Our number has the Lightning at 52.4%. They are a bet at +111 or longer, the Islanders at +135 or longer.

New York Islanders
Upcoming games
The Islanders made 13.44 units as underdogs in 2025-26, a return only two NHL teams beat. As favorites they covered the puck line in 6 of 33 games, and only one team did worse.
Back them at the plus price
New York was the underdog 49 times and won 28 of them. One unit on each of those games returned 13.44. The best prices landed on the road: 3-1 at Washington at +185 on 31 October, then 4-3 at Vegas at +160 and 3-2 at Utah at +180 on consecutive nights in mid-November.
Laying the price did not work
Make them the favorite and it flips. They went 15-18 in those 33 games, lost 8.11 units, and covered the -1.5 just six times: nine of their 15 wins as favorites were by one goal. Add both roles and the season finished 5.33 units up, with five teams doing better.
Road over home
The puck line split by venue: 24 covers in 41 road games, with eight teams better and two level, against 18 in 41 at home. The moneyline leaned the same way, 3.91 units up away and 1.43 at home. Their three shortest-priced defeats all came at home, the worst 1-2 to Carolina at -185 on 14 April.
One goal either way
The Islanders went 27-16 in one-goal games, and 19 of their 82 went past regulation: 10 settled in overtime, 9 in a shootout. They scored 2.84 a game, with 23 teams scoring more, and allowed 2.94, with six allowing fewer.
Eight for eight against two rivals
New Jersey and the Rangers lost all four meetings each, including a 9-0 over the Devils on 6 January; a unit on the Islanders in those eight made 7.85. Boston, Buffalo and Carolina each won all three against them. Tampa Bay and Toronto lost all three to the Islanders, and New York covered in all six.
The total, and the calendar
A slight under lean: 43 unders against 39 overs, with seven teams leaning under harder and two level. December was the best month, 9-5 and 4.82 units up; April the worst, 1-5 and 4.67 down.
Questions and answers
Should you take New York at plus money?
In 2025-26 the Islanders went 28-21 in that role for 13.44 units, third-best in the NHL.
How often did New York cover the puck line as a favorite?
Six times in 33, the second-worst rate in the league.
How did the Islanders do against the Devils and Rangers?
8-0 across the two, for 7.85 units on the moneyline.
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