Twenty-one Norse games in 30 cleared the posted total in 2025-26; only Xavier and Notre Dame finished with a higher over rate. Northern Kentucky also lost all three games against Wright State.
The over
This is the number that defines a Northern Kentucky game. The total was posted 30 times and the over came in 21, 70%. Only Xavier and Notre Dame went over more often. The Norse scored 83.15 a game, 33rd in Division I, and allowed 77.47.
The last two meetings with Wright State show it: 92-91 on 28 February against a total of 153.5, and 103-90 in the Horizon League tournament semifinal against 157.5.
20-14 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Home favorites that lost
Watch the short home prices. Green Bay won 87-84 there on 4 February with the Norse at -360. Robert Morris won 92-89 on 17 January at -305. Oakland and Charleston won there in December too, at -180 and -218. Over 21 priced games as favorites, a unit on Northern Kentucky lost 3.01.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Against the spread
They covered 13 of 31, 41.9%, and 10 of 22 when favored. At home the split was even, seven and seven. On the road it was 5 of 15, and only 31 teams covered less often away. As underdogs they covered three times in nine; 21 teams did worse and three matched it.
The moneyline lost 5.22 units across 30 priced games. The longest-priced win came in November: 90-66 at Central Michigan at +155.
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Horizon League opponents
Wright State won all three, 3.0 units gone. Green Bay won two of three, the Norse taking the tournament meeting 96-76. Oakland won the first two meetings and lost the third, 85-84 in the tournament’s first round, with the Norse at +110. Cleveland State lost both meetings and failed to cover either.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Questions and answers
Is the over a habit for Northern Kentucky games?
It was in 2025-26: 21 overs in 30, 70%, behind only Xavier and Notre Dame.
How did the Norse do against Wright State in 2025-26?
Three games, three losses: 88-80, 92-91 and 103-90 in the Horizon League tournament.
Which Northern Kentucky home loss came at the shortest price?
Green Bay, 87-84 on 4 February, with the Norse at -360.
