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Pittsburgh Penguins

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NHLSat 10 Oct
Dallas Stars
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
Our call

Our number has the Stars at 54.9%. They are a bet at +101 or longer, the Penguins at +150 or longer.

Stars at Penguins · 10 OctOur number has the Stars at 54.9%.
Tyler WilliamsRead the predictionStars at Penguins prediction

The Penguins covered the puck line in 28 of 40 road games in 2025-26, and only one NHL team covered more often away. Forty-eight Pittsburgh games went over the total; one team had more overs and one matched them.

The road is the bet

Away from home the Penguins went 21-19 and covered 28 times in 40. At home they went 19-21 and covered 18 in 40. The moneyline tells it the same way: 5.95 units up on the road, 5.92 down at home, and across all 82, the two neutral-site games included, the season finished 0.17 down. Their three longest-priced wins were all away: 3-0 at the Rangers at +195, 7-2 at Colorado at +180 and 4-2 at Los Angeles at +175. Their three shortest-priced losses were all at home, the worst a 5-6 overtime defeat by San Jose at -180.

The Penguins at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (40)won 19 (47.5%)Away (40)won 21 (52.5%)Favorite (32)won 19 (59.4%)Underdog (50)won 22 (44.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Overs, with goals at both ends

Penguins games went over 48 times and under 34; one team had more overs and one matched them. Pittsburgh scored 3.57 a game, with only two teams scoring more, and allowed 3.27, with 23 teams allowing fewer.

The Penguins 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-10-07 at New York Rangers 3-02025-10-09 v New York Islanders 4-32025-10-11 v New York Rangers 1-62025-10-14 at Anaheim Ducks 3-42025-10-16 at Los Angeles Kings 4-22025-10-18 at San Jose Sharks 3-02025-10-21 v Vancouver Canucks 5-12025-10-23 at Florida Panthers 5-32025-10-25 v Columbus Blue Jackets 4-52025-10-27 v St. Louis Blues 6-32025-10-28 at Philadelphia Flyers 2-32025-10-30 at Minnesota Wild 4-12025-11-01 at Winnipeg Jets 2-52025-11-03 at Toronto Maple Leafs 3-42025-11-06 v Washington Capitals 5-32025-11-08 at New Jersey Devils 1-22025-11-09 v Los Angeles Kings 2-32025-11-14 v Nashville Predators 1-22025-11-16 v Nashville Predators 4-02025-11-21 v Minnesota Wild 0-52025-11-22 v Seattle Kraken 2-32025-11-26 v Buffalo Sabres 4-22025-11-28 at Columbus Blue Jackets 4-32025-11-29 v Toronto Maple Leafs 2-72025-12-01 at Philadelphia Flyers 5-12025-12-04 at Tampa Bay Lightning 4-32025-12-07 at Dallas Stars 2-32025-12-09 v Anaheim Ducks 3-42025-12-11 v Montreal Canadiens 2-42025-12-13 v San Jose Sharks 5-62025-12-14 v Utah Mammoth 4-52025-12-16 v Edmonton Oilers 4-62025-12-18 at Ottawa Senators 0-42025-12-20 at Montreal Canadiens 0-42025-12-21 v Montreal Canadiens 4-32025-12-23 at Toronto Maple Leafs 3-62025-12-28 at Chicago Blackhawks 7-32025-12-30 v Carolina Hurricanes 5-12026-01-01 v Detroit Red Wings 4-32026-01-03 at Detroit Red Wings 4-12026-01-04 at Columbus Blue Jackets 5-42026-01-08 v New Jersey Devils 4-12026-01-10 v Calgary Flames 1-22026-01-11 at Boston Bruins 0-12026-01-13 v Tampa Bay Lightning 1-22026-01-15 v Philadelphia Flyers 6-32026-01-17 v Columbus Blue Jackets 3-42026-01-19 at Seattle Kraken 6-32026-01-21 at Calgary Flames 4-12026-01-22 at Edmonton Oilers 6-22026-01-25 at Vancouver Canucks 3-22026-01-29 v Chicago Blackhawks 6-22026-01-31 v New York Rangers 6-52026-02-02 v Ottawa Senators 2-32026-02-03 at New York Islanders 4-52026-02-05 at Buffalo Sabres 5-22026-02-26 v New Jersey Devils 4-12026-02-28 at New York Rangers 2-32026-03-01 v Vegas Golden Knights 5-02026-03-03 at Boston Bruins 1-22026-03-05 v Buffalo Sabres 1-52026-03-07 v Philadelphia Flyers 3-42026-03-08 v Boston Bruins 5-42026-03-10 at Carolina Hurricanes 4-52026-03-12 at Vegas Golden Knights 2-62026-03-14 at Utah Mammoth 4-32026-03-16 at Colorado Avalanche 7-22026-03-18 at Carolina Hurricanes 5-62026-03-21 v Winnipeg Jets 5-42026-03-22 v Carolina Hurricanes 1-52026-03-24 v Colorado Avalanche 2-62026-03-26 at Ottawa Senators 4-32026-03-28 v Dallas Stars 3-62026-03-30 at New York Islanders 8-32026-03-31 v Detroit Red Wings 5-12026-04-02 at Tampa Bay Lightning 3-62026-04-04 v Florida Panthers 9-42026-04-05 v Florida Panthers 5-22026-04-09 at New Jersey Devils 5-22026-04-11 v Washington Capitals 3-62026-04-12 at Washington Capitals 0-32026-04-14 at St. Louis Blues 5-7Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
41-41 in 82 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Losing the one-goal games

Pittsburgh went 12-23 in one-goal games. Twenty-three games went past regulation, and 13 of those reached a shootout, against 10 settled in overtime.

Price by role

As favorites the Penguins went 19-13 and finished exactly level, 0.00 units, covering the puck line in 13 of 32. As underdogs they went 22-28 for 0.17 down and covered 34 of 50. Across all 82 they covered 47 times; five teams did better and two matched it. Pittsburgh’s longest winning run was six games.

Fast start, then a hole

October went 8-4 with 10 covers in 12 and 6.26 units up; January 11-4 and 5.38 up. In between, November and December together went 9-17 for 8.23 units down.

One unit on the Penguins to win, every game0-2+2+4+6-0.17 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 82 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The opponents

Detroit and Florida lost all three meetings with Pittsburgh, and the Penguins covered all three against Florida. New Jersey lost three of four, and the Penguins covered all four. Toronto won all three, and Carolina took three of four, though Pittsburgh covered three of those.

Questions and answers

Are the Penguins a good road bet?

In 2025-26, yes: 28 puck line covers in 40 road games, second in the NHL, and 5.95 units on the moneyline.

Is the over the play in Pittsburgh games?

It was in 2025-26: 48 of 82 went over, and only one NHL team had more.

How did Pittsburgh do in close games?

12-23 in one-goal games, with 23 games past regulation and 13 settled in a shootout.

Past games

  1. Penguins at Capitals · 7 OctPenguins +138 or longer
  2. Jets at Penguins · 5 OctThe Jets lost 25 of 41 on the road last season.
  3. Canadiens at Penguins · 3 OctOur number leans to the Canadiens by 4.9 points, a tenth short of a bet.
  4. Penguins at Flyers · 30 SepOur number has this at close to even.

NHL teams