NBA DPOY Odds 2026: Wembanyama Wins

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Mario Vega

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NBA

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NBA DPOY Odds are officially settled for the 2025-26 season, and Victor Wembanyama did exactly what the market expected. The San Antonio Spurs superstar won the Kia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award, becoming the youngest winner in league history and the first unanimous DPOY selection since the award began in 1982-83.

Wembanyama was not just a trendy favorite. He was the entire market. He led the NBA in blocks per game for the third straight season, anchored one of the league’s best defenses, and gave voters the cleanest defensive award case in years.

The fast betting recap: Wembanyama tickets cashed, Chet Holmgren finished second, Ausar Thompson finished third, and every longshot path died because the favorite never gave voters a real reason to look elsewhere. From a prediction standpoint, this was a perfect result. From a betting standpoint, the only real question was whether the price became too expensive before the award was announced.

Now the betting conversation shifts to next season. Wembanyama should open as the clear 2026-27 Defensive Player of the Year favorite again, but repeat prices can be dangerous. Bettors need to separate “most likely winner” from “best number,” especially in an award market where injuries, team defense, games played, and voter fatigue can change the race fast.

NBA DPOY Odds 2026

The 2026 NBA DPOY Odds market is closed. Wembanyama won the award, Holmgren finished second, and Thompson finished third. That means the favorite-heavy result was correct, even if the final betting price was brutal for anyone trying to find value late in the season.

This is one of those award races where the prediction and the bet were not always the same thing. Wembanyama was clearly the best pick. But once his odds shortened into massive favorite territory, bettors had to decide whether tying up bankroll at a tiny return still made sense.

For future defensive award prices, futures boards, and regular-season market movement, the NBA odds page is the best place to compare numbers before locking in a ticket.

2026 DPOY MarketFinal ResultBetting Takeaway
WinnerVictor WembanyamaCorrect favorite and cleanest award case
Runner-UpChet HolmgrenBest non-Wembanyama contender
Third PlaceAusar ThompsonVersatile wing defense got voter respect
Best Market LessonMost likely winner is not always best valuePrice discipline matters

The final result was obvious, but the betting lesson is still useful. Wembanyama deserved the award, yet bettors who waited too long were paying for certainty after the market had already priced it in.

Victor Wembanyama Wins DPOY

Victor Wembanyama won the 2025-26 Kia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award and earned the Hakeem Olajuwon Trophy. He became the youngest player ever to win the award and the first unanimous DPOY winner in league history.

The official case was overwhelming. Wembanyama led the league in blocks per game for the third straight season, San Antonio ranked third in defensive rating, and the Spurs were dramatically better defensively with him on the floor.

For official award information, readers can check the NBA Defensive Player of the Year announcement.

Wembanyama DPOY Case2025-26 ResultWhy It Mattered
AwardKia NBA Defensive Player of the YearTop defensive honor in the league
VotingUnanimous winnerNo serious voter split
Age22 years oldYoungest DPOY winner ever
Blocks3.08 per gameLed NBA for third straight season

This was not a reputation award. Wembanyama won because his defensive impact was visible, measurable, and tied directly to a Spurs team that became a legitimate championship threat.

Final DPOY Voting Results

The final DPOY voting results confirmed what the odds had been saying for months. Wembanyama won, Holmgren finished second, and Thompson finished third.

Holmgren had the best non-Wembanyama case because Oklahoma City had elite team success, rim protection, and title-level defensive credibility. Thompson gave Detroit a strong wing-defense argument, which mattered in a league full of perimeter creators.

Still, neither finalist had enough to threaten Wembanyama. The Spurs star had the counting stats, the team-defense case, the history angle, and the voter consensus.

Final RankPlayerTeamBetting Read
1Victor WembanyamaSan Antonio SpursRunaway favorite cashed
2Chet HolmgrenOklahoma City ThunderBest alternative, but not close enough
3Ausar ThompsonDetroit PistonsStrong longshot respect

The final order also shows why preseason and midseason value hunting is so tricky in award markets. The best alternative can be a good handicap and still lose badly if the favorite creates a historic case.

Why Wembanyama Won DPOY

Wembanyama won DPOY because he controlled the award from every angle. He blocked shots, erased drives, changed opponent shot charts, and made the Spurs’ entire defensive structure more aggressive because they knew he was behind the play.

The on/off case was just as loud as the highlights. San Antonio allowed far fewer points per 100 possessions when Wembanyama was on the court than when he sat, and that gave voters a clean impact argument beyond the blocked-shot total.

He also had team context. Voters usually do not want to give this award to a defender on a bad team unless the individual case is absurd. This season, Wembanyama had both: absurd individual impact and a Spurs team that defended at an elite level.

DPOY FactorWembanyama EdgeAward Impact
Rim ProtectionElite shot-blocking and deterrenceEasy voter visual
Team DefenseSpurs ranked near the top of the NBATeam success strengthened case
On/Off ImpactSpurs defended far better with himAdvanced case matched eye test
NarrativeHistoric young defensive anchorUnanimous voting became realistic

The best part of Wembanyama’s case was that voters did not have to choose between stats and eye test. Both pointed to the same answer.

NBA DPOY Betting Recap

The NBA DPOY betting recap is simple: Wembanyama was the correct winner, but the market became almost unplayable late. If you grabbed him early at a reasonable price, the ticket was excellent. If you waited until he was a massive odds-on favorite, the risk-reward was much harder to justify.

Holmgren was the best value challenger, but he needed Wembanyama to miss time, San Antonio’s defense to slip, or Oklahoma City’s team-defense case to become impossible to ignore. None of that happened strongly enough.

For award betting discipline and futures strategy, the expert betting guide is useful because DPOY is one of the clearest examples of price being just as important as prediction.

Bet Type2026 ResultLesson
Wembanyama DPOYCashedBest prediction all season
Late Wembanyama BetCashed, but low returnPrice was the problem
Holmgren Challenger TicketLostNeeded Wembanyama stumble
Longshot Wing DefendersLostRim-protection narrative was too strong

The sharpest way to play this market was early Wembanyama or no bet. Once the price got absurd, chasing the favorite became more about comfort than value.

Chet Holmgren and Ausar Thompson

Chet Holmgren finished second because he had the strongest alternative case. Oklahoma City had the team profile, Holmgren had the rim-protection impact, and his defensive role mattered on a championship-level roster.

Ausar Thompson finishing third was also important. DPOY voting often tilts toward big men because blocks and rim protection are easier to quantify, but Thompson’s placement showed that elite wing defense still gets attention when the team context is strong enough.

Neither finalist lost because they were weak candidates. They lost because Wembanyama’s case was too complete. That distinction matters when projecting next season’s market.

ChallengerWhy He Had a CaseWhy He Lost
Chet HolmgrenElite team defense and rim protectionWembanyama had stronger stats and narrative
Ausar ThompsonVersatile perimeter stopperWing defense rarely beats elite rim protection
Rudy GobertReputation and All-Defensive respectNot enough new narrative to beat Wembanyama
Bam AdebayoSwitchability and defensive IQTeam and statistical case fell short

Holmgren remains the cleanest non-Wembanyama threat for next season. Thompson is the more interesting longshot if Detroit’s defense keeps climbing and voters want a different type of defender.

All-Defensive Team Impact

The All-Defensive teams confirmed how voters viewed the defensive landscape. Wembanyama, Holmgren, Thompson, Rudy Gobert, and Derrick White made the First Team, while Bam Adebayo, OG Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Dyson Daniels, and Cason Wallace made the Second Team.

That matters for future DPOY betting because All-Defensive placement often signals who voters already trust. A player does not need to make First Team the year before winning DPOY, but it helps build the narrative runway.

For bettors tracking team context and matchup data, the NBA picks page can help connect daily defensive trends with bigger award-market assumptions.

2025-26 HonorPlayersDPOY Market Meaning
All-Defensive First TeamGobert, Holmgren, Thompson, Wembanyama, WhiteCore voter-trust group
All-Defensive Second TeamAdebayo, Anunoby, Barnes, Daniels, WallaceUseful longshot watchlist
DPOY FinalistsWembanyama, Holmgren, ThompsonLikely top of next year’s early board

The All-Defensive teams also show the problem for non-Wembanyama bettors. There are plenty of elite defenders, but the award winner had both the highest ceiling and the loudest case.

2027 NBA DPOY Odds Outlook

The 2027 NBA DPOY Odds outlook begins with Wembanyama as the obvious favorite. He just won unanimously, his Spurs are now a Finals-level team, and his defensive profile is still unmatched.

That does not automatically make him the best early bet. Repeat markets can become overpriced fast, especially when sportsbooks know casual bettors will rush to the most obvious name. Wembanyama should be favored, but the number matters.

Holmgren should be the top alternative. Thompson should remain on the longshot radar. Gobert, Adebayo, Anunoby, Barnes, Daniels, Wallace, and other elite defenders need the right combination of team defense, minutes, health, and narrative to make a real push.

2027 DPOY CandidateEarly Market ReadBetting Note
Victor WembanyamaClear favoriteBest prediction, price-sensitive bet
Chet HolmgrenTop challengerBest non-Wembanyama value if OKC defense stays elite
Ausar ThompsonLongshot contenderNeeds Detroit team-defense leap
Rudy GobertReputation candidateNeeds elite Minnesota defense and voter buy-in
OG AnunobyWing-defense sleeperNeeds stronger counting-stat narrative

The best early approach is patience. Wembanyama may be the obvious winner again, but betting an award before rosters, roles, and injury reports settle can trap money at a bad number.

Best Early 2027 DPOY Bets

The best early 2027 DPOY bets should be built around price, not just names. Wembanyama is the best prediction. Holmgren is the best challenger. Thompson is the most interesting longshot. Anunoby is the wing-defense sleeper if voters start rewarding New York’s defensive identity more heavily.

The safest strategy is to avoid overpaying for the favorite before the season. DPOY is a long grind, and the market can swing after injuries, minutes changes, team-defense jumps, or unexpected defensive-rating surges.

The best futures card should leave room for live adjustments. Bet small early, track team defense after the first month, and only add once the numbers show which teams are building real defensive award narratives.

Early 2027 Bet TypeBest PickWhy It Fits
Best PredictionVictor WembanyamaMost dominant defensive profile
Best Value ChallengerChet HolmgrenElite defense plus team success path
Best LongshotAusar ThompsonVersatile stopper with finalist credibility
Best Wing SleeperOG AnunobyKnicks defense and playoff reputation help
Best Wait-and-SeeBam Adebayo / Scottie BarnesNeed team-defense context first
Best Early Prediction: Victor Wembanyama to repeat.
Best Early Value Watch: Chet Holmgren if books leave enough separation from Wembanyama.
Best Longshot Watch: Ausar Thompson if Detroit’s defense starts near the top of the league.

Recent NBA DPOY Winners

Here are the most recent NBA Defensive Player of the Year winners.

SeasonDPOY WinnerTeam
2025-26Victor WembanyamaSan Antonio Spurs
2024-25Evan MobleyCleveland Cavaliers
2023-24Rudy GobertMinnesota Timberwolves
2022-23Jaren Jackson Jr.Memphis Grizzlies
2021-22Marcus SmartBoston Celtics
2020-21Rudy GobertUtah Jazz

The recent winners list shows how much voters still value elite big-man defense. Smart was the rare guard winner, but the market usually starts with rim protectors who anchor elite team defenses.

Wembanyama now becomes the standard. The only question is whether books price him so aggressively next year that bettors need to find value elsewhere.

Betting involves risk. NBA futures odds can move quickly after injuries, roster changes, team-defense trends, minutes shifts, and award narrative movement. Always compare live prices before placing a wager and only bet what you can afford to lose.

FAQs

Who won the 2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Victor Wembanyama won the 2025-26 Kia NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. He became the youngest winner in league history and the first unanimous DPOY selection.

Are NBA DPOY Odds still available for 2026?

No. The 2026 NBA DPOY Odds market is closed because Victor Wembanyama already won the award. Bettors should now look ahead to the 2026-27 DPOY futures board.

Who finished second in NBA DPOY voting?

Chet Holmgren finished second in 2025-26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year voting. Ausar Thompson finished third.

Why did Victor Wembanyama win DPOY?

Wembanyama won because he led the NBA in blocks per game, anchored one of the league’s best defenses, had elite on/off defensive impact, and produced a historic unanimous voting case.

Who should be favored for 2027 NBA DPOY?

Victor Wembanyama should be favored again for 2027 NBA Defensive Player of the Year. Chet Holmgren, Ausar Thompson, Rudy Gobert, Bam Adebayo, OG Anunoby, and Scottie Barnes should also be watched depending on price and team context.

What is the biggest NBA DPOY betting lesson?

The biggest NBA DPOY betting lesson is that the best prediction is not always the best bet. Wembanyama was the right winner, but once his odds became extremely short, the value was mostly gone.