NHL
NHL · Tuesday 10 November
Predators vs Kings Best Pick, Prediction and Odds
Bet the Predators on the moneyline. Our number makes Nashville a 53.0% winner in Los Angeles, and the price says 43.7%.
The Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings is priced Predators +120 and Kings -142 at DraftKings. With the margin out, that is 43.7% for Nashville and 56.3% for Los Angeles. The market has the home team as a clear favourite. Our number has the visitors ahead.
How 53.0% is reached
Our home win chance is the average of two 2025-26 rates: the home team’s win rate in its own arena and the visitor’s loss rate on the road. Overtime and shootout wins count as wins, and neutral-site games are left out. A side is a bet when our number and the market’s differ by at least 5 points.
The Kings went 15-17-9 at crypto.com Arena, a 36.6% home win rate. The Predators went 17-16-7 on the road, a 57.5% road loss rate. Average the two and Los Angeles is 47.0%, Nashville 53.0%. That is 9.3 points better for the Predators than the price.
The margin is the extra a book builds into both prices so the pair adds to more than 100%. At +120 and -142 the two come to 104.1%. Taken out, the Predators are 43.7% and the Kings 56.3%.
Every input is from 2025-26. This season is outside the method, and it has started badly for Los Angeles. The Kings are 5-8-2, 2-5-0 at home, and lost 5-2 to Pittsburgh on Saturday 7 November. Darcy Kuemper has played 10 of their games and Anton Forsberg 6. The Predators are 8-4-5, 2-1-3 on the road, and beat St. Louis 3-1 on Saturday 7 November. Juuse Saros has played 12 of their games and Justus Annunen 4.
Los Angeles at home, Nashville on the road
The Kings at home scored 2.63 a game and allowed 3.12, a deficit of 0.49. The Predators on the road scored 3.0 and allowed 3.33, a deficit of 0.33. Both halves are negative. The Kings’ half is the worse one.
The halves the method leaves out run the other way for Los Angeles. On the road the Kings went 20-10-11, a 48.8% win rate, scoring 2.85 and allowing 2.9. Nashville at home went 20-17-3, a 50.0% win rate, scoring 3.12 and allowing 3.27. The Kings were the better team away from their own arena in 2025-26, and that half is not in our number.
The season around it
Both teams play in the Western Conference, and both finished 2025-26 with a goal difference of -22. Los Angeles went 35-27-20 with 90 points, then lost 0-4 to Colorado in the first round. Nashville went 38-34-10 with 86 points and missed the playoffs.
The Kings lived in close games. They went 21-6-20 in one-goal games, and won 13 of the 33 that went past regulation. Nashville went 20-8-10 in one-goal games and won 10 of its 20 past 60 minutes. Los Angeles won by two goals or more 14 times in 82 games; the Predators lost by two or more 26 times.
All three 2025-26 meetings went to a shootout. Nashville won 5-4 at home on Saturday 25 October 2025, a game in neither half of our number. The two in Los Angeles are in both halves: the Predators won 5-4 on Thursday 2 April 2026, and the Kings won 3-2 on Monday 6 April 2026.
Pick: Predators +120
Bet the Predators on the moneyline at +120. The gap is 9.3 points toward Nashville, against a threshold of 5.
The line read Predators +120 and Kings -142 on 9 November 2026 at 17:37 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN. It opened at +124 and -148. Since the open the market has moved toward Nashville, giving the Predators 0.9 points more than at the open (42.8% then, 43.7% now).
What kills the bet
A shorter Nashville price. At +109 or longer the Predators are a bet whatever Los Angeles is priced at. Against the Kings at -142, they stay a bet down to -118.
For the Kings to become the bet, they would have to be +138 or longer. They are -142.
The rest is on the ice. Los Angeles’s 5-8-2 start is not in our number. ESPN’s injury list has Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala, Jakub Dvorak and Jan Jenik on injured reserve for the Kings. Nashville lists Jonathan Marchessault as day-to-day with a lower-body injury. No goalie is on either list. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -135 and under +114. The Kings’ games went over 5.5 in 39 of 82, the Predators’ in 44 of 82. Los Angeles’s home games averaged 5.75 goals, Nashville’s road games 6.33.
Those rates are 47.6% and 53.7%, an average of 50.6% for the over. With the margin removed the over is priced at 55.1% and the under at 44.9%. Our number leans to the under by 4.5 points, short of the 5-point threshold. Pass on the total.
On the puck line, Los Angeles is -1.5 at +170 and Nashville +1.5 at -205, which is 35.5% and 64.5% without the margin. The Kings won by two goals or more in 14 of 82 games, and the Predators lost by two or more in 26 of 82. Averaged, Kings -1.5 lands 24.4% of the time against 35.5% priced, a gap of 11.1 points toward Predators +1.5. Our method stakes the moneyline only, so this is a lean on the same side. One bet on this game: the Predators at +120.
Predators at Kings, Tuesday 10 November, 10:00 PM ET, crypto.com Arena. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 9 November 2026, 17:37 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025-26 regular season and playoffs. Injury list, 2026-27 records and goalie appearances this season: ESPN’s game page, read 9 November 2026, 17:37 UTC.