The rest is on the ice. ESPN’s injury list has Josh Morrissey (wrist), Elias Salomonsson (personal), Vladislav Namestnikov (undisclosed) and Nick Bjugstad (pectoral) on injured reserve for Winnipeg. New Jersey lists Anthony Mantha out with a neck injury and Seamus Casey on injured reserve with a knee injury. No goalie is on either list. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 6.5, over +110 and under -130. The Jets’ games went over 6.5 in 39 of 82, the Devils’ in 35 of 82. Winnipeg’s home games averaged 6.12 goals, New Jersey’s road games 5.83.
That is 47.6% and 42.7%, an average of 45.1% for the over. With the margin removed the over is priced at 45.7% and the under at 54.3%. Our number leans to the under by 0.6 points. Pass on the total.
On the puck line, the Devils are -1.5 at +170 and the Jets +1.5 at -205, which is 35.5% and 64.5% without the margin. Over the full season New Jersey won by two goals or more in 22 of 82 games, and Winnipeg lost by two or more in 23 of 82. Averaged, Devils -1.5 lands 27.4% of the time against 35.5% priced, a gap of 8.1 points toward Jets +1.5 at -205. Our method stakes the moneyline only, so this is a lean on the same side as the moneyline gap, and the moneyline gap is short of the line. No bet on this game.
Devils at Jets, Tuesday 10 November, 7:00 PM ET, Canada Life Centre. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 9 November 2026, 18:07 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025-26 regular season and playoffs. Injury list, 2026-27 records and goalie appearances this season: ESPN’s game page, read 9 November 2026, 18:07 UTC.