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Ottawa Senators

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NHLSat 10 Oct
Nashville Predators
at
Ottawa Senators
Our call

The Predators lost 24 of 41 on the road last season. Our number makes the Senators 57.3%: bet the Senators at -109 or better, the Predators…

Predators at Senators · 10 OctThe Predators lost 24 of 41 on the road last season.
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionPredators at Senators prediction
NHLMon 12 Oct
Ottawa Senators
at
New Jersey Devils
Our call

Our number has the Senators and the Devils level at 50.0%: bet the Devils at +122 or better, the Senators at +122 or better.

Senators at Devils · 12 OctOur number has the Senators and the Devils level at 50.0%: bet the Devils at +122 or better, the Senators at +122 or better.
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionSenators at Devils prediction

The Senators finished 2025-26 six games over .500 and still cost a unit-a-game backer 4.83 units. Ottawa’s losses piled up from October through January; February and April were the only months in profit.

Over .500, under water

Ottawa went 44-38, favored in 59 of those games and an underdog in 23. Neither role paid. As favorites they went 35-24 and lost 1.66 units; as underdogs, 9-14 and 3.17 down. The puck line was close to a coin: 40 covers, 42 misses.

The Senators 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-09 at Tampa Bay Lightning 5-42025-10-11 at Florida Panthers 2-62025-10-13 v Nashville Predators 1-42025-10-15 at Buffalo Sabres 4-82025-10-16 v Seattle Kraken 4-32025-10-18 v New York Islanders 4-52025-10-21 v Edmonton Oilers 2-32025-10-23 v Philadelphia Flyers 2-12025-10-25 at Washington Capitals 7-12025-10-27 v Boston Bruins 7-22025-10-28 at Chicago Blackhawks 3-72025-10-30 v Calgary Flames 4-32025-11-01 at Montreal Canadiens 3-42025-11-06 at Boston Bruins 2-32025-11-08 at Philadelphia Flyers 3-22025-11-09 v Utah Mammoth 4-22025-11-11 v Dallas Stars 2-32025-11-13 v Boston Bruins 5-32025-11-15 v Los Angeles Kings 0-12025-11-20 at Anaheim Ducks 3-22025-11-22 at San Jose Sharks 3-22025-11-24 at Los Angeles Kings 1-22025-11-26 at Vegas Golden Knights 4-32025-11-28 at St. Louis Blues 3-42025-11-30 at Dallas Stars 1-62025-12-02 at Montreal Canadiens 5-22025-12-04 v New York Rangers 2-42025-12-06 v St. Louis Blues 1-22025-12-09 v New Jersey Devils 3-42025-12-11 at Columbus Blue Jackets 6-32025-12-13 at Minnesota Wild 2-32025-12-15 at Winnipeg Jets 3-22025-12-18 v Pittsburgh Penguins 4-02025-12-20 v Chicago Blackhawks 6-42025-12-21 at Boston Bruins 6-22025-12-23 v Buffalo Sabres 2-32025-12-27 at Toronto Maple Leafs 5-72025-12-29 v Columbus Blue Jackets 1-42026-01-01 v Washington Capitals 4-32026-01-03 v Winnipeg Jets 4-22026-01-05 v Detroit Red Wings 3-52026-01-07 at Utah Mammoth 1-32026-01-08 at Colorado Avalanche 2-82026-01-10 v Florida Panthers 2-32026-01-13 v Vancouver Canucks 2-12026-01-14 at New York Rangers 8-42026-01-17 v Montreal Canadiens 5-62026-01-18 at Detroit Red Wings 3-42026-01-20 at Columbus Blue Jackets 4-12026-01-22 at Nashville Predators 3-52026-01-24 v Carolina Hurricanes 1-42026-01-25 v Vegas Golden Knights 7-12026-01-28 v Colorado Avalanche 5-22026-01-31 v New Jersey Devils 4-12026-02-02 at Pittsburgh Penguins 3-22026-02-03 at Carolina Hurricanes 3-42026-02-05 at Philadelphia Flyers 2-12026-02-26 v Detroit Red Wings 1-22026-02-28 at Toronto Maple Leafs 5-22026-03-03 at Edmonton Oilers 4-52026-03-05 at Calgary Flames 4-12026-03-07 at Seattle Kraken 7-42026-03-09 at Vancouver Canucks 2-02026-03-11 v Montreal Canadiens 2-32026-03-14 v Anaheim Ducks 2-02026-03-15 v San Jose Sharks 7-42026-03-18 at Washington Capitals 1-42026-03-19 v New York Islanders 3-22026-03-21 v Toronto Maple Leafs 5-22026-03-23 at New York Rangers 2-12026-03-24 at Detroit Red Wings 3-22026-03-26 v Pittsburgh Penguins 3-42026-03-28 at Tampa Bay Lightning 2-42026-03-31 at Florida Panthers 3-62026-04-02 v Buffalo Sabres 4-12026-04-04 v Minnesota Wild 1-42026-04-05 v Carolina Hurricanes 6-32026-04-07 v Tampa Bay Lightning 6-22026-04-09 v Florida Panthers 5-12026-04-11 at New York Islanders 3-02026-04-12 at New Jersey Devils 3-42026-04-15 v Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
44-38 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Four slow months, then April

October through January went 26-28 and lost 6.59 units, every one of those four months in the red. February made 0.28 units and March gave back 0.58, before April went 6-2 with seven covers in eight for 2.07 units. Those three months together made 1.77, about a quarter of what the first four had cost.

One unit on the Senators to win, every game0-8-6-4-2-4.83 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Close games went the other way

Sixteen one-goal wins against 21 one-goal defeats. Seventeen games went past regulation, 13 settled in overtime and four in a shootout. Their three shortest-priced losses all came at home: 4-1 to Columbus at -218, 3-2 to Montreal at -192, 4-1 to Nashville at -185. Where they played made no difference to the money: 2.36 units lost at home, 2.47 on the road, with the puck line covered 18 times in 41 at home and 22 in 41 away.

The Senators at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (41)won 23 (56.1%)Away (41)won 21 (51.2%)Favorite (59)won 35 (59.3%)Underdog (23)won 9 (39.1%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The teams met four times

Five teams met Ottawa four times. Boston and Toronto each lost three of four, with Ottawa covering three times against both. Florida, Montreal and Detroit each won three of four, and Florida cost the most at 2.75 units. Philadelphia lost all three meetings, yet Ottawa failed to cover any of them. Six Western Conference teams won both their meetings with Ottawa: Dallas, Edmonton, Los Angeles, Minnesota, Nashville and St. Louis, 12 units lost across those games.

The Senators against the teams they played mostBoston Bruins3-1Detroit Red Wings1-3Florida Panthers1-3Montreal Canadiens1-3Toronto Maple Leafs3-1Buffalo Sabres1-2Carolina Hurricanes1-2Columbus Blue Jackets2-1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Forty-two over, 39 under. Twelve NHL teams had a higher over rate; there is no lean.

Questions and answers

Did backing the Senators make money in 2025-26?

No: 4.83 units down across 82 games, despite a 44-38 record.

How did Ottawa do in one-goal games?

16-21 in 2025-26, with 17 games going past regulation.

When did the Senators turn a profit in 2025-26?

Only late: April went 6-2 with seven puck-line covers in eight, worth 2.07 units.

Past games

  1. Flyers at Senators · 8 OctNo bet
  2. Senators at Red Wings · 6 OctNo bet
  3. Senators at Bruins · 5 OctThe Bruins won 29 of 41 at home last season.
  4. Senators at Maple Leafs · 3 OctThe Maple Leafs won 18 of 41 at home last season.

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