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Ipswich Town vs Hull City Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

By Keylor SantosUpdated 29 Oct 2026
Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct
Ipswich Town
at
Hull City
SpreadTotalMoneyIPS+0.5U 2.5+165HUL-0.5O 2.5+165

No bet on Ipswich Town at Hull City. Neither club has played enough games at this venue for our method to produce a number, so there is no gap to bet.

DraftKings has Hull City at +165, the draw at +245 and Ipswich Town at +165, read 29 October at 19:21 UTC. The book builds in a margin of 4.5%: the extra that makes the three prices add to more than 100%. With it removed, the market reads Hull City 36.1%, the draw 27.7% and Ipswich Town 36.1%. The price treats this as level, with the draw as the outsider.

How the number would be reached

The method is a Poisson model on two expected-goal figures. Each figure starts from the league’s average goals at that venue. It is then scaled by one side’s scoring rate there and the other side’s conceding rate at the opposite venue. An outcome is a bet when our chance sits at least 5 points above the market’s.

That rate needs a sample. The method uses this season’s venue record from 6 games, or last season’s venue record in this league if it ran to 6 or more. Hull City have 4 home games this season and no previous-season home record of 6 or more in this league. Ipswich Town have 4 away games and no previous-season away record of that size. Neither side clears the bar, so we have no number at all and nothing to set against 36.1%.

Hull City at home, Ipswich Town on the road

These are the halves the method would use once each reaches 6. Hull City are 1-3-0 (wins, draws, losses) at The MKM Stadium, with 5 scored and 3 conceded: 1.25 a game for and 0.75 against. This season’s league average across 80 games is 1.51 goals a game for the home side, so Hull are scoring below it at home and conceding well under the visitors’ 1.26.

Ipswich Town are 1-0-3 away, with 7 scored and 11 conceded: 1.75 a game for and 2.75 against. On four games each, these figures are measurements, not rates. They prove nothing yet.

Hull at home and Ipswich awayHull at home and Ipswich away, this season and lastHull at home, 2026-27 English Premier League1-3-0 in 4scored 1.25 a gameconceded 0.75 a gameIpswich away, 2026-27 English Premier League1-0-3 in 4scored 1.75 a gameconceded 2.75 a gameRecord is wins-draws-losses in league games. Our number uses this season at the venue from six games; below that, last season, when that record holds six or more.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 29 October 2026.

The other halves sit outside the method. Hull City are 1-1-2 away, 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded a game. Ipswich Town are 2-1-1 at home, 1.25 for and 1.25 against.

The season around it

After 8 games the two clubs have the same points. Hull City are 10th of 20 on 10 points from 2-4-2, with 9 scored and 8 conceded. Ipswich Town are 12th on 10 points from 3-1-4, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.

Hull and Ipswich in the tableLeague position and points per game, this season and lastHull2026-27 English Premier League10 of 20, 10 pts in 82025-26 English Premier Leaguenot in this leagueIpswich2026-27 English Premier League12 of 20, 10 pts in 82025-26 English Premier Leaguenot in this leagueThree points for a win, one for a draw.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 29 October 2026.

The shapes differ more than the points do. Four of Hull’s 8 games were draws. Ipswich’s 16 conceded is the larger number on either side, and 11 of those came in their 4 away games. None of it enters a number we do not yet have.

Pick: no bet

No bet on the result. Our threshold is 5 points over the market, and with neither venue sample at 6 games there is no figure to measure against Hull City +165, the draw +245 or Ipswich Town +165 at DraftKings, read 29 October 2026, 19:21 UTC.

Only one read of these prices was taken, so this page shows no opening price and no move.

What changes the call

The samples. When Hull City reach 6 home games and Ipswich Town 6 away games this season, the method runs and their games can carry a number. For this game, no price move makes it a bet, because there is no figure for the price to cross.

This page says nothing about who is available on 31 October. Check the lineups before you bet anything.

The goals

No total price was read for this game. The method does not stake the goals, so there is no number here either.

For reference only: 3 of Hull City’s 8 league games went over 2.5 goals, against 5 of Ipswich Town’s 8. Eight games is too few for either count to describe a rate.

The last meetings

ESPN lists five meetings since February 2021. Ipswich Town won four, and the other was a 3-3 draw at Hull on 27 April 2024. At Hull, Ipswich won 1-0 on 23 February 2021 and 2-0 on 25 November 2025. At Ipswich, they won 3-0 on 3 October 2023 and 1-0 on 3 March 2026.

None of the five feeds the method. All five were played before this season, and the most recent was at Ipswich.

Last meetings of Hull and IpswichHull and Ipswich: the last meetings ESPN holds3 Mar 2026Ipswich 1-0 Hull25 Nov 2025Hull 0-2 Ipswich27 Apr 2024Hull 3-3 Ipswich3 Oct 2023Ipswich 3-0 Hull23 Feb 2021Hull 0-1 IpswichHome side first. All competitions ESPN lists for the pair.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 29 October 2026.

Ipswich Town at Hull City, English Premier League, Saturday 31 October, 11:00 AM ET, The MKM Stadium, Hull. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 29 October 2026, 19:21 UTC. Results and table: ESPN, 2026-27 English Premier League league games. Nothing here states who is available.