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The march is on for the NFC Championship. The Detroit Lions were supposed to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl last year, but they couldn’t even get out of the second round.
It was the Philadelphia Eagles who made it to the promised land and closed the deal, and now sports bettors can try predicting whether either of those two teams can do it in 2025.
The 2025 NFC Championship odds suggest one of those teams are a very good bet to get it done, but they aren’t without stiff competition. Several teams are eyeing a leap in production, while a number of teams regressed last year, but could return to form.
After taking a look at the AFC Championship odds, let’s inspect the latest odds and see if the top contenders are the likely bets to go the distance this year. Need more assistance going into the new season? Just stop by our NFL betting page.
With that, let’s see who is favored to win the NFC title game, and which value bets are viable threats to stop them from meeting high expectations.
What Is The NFC Championship?
The NFC Championship game started in 1970 with the AFL and NFL merger. The game pits the top two teams in the NFC against each other, deciding which team represents the conference in the Super Bowl.
When Is The NFC Championship Game?
The NFC title game is typically played in late January, two weeks before the Super Bowl.
What Channel Is The NFC Championship Game On?
- NFC Championship Channel: FOX
- NFC Championship Time: 3:00 pm EST
- NFC Championship Announcers: Joe Buck & Troy Aikman
NFC Championship Odds
The following NFC Championship odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:
NFC Odds | NFC Odds |
---|---|
Philadelphia Eagles (+300) | Detroit Lions (+400) |
San Francisco 49ers (+800) | Los Angeles Rams (+900) |
Washington Commanders (+1000) | Green Bay Packers (+1100) |
Minnesota Vikings (+1400) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1400) |
Chicago Bears (+1600) | Dallas Cowboys (+2200) |
Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for the NFC Championship and monitor how the lines change throughout the season.
Right now, the usual suspects are up top, and nobody should be too surprised. The Detroit Lions had the #1 seed in the NFC last year, but a first round bye and a leaky defense combine to allow them to be upset by the Washington Commanders.
Washington was able to reach the NFC title game, but after enjoying some lucky wins and an easy schedule, it’s quite arguable they’ll be due for some regression. Philly may experience something similar, as Super Bowl winners traditionally struggle to stay healthy and deliver in the face of tough schedules.
There could be a bigger opportunity for value in this market, especially compared to betting on who will win the AFC title game. I’ll go over the top contenders, though, and highlight some nice value bets I think have a real chance to shock the collective NFL world.
Need more help than just my breakdown and picks? I encourage you to test out the top handicappers online to see if they can’t boost your betting game.
NFC Championship Favorites
The following teams are considered the odds-on favorites to win the NFC Championship according to the top sports betting sites:
Philadelphia Eagles (+300)
The Philadelphia Eagles are the understandable favorites to win the NFC Championship. They’ve won this game two times over the last five years, and not much has changed on their roster.
Philly has pieced together a serious win-now bunch. It’s certainly worth wondering if a dual threat quarterback like Jalen Hurts will hold up much longer, or if Saquon Barkley can be as explosive and as efficient following a season with so many touches.
However, if the Eagles can fend off the injury bug, they remain as loaded as anyone on offense. It isn’t just the running game or under center where they thrive, as AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith give them explosive plays down the field. Heck, they even held onto tight end Dallas Goedert despite trade rumors.
Defensively, the Eagles are weirdly just as good. Their pass rush was a huge reason for their success in the playoffs last year, and they should again be a terror on the edge in 2025.
The Eagles have talked about becoming a dynasty, and all the pieces are there for that dream to become a reality. The big question is if a longer playoff schedule and health woes could contribute to tripping them up.
An increasingly more competitive NFC East division also could have something to say about Philadelphia’s plight for a repeat.
Detroit Lions (+400)
As great as the Eagles are, they do have a bit of a problem on their hands, as the Detroit Lions are not far behind them at all. In fact, some would argue that they were the better team last year, and they are in theory the team to beat in the NFC again this year.
The Lions do have some serious questions to answer, of course. The first is a huge shift in dynamic on the sidelines. Dan Campbell and his fiery ways are here to stay, but brilliant offensive mind Ben Johnson and defensive ace Aaron Glenn left town for head coaching gigs.
Whether the Lions can replace their top coordinators effectively will be a major storyline for this team. They better have answers in a hurry, though, as the brutal NFC North may not wait for them to figure it out.
The good news? Detroit still has the goods on offense, so changing OC’s may not hurt them too much. Some wonder if Jared Goff can truly take his game to the needed level to get the Lions over the hump, but he has the supporting cast to make it happen.
Jahmyr Gibbs broke out last year and may not look back in 2025. Gibbs, accompanied by Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta, field a borderline unstoppable offense that put up more points per game (33.1) than anyone last year.
Provided the offense can stay the course, the big issue could come on defense. Detroit fell off sharply following a devastating leg injury to pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson. He’s back, but will he be the same player, and is his return enough to save a unit that ranked 29th in opponents yards per play and 30th in sack rate? Only time will tell.
Detroit isn’t the lock they were a year ago, but the roster is largely the same. If they can figure things out on the sidelines and improve a faulty defense, they absolutely could bounce-back and reach the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
San Francisco 49ers (+800)
The San Francisco 49ers are a different story and are the poster boy for what can happen to a title contender when hit with a rash of injuries. We finally found out how vulnerable Brock Purdy is when the roster crumbles around him, as injuries to Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Christian McCaffrey paved the way for a major downfall.
The Niners ultimately missed the playoffs and in the offseason opted to deal Samuel to Washington. Aiyuk is still recovering from knee surgery, too, so the optimism surrounding the 49ers is eyebrow raising at best.
I suppose that is what head coach Kyle Shanahan’s resume has earned him. He’s twice helped the 49ers reach the Super Bowl, and short of last year has pieced together a yearly title threat.
If healthy, things might not be any different in 2025. McCaffrey will be back, Aiyuk will return at some point, and the team still has Brock Purdy and George Kittle. San Francisco also has high expectations on defense, where Nick Bosa still leads the charge and former defensive coordinator Robert Saleh returns for unfinished business.
The 49ers are in theory a very compelling bet. Just a year ago their +800 odds to win the NFC Championship would have felt like some kind of sick joke. Of course, the NFC West isn’t the cakewalk it once was, and a lot of things still need to go right. Let’s also not forget that the Lions and Eagles are seemingly here to stay, too.
That said, nobody is a better pure value than the 49ers. If a bounce-back really is in order, this is a price seasoned bettors can’t turn away from.
NFC Championship Betting Value
These NFL teams offer betting value to win the NFC Championship based on their current odds and overall potential:
Washington Commanders (+1000)
The Washington Commanders can be argued as a solid value bet to win the NFC Championship, seeing as they got that far just last year. They did that with Dan Quinn running the show for the first time and with rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels learning on the fly.
It was an impressive run, with the Commanders winning 12 games, nipping at the heels of the Eagles in the NFC East, and even upsetting the top-seeded Lions in the second round of the NFL playoffs.
Daniels won the NFL Rookie of the Year award behind an amazing first season, where he threw 25 touchdowns with a passer rating of 100.1, adding 891 yards and five more scores with his legs.
Washington’s offense was dynamic and unpredictable, finishing the year ranked 6th in scoring (28.8 points per game) and #1 in fourth down conversion rate. The offense remains much the same, with offensive weapon Deebo Samuel added to the roster and possibly helping to take things to a whole new level.
The downside, of course, is that Washington’s schedule won’t be as soft this time around, defenses now have NFL tape on Daniels, and the offense will need to be as good as ever to counter a weak defense (22nd in scoring).
While not easy, there is still a path for the Commanders to further expedite their rapid rebuild and go from floundering franchise to title contender. The question is if bettors will feel great about backing them to do so in 2025.
Green Bay Packers (+1100)
The Green Bay Packers haven’t enjoyed quite the same meteoric rise under Jordan Love. It’s been a gradual incline, with Love producing very well in his first season on the job, but taking an individual step back in 2025.
You could chalk his mild statistical regression up to injuries, of course, as Love hurt his knee in a tight week one loss to the eventual champion Eagles, and he wasn’t truly healthy the rest of the way.
Love still put up 25 touchdowns despite not being at 100%, and even though his game was erratic to a certain degree, Green Bay was improved overall and made the playoffs for the second straight season under his guidance.
The arrival of Josh Jacobs ended up being a smashing success. He was a reliable threat out of the backfield and routinely finished drives (16 TDs) on the ground, playing a key part in the league’s 10th best red-zone offense.
Green Bay did lose deep threat Christian Watson to a knee injury, but they beefed up their passing attack by spending a first round draft choice on Matthew Golden. On paper, the Packers have one of the more dynamic offenses in the league, and with Matt LaFleur still calling the shots, they really don’t have a ceiling.
Defensively, the Packers looked the best they have in years. Their pass rush was still spotty at times, but Green Bay was much improved against the run and had the NFL’s fifth best scoring unit.
Edgerin Cooper was a revelation as the season grew on, and his maturation in year two is one major reason to believe this defense isn’t done evolving. Nothing is guaranteed, but if Golden and Love can establish a rapport and this defense wasn’t a one-year wonder, the green and golden could really be onto something in 2025.
NFC Championship Longshot
If I had to pick one longshot bet for this NFL betting market, it’d be the Chicago Bears at their +2200 price tag. The NFL can certainly give way to variance, but typically the best teams are the most likely options when betting on who will get to the Super Bowl.
If someone outside of the top tier does make it, their odds still aren’t egregious usually. I think the Bears fit that mold, plus they have a lot of things going for them. Heck, Nick Wright pegged the Bears as a title threat last year, despite handing the keys to their offense over to a rookie quarterback.
Caleb Williams and co. dealt with some growing pains, but they also had poor coaching. That changed this offseason, as former Detroit Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson took over the show, and suddenly Chicago feels like a very viable Super Bowl sleeper.
Johnson saw over elite offenses in Detroit, and the cupboard is not bare in Chicago. Caleb Williams wasn’t the #1 overall pick by accident, either. He is an exciting arm talent who can keep plays alive with stellar mobility – plus he has plenty of weapons to work with.
Chicago already had shifty running back D’Andre Swift and the explosive DJ Moore to go to battle with, but they also added star rookies Colston Loveland and Luther Burden. On offense, the Bears have more than enough to turn into a major problem in 2025.
What’s more exciting is the Bears also have a very good defense and solid special teams unit. With the offense ready to make a huge jump and superior coaching offering proper guidance, this is the NFC Championship sleeper you need to bet on this year.
NFC Championship Predictions
There is a lot of value out there when betting on who will win the 2025 NFL Championship game. There are a couple of teams from the NFC South that could be viable, but when looking at the rest of the competition in this conference, they don’t feel like realistic bets.
Instead, I’d stick with the top NFL teams in this conference – the defending champion Eagles, the Lions, and a revitalized 49ers bunch. There is room for a sleeper team like the Packers, but if we’re all being honest with ourselves, the next tier of NFC teams just isn’t on par with the top contenders.
Ultimately, repeating is very difficult and I’m not fully sold on the 49ers bouncing all the way back. I am pretty sold on Detroit still being a serious force in this conference, however.
The Lions will be highly motivated to get back to the #1 seed and finish the job. They do have question marks on defense and their coaching staff, but I trust Dan Campbell and their overall roster is arguably the scariest unit the league has to offer.
Bet: Detroit Lions (+400)
NFC Championship History
The following is a list of the most recent NFC Conference Champions:
Year | NFC Winner | NFC Runner-Up |
---|---|---|
2024 | Philadelphia Eagles | Washington Commanders |
2023 | San Francisco 49ers | Detroit Lions |
2022 | Philadelphia Eagles | San Francisco 49ers |
2021 | Los Angeles Rams | San Francisco 49ers |
2020 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Green Bay Packers |
2019 | San Francisco 49ers | Green Bay Packers |
2018 | Los Angeles Rams | New Orleans Saints |
2017 | Philadelphia Eagles | Minnesota Vikings |
2016 | Atlanta Falcons | Green Bay Packers |
2015 | Carolina Panthers | Arizona Cardinals |