The Bulldogs covered 9 of their 12 lined home games in 2025-26, and only seven Division I teams covered at home more often. Favored, they covered 12 of 17, and our Samford predictions above lean on both numbers.
At home, and as favorite
Samford went 11-3 at home and covered 9 of 12 lined games there; four teams matched the rate. As favorites the Bulldogs won 14 of 17 and covered 12, a rate only 16 teams beat. Backing them to win in those 17 games made 2.32 units.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The home misses were three: 82-72 over South Carolina State laying 14.5, 62-77 to Florida Gulf Coast at -230, and 73-77 to Furman getting 1.5.
February
Samford won eight of nine in February and covered eight, from 88-74 at Western Carolina on 1 February to 87-78 over UNC Greensboro on the 28th. The month’s best price was 82-72 at East Tennessee State at +250. February made 4.2 units.
18-14 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Getting points
As underdogs the Bulldogs won two of 13 and covered six, the longest of them 75-79 at Arkansas getting 24.5 in November. Those 13 moneylines lost 7.59, which is why the season’s total finished 5.27 units down over 30 priced games despite 18 covers in 30.
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Furman and the total
Furman beat Samford three times, the last 86-81 in the SoCon quarterfinal with Samford at -122. Nineteen of 30 priced totals went over; 21 teams had a higher over rate, two the same.
Questions and answers
Does Samford cover at home?
Nine times in 12 lined home games in 2025-26, a home rate bettered by seven teams.
