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Minnesota Wild

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NHLSat 10 Oct
Minnesota Wild
at
Florida Panthers
SpreadTotalMoneyMIN+1.5U 6.5+120FLA-1.5O 6.5-142
Our call

Bet the Wild at +120. Our number has this game close to even, and the price has Minnesota a clear underdog.

Wild at Panthers · 10 OctWild +120
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionWild at Panthers prediction
NHLMon 12 Oct
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
Our call

The Wild won 23 of 41 at home last season. Our number makes them 54.9%: bet the Wild at +101 or better, the Golden Knights at +150 or bette…

Golden Knights at Wild · 12 OctThe Wild won 23 of 41 at home last season.
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionGolden Knights at Wild prediction

The Wild made 9.59 units as underdogs in 2025-26 and lost 4.47 as favorites, and the gap was widest on home ice: 8-2 as home underdogs, 15-16 as home favorites. Minnesota was a bet to take when the market doubted it.

The price decided it

Minnesota went 46-36, favored 48 times and an underdog 34. At a plus price the Wild went 20-14 and returned 9.59 units; only San Jose, Montreal, the Islanders, Buffalo and St. Louis made more that way. Favored, they went 26-22 and lost 4.47, covering the puck line 14 times in 47. Across the season a unit a game finished 5.13 up.

One unit on the Wild to win, every game0-5+5+5.13 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home favorites who lost more than they won

As home favorites the Wild went 15-16, covered 10 of 31 puck lines and lost 6.55 units. As home underdogs they went 8-2 for 8.04. On the road both roles paid: 12-12 as underdogs for 1.55 units, 11-6 as favorites for 2.08. All three of their shortest-priced losses came on home ice: 4-2 to Toronto at -265, 3-1 to St. Louis at -230, 3-2 in a shootout to Philadelphia at -225.

The Wild at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 23 (56.1%)Away (41)won 23 (56.1%)Favorite (48)won 26 (54.2%)Underdog (34)won 20 (58.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October to November, a swing of more than 13 units

They opened 3-9 and 5.6 units down in October, then went 11-3 in November for 7.97. March took 3.04 back at 6-8. Goals against held at 2.93 a game; only Colorado, Dallas and Tampa Bay allowed fewer, and Carolina and Utah matched it. Twenty-seven games went past regulation, 18 into overtime and nine to a shootout.

The Wild 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-09 at St. Louis Blues 5-02025-10-11 v Columbus Blue Jackets 4-72025-10-13 v Los Angeles Kings 4-32025-10-14 at Dallas Stars 2-52025-10-17 at Washington Capitals 1-52025-10-18 at Philadelphia Flyers 1-22025-10-20 at New York Rangers 3-12025-10-22 at New Jersey Devils 1-42025-10-25 v Utah Mammoth 2-62025-10-26 v San Jose Sharks 5-62025-10-28 v Winnipeg Jets 3-42025-10-30 v Pittsburgh Penguins 1-42025-11-01 v Vancouver Canucks 5-22025-11-04 v Nashville Predators 3-22025-11-06 at Carolina Hurricanes 3-42025-11-07 at New York Islanders 5-22025-11-09 v Calgary Flames 2-02025-11-11 v San Jose Sharks 1-22025-11-15 v Anaheim Ducks 2-02025-11-16 v Vegas Golden Knights 3-22025-11-19 v Carolina Hurricanes 4-32025-11-21 at Pittsburgh Penguins 5-02025-11-23 at Winnipeg Jets 3-02025-11-26 at Chicago Blackhawks 4-32025-11-28 v Colorado Avalanche 3-22025-11-29 v Buffalo Sabres 2-32025-12-02 at Edmonton Oilers 1-02025-12-04 at Calgary Flames 1-42025-12-06 at Vancouver Canucks 2-42025-12-08 at Seattle Kraken 4-12025-12-11 v Dallas Stars 5-22025-12-13 v Ottawa Senators 3-22025-12-14 v Boston Bruins 6-22025-12-16 v Washington Capitals 5-02025-12-18 at Columbus Blue Jackets 5-22025-12-20 v Edmonton Oilers 5-22025-12-21 v Colorado Avalanche 1-52025-12-23 v Nashville Predators 2-32025-12-27 at Winnipeg Jets 4-32025-12-29 at Vegas Golden Knights 5-22025-12-31 at San Jose Sharks 3-42026-01-02 at Anaheim Ducks 5-22026-01-03 at Los Angeles Kings 4-52026-01-05 at Los Angeles Kings 2-42026-01-08 at Seattle Kraken 3-22026-01-10 v New York Islanders 3-42026-01-12 v New Jersey Devils 2-52026-01-15 v Winnipeg Jets 2-62026-01-17 at Buffalo Sabres 5-42026-01-19 at Toronto Maple Leafs 6-32026-01-20 at Montreal Canadiens 3-42026-01-22 v Detroit Red Wings 4-32026-01-24 v Florida Panthers 3-42026-01-27 v Chicago Blackhawks 4-32026-01-29 v Calgary Flames 4-12026-01-31 at Edmonton Oilers 7-32026-02-02 v Montreal Canadiens 4-32026-02-04 at Nashville Predators 6-52026-02-26 at Colorado Avalanche 5-22026-02-27 at Utah Mammoth 2-52026-03-01 v St. Louis Blues 1-32026-03-03 v Tampa Bay Lightning 5-12026-03-06 at Vegas Golden Knights 4-22026-03-08 at Colorado Avalanche 2-32026-03-10 v Utah Mammoth 5-02026-03-12 v Philadelphia Flyers 2-32026-03-14 v New York Rangers 2-42026-03-15 v Toronto Maple Leafs 2-42026-03-17 at Chicago Blackhawks 4-32026-03-19 v Chicago Blackhawks 1-22026-03-21 v Dallas Stars 2-12026-03-24 at Tampa Bay Lightning 3-62026-03-26 at Florida Panthers 3-22026-03-28 at Boston Bruins 3-62026-04-02 v Vancouver Canucks 5-22026-04-04 at Ottawa Senators 4-12026-04-05 at Detroit Red Wings 5-42026-04-07 v Seattle Kraken 5-22026-04-09 at Dallas Stars 4-52026-04-11 at Nashville Predators 1-22026-04-13 at St. Louis Blues 3-62026-04-14 v Anaheim Ducks 3-2Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
46-36 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Sweeps both ways

Anaheim, Edmonton and Vegas each lost all three meetings, and the Wild covered all nine, a combined 8.92 units. San Jose won all three of its meetings with Minnesota, a three-unit loss. Nashville split four games, yet Minnesota covered none of the four puck lines.

The Wild against the teams they played mostChicago Blackhawks3-1Colorado Avalanche2-2Dallas Stars2-2Nashville Predators2-2Winnipeg Jets2-2Anaheim Ducks3-0Calgary Flames2-1Edmonton Oilers3-0
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Forty-five over, 37 under; seven NHL teams went over more often, so the total held no lean.

Questions and answers

Should we back the Wild as underdogs?

In 2025-26 that paid 9.59 units on a 20-14 record, sixth-best in the NHL.

How did the Wild do as home favorites?

15-16 in 2025-26, with 10 puck-line covers in 31 and 6.55 units lost.

What was the Wild’s best month to back them?

November 2025: 11-3 and 7.97 units.

Past games

  1. Wild at Lightning · 8 OctNo bet
  2. Wild at Sabres · 6 OctNo bet
  3. Bruins at Wild · 3 OctOur number and the price agree to within 2.4 points.
  4. Wild at Predators · 1 OctOur number leans to the Predators, 4.8 points short of a bet.

NHL teams