Hart Trophy Odds 2026-27: McDavid Leads at +300 Skip to content
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Hart Trophy Odds 2026-27: McDavid Leads at +300

NHL Hart Trophy Award Odds and Predictions

Connor McDavid leads the 2026-27 Hart Trophy board at +300 at DraftKings, a 25.0% implied chance. Nathan MacKinnon is next at +350 and Macklin Celebrini at +450, while Nikita Kucherov, who won the Hart for 2025-26, starts fifth at +1200.

That is the price on 24 September 2026, five days before the season opens. The board has 82 names on it and will move with every point, injury and standings swing between now and April.

What is the Hart Trophy

The Hart Memorial Trophy goes to the NHL’s most valuable player. Kucherov won it for the 2025-26 season, playing for the Tampa Bay Lightning, and it was his second Hart after the 2018-19 award.

It is a separate vote from the Art Ross Trophy, which goes to the scoring leader, and the Ted Lindsay Award, which the players vote on. McDavid won both of those for 2025-26 and still did not win the Hart.

2026-27 Hart Trophy odds

This is the top of the DraftKings board as ESPN carried it, with each player’s 2025-26 regular season beside the price.

PlayerTeamPriceImplied chance2025-26 GPGAPTS
Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers+30025.0%824890138
Nathan MacKinnonColorado Avalanche+35022.2%805374127
Macklin CelebriniSan Jose Sharks+45018.2%824570115
Leon DraisaitlEdmonton Oilers+11008.3%65356297
Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning+12007.7%764486130
Kirill KaprizovMinnesota Wild+14006.7%78454489
David PastrnakBoston Bruins+15006.2%772971100
Auston MatthewsToronto Maple Leafs+15006.2%60272653
Cale MakarColorado Avalanche+25003.8%75205979
Jack HughesNew Jersey Devils+25003.8%61275077

The implied chance is 100 divided by the price plus 100. Add it up across all 82 players and the board comes to 173.4%, so the book’s margin in this market is wide, and the true chance behind each price is lower than the figure in the table.

Hart Trophy contenders

McDavid has the strongest scoring case. He played all 82 games, led the league with 138 points and won the Art Ross, and the price makes him the favorite for the season about to start. His problem last season was the vote, not the numbers: Kucherov won with 130 points in 76 games.

MacKinnon is the goal scorer of the group. He scored 53 goals in 2025-26 and won the Maurice Richard Trophy, on a Colorado team that had the most points in the league, 121. Makar, his teammate, is the only defenseman in the top ten at +2500.

Celebrini is priced ahead of the defending winner. He had 115 points in 82 games, fourth among the ten players in the table and 15 behind Kucherov, for a San Jose team that finished 39-35-8 and did not make the playoffs. At +450 the price assumes San Jose gets better around him.

Kucherov at +1200 is the defending winner priced as a long shot. He was a First All-Star Team selection in 2025-26 along with McDavid, and Tampa Bay finished 50-26-6.

Recent Hart Trophy winners

SeasonWinnerTeam
2025-26Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning
2024-25Connor HellebuyckWinnipeg Jets
2023-24Nathan MacKinnonColorado Avalanche
2022-23Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers
2021-22Auston MatthewsToronto Maple Leafs
2020-21Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers
2019-20Leon DraisaitlEdmonton Oilers
2018-19Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning
2017-18Taylor HallNew Jersey Devils
2016-17Connor McDavidEdmonton Oilers
2015-16Patrick KaneChicago Blackhawks

Seven of the last eleven awards went to players in the top five on this board. McDavid has three of them and Kucherov two. Hellebuyck, a goaltender, is the one winner in that stretch who was not a forward.

How to use these prices

A Hart bet is worth making only when you rate a player’s chance higher than the price does. At +300, McDavid needs to win this award 25.0% of the time for the bet to break even. At +1200, Kucherov needs 7.7%.

The price you take is fixed, and the board is not. The season opens on Tuesday, 29 September, with McDavid and Edmonton at home to Vancouver at 10 p.m. ET, and the full 84-game schedule runs to 10 April 2027.

Nightly calls are on the NHL predictions hub, and nightly lines on the NHL scores and odds page. The rookie race is on the Calder Trophy odds page, the playoff MVP on the Conn Smythe Trophy odds page, and team futures on the Stanley Cup odds page and the NHL conference odds page. For paid NHL picks, the membership trial is here.

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