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Toronto Maple Leafs

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Backing the Maple Leafs in every 2025-26 game lost 17.09 units, and only two NHL teams cost their backers more. Toronto’s games went over the total 47 times in 82, the strongest lean their season offered.

A season that cost money every way

Toronto finished 32-50; only Chicago and Vancouver won a smaller share. Blind support lost 17.09 units, behind only Vancouver and Los Angeles. There was no hiding place in the split: 8.72 lost as favorites, 8.38 as underdogs, 8.58 at home, 8.51 away. The best nights were road upsets: 4-2 at Minnesota at +215, 4-3 in overtime at Colorado at +195, 5-1 at Carolina at +170.

One unit on the Maple Leafs to win, every game0-15-10-5-17.09 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorites who rarely covered

The market made Toronto favorites 32 times; they won 14 and covered the puck line in seven. Only Vancouver, the Islanders and Florida covered less often in that role. All season the cover count was 35 of 82. Away from home it was 18 of 41, a rate only Florida fell below; Calgary, Winnipeg and Anaheim matched it. Their three shortest-priced defeats were all at home: 3-2 in overtime to San Jose at -205, 4-3 in overtime to Seattle at -200, 5-3 to Boston at -200.

The Maple Leafs 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-08 v Montreal Canadiens 5-22025-10-11 at Detroit Red Wings 3-62025-10-13 v Detroit Red Wings 2-32025-10-14 v Nashville Predators 7-42025-10-16 v New York Rangers 2-12025-10-18 v Seattle Kraken 3-42025-10-21 v New Jersey Devils 2-52025-10-24 at Buffalo Sabres 3-52025-10-25 v Buffalo Sabres 4-32025-10-28 v Calgary Flames 4-32025-10-29 at Columbus Blue Jackets 3-62025-11-01 at Philadelphia Flyers 5-22025-11-03 v Pittsburgh Penguins 4-32025-11-05 v Utah Mammoth 5-32025-11-08 v Boston Bruins 3-52025-11-09 v Carolina Hurricanes 4-52025-11-11 at Boston Bruins 3-52025-11-13 v Los Angeles Kings 3-42025-11-15 at Chicago Blackhawks 2-32025-11-18 v St. Louis Blues 3-22025-11-20 v Columbus Blue Jackets 2-32025-11-22 at Montreal Canadiens 2-52025-11-26 at Columbus Blue Jackets 2-12025-11-28 at Washington Capitals 2-42025-11-29 at Pittsburgh Penguins 7-22025-12-02 at Florida Panthers 4-12025-12-04 at Carolina Hurricanes 5-12025-12-06 v Montreal Canadiens 1-22025-12-08 v Tampa Bay Lightning 2-02025-12-11 v San Jose Sharks 2-32025-12-13 v Edmonton Oilers 3-62025-12-16 v Chicago Blackhawks 3-22025-12-18 at Washington Capitals 0-42025-12-20 at Nashville Predators 3-52025-12-21 at Dallas Stars 1-52025-12-23 v Pittsburgh Penguins 6-32025-12-27 v Ottawa Senators 7-52025-12-28 at Detroit Red Wings 2-32025-12-30 v New Jersey Devils 4-02026-01-01 v Winnipeg Jets 6-52026-01-03 at New York Islanders 3-42026-01-06 v Florida Panthers 4-12026-01-08 at Philadelphia Flyers 2-12026-01-10 v Vancouver Canucks 5-02026-01-12 at Colorado Avalanche 4-32026-01-13 at Utah Mammoth 1-62026-01-15 at Vegas Golden Knights 5-62026-01-17 at Winnipeg Jets 4-32026-01-19 v Minnesota Wild 3-62026-01-21 v Detroit Red Wings 1-22026-01-23 v Vegas Golden Knights 3-62026-01-25 v Colorado Avalanche 1-42026-01-27 v Buffalo Sabres 4-72026-01-29 at Seattle Kraken 2-52026-01-31 at Vancouver Canucks 3-22026-02-02 at Calgary Flames 4-22026-02-03 at Edmonton Oilers 5-22026-02-25 at Tampa Bay Lightning 2-42026-02-26 at Florida Panthers 1-52026-02-28 v Ottawa Senators 2-52026-03-02 v Philadelphia Flyers 2-32026-03-04 at New Jersey Devils 3-42026-03-05 at New York Rangers 2-62026-03-07 v Tampa Bay Lightning 2-52026-03-10 at Montreal Canadiens 1-32026-03-12 v Anaheim Ducks 6-42026-03-14 at Buffalo Sabres 2-32026-03-15 at Minnesota Wild 4-22026-03-17 v New York Islanders 1-32026-03-20 v Carolina Hurricanes 3-42026-03-21 at Ottawa Senators 2-52026-03-24 at Boston Bruins 4-22026-03-25 v New York Rangers 4-32026-03-28 at St. Louis Blues 1-52026-03-30 at Anaheim Ducks 5-42026-04-02 at San Jose Sharks 1-42026-04-04 at Los Angeles Kings 6-72026-04-08 v Washington Capitals 0-42026-04-09 at New York Islanders 3-52026-04-11 v Florida Panthers 2-62026-04-13 v Dallas Stars 5-62026-04-15 at Ottawa Senators 1-3Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
32-50 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

April: seven straight defeats

The season ended on seven straight defeats, every April game, a full seven units gone, after March had already run 5-10 and 2.54 down. The only month in profit was December, 0.73 units.

Goals against, and the over

The Leafs allowed 3.65 goals a game, more than every team but Vancouver. Their games went over 47 times and under 35. Three teams had a higher over rate (Edmonton, Anaheim and Pittsburgh) and two matched it, Florida and Vancouver.

The Maple Leafs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 18 (43.9%)Away (41)won 14 (34.1%)Favorite (32)won 14 (43.8%)Underdog (50)won 18 (36.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Who beat them

Detroit won all four meetings, four units lost backing Toronto. The Islanders and Washington went 3-0, with no Leafs cover in either set. Buffalo, Montreal and Ottawa each took three of four. Pittsburgh was the exception: 3-0 for Toronto and 2.27 units.

The Maple Leafs against the teams they played mostBuffalo Sabres1-3Detroit Red Wings0-4Florida Panthers2-2Montreal Canadiens1-3Ottawa Senators1-3Boston Bruins1-2Carolina Hurricanes1-2Columbus Blue Jackets1-2
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

Do Maple Leafs games go over the total?

More often than not in 2025-26: 47 overs in 82, a rate only three NHL teams beat.

What did backing the Maple Leafs cost in 2025-26?

17.09 units over 82 games; only Vancouver and Los Angeles lost more.

How did Toronto do as a favorite?

14-18 in 32 games, covering the puck line seven times.

Past games

  1. Maple Leafs at Golden Knights · 8 OctNo bet
  2. Predators at Maple Leafs · 6 OctPredators +129 or longer
  3. Senators at Maple Leafs · 3 OctThe Maple Leafs won 18 of 41 at home last season.
  4. Islanders at Maple Leafs · 30 SepOur number leans to the Islanders, but not by enough.
  5. Canadiens at Maple Leafs · 29 SepThe Canadiens won 24 of 41 on the road last season.

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