Week 13 Sunday Night Football Odds and Picks: Broncos vs. Commanders

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The Week 13 Sunday Night Football game originally looked like a thrilling matchup when the schedule was first released. Unfortunately, injuries have curbed the excitement as the Washington Commanders, without Jayden Daniels, will host the Denver Broncos.

The Broncos (9-2) are coming off a Bye Week where this team got some much-needed rest and was able to reset their focus on earning the no.1 seed in the AFC. Currently, Denver holds the tie breaker over the Patriots for the top seed.

The Commanders (3-8) are also coming off a Bye Week but this franchise is now turning its attention towards next year. Without Daniels, Washington has no chance at beating the Broncos. In fact, Washington has lost six consecutive games.

When we last saw both teams in Week 11, the Commanders were losing 16-13 in OT to the Miami Dolphins in the season’s final International Game. Denver was vanquishing their longtime nemesis Kansas City Chiefs, who also just lost on Thanksgiving and won’t be able to catch the Broncos in the AFC West division.

Denver is shaping up to be a real AFC threat to represent the conference in the 2026 Super Bowl, while the Commanders are competing for a Top 5 draft pick.

Let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL betting odds for SNF, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 12 NFL predictions for the Denver Broncos vs. Washington Commanders.

What Channel Is Sunday Night Football On?

  • Sunday Night Football Channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Sunday Night Football Time: 8:20pm ET
  • Sunday Night Football Announcers: Mike Tirico and Chris Collinsworth

The Denver Broncos vs. Washington Commanders will take place at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. Kickoff time is expected to be at 8:20 pm ET.

Sunday Night Football Odds

The following Sunday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Denver Broncos-260-5.5 (-110)O 43.5 (-110)
Washington Commanders+210+5.5 (-110)U 43.5 (-110)

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for SNF and monitor how the lines change from now until kickoff.

The Washington Commanders first opened as a 2.5-point favorite when the odds for this Week 13 SNF matchup were initially released. The spread went as high as +6.5 points for the Commanders, before settling at the current spread of 5.5 points. Additionally, Washington went from a -130 favorite to as high as a +265 underdog, before their line came down to +210.

The Denver Broncos initially opened as a +110 Underdog. Eventually, their odds climbed as high as -335 before settling at a range of -255 to -270.

Last week, the Rams won as we predicted. So, our record has improved to 7-5-1 on the season. However, we also swept our Game and Player Prop bets last week with the following picks:

  • Matthew Stafford over 255.5 passing yards
  • Davante Adams over 4.5 catches
  • Emeka Egbuka longest reception Over 23.5 yards

The Rams blew away the Buccaneers by the score of 34-7. They were led by Matthew Stafford who threw for 273 yards and 3 TDs. Davante Adams caught five passes for 62 yards and 2 TDs. Egbuka’s longest catch was for 32 yards.

In addition to our Week 13 Sunday Night Football preview below, if you are in need of more NFL predictions for this weekend or the rest of the season, then check out the industry’s best handicapping membership. And, you can test it out for free!

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The following Sunday Night Football betting trends include data from last season:

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

  • 8-0 SU in last eight games
  • 7-0 SU in last seven NFC games
  • 5-1 ATS in last six November games
  • Under is 6-3 in last nine NFC East games

Washington Commanders Betting Trends

  • 0-6 SU in last six games
  • 5-13-1 SU in last 19 Week 13 games
  • 0-6 ATS in last six games
  • 0-5 ATS in last five November games
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 AFC games

Sunday Night Football Matchup

These two NFL teams have played against each other 16 times and the series is tied at eight wins apiece. However, Washington did beat Denver in Super Bowl 22.

The Commanders are 4-2 SU in their last six home games against the Broncos. Furthermore, Washington is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings against Denver.

Washington and Denver last played against each other in 2023, and it was the Commanders that won by the score 35 to 33. The last time that these two franchises played against each other in Washington was 2017, and the Commanders won 27-11.

Sunday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a look at the participants in the Sunday Night Football game tonight, and make our winning NFL picks

Denver Broncos Sunday Night Football

The Denver Broncos started off the season going 1-2 and have won nine games in a row since then. Although four of their last five wins were by 3 points or less in each contest, it feels like Denver has yet to reach its full potential on offense.

Offensively, the Broncos try to run the ball more, but they throw the ball nearly 58% of the time. However, their ground game is 10th in the NFL and Washington allows the 6th most rushing yards at 137.5 ypg. So, I expect Denver’s ground game to find success and help set up the play action passing, which has been elite at times.

Washington gives up the 4th most passing yards in the NFL at 249.5 ypg. Denver allows the lowest sack rate in the NFL and Bo Nix is very capable of scrambling to avoid a sack or to extend a play.

The biggest reason why I like the Broncos this weekend, is due to their defense. Which I’ll discuss in the next section.

Washington Commanders Sunday Night Football

The Commanders boast of the no.4 rush offense in the league but that’s in large part due to their inability to throw the ball. Currently, Washington averages just 191.6 passing yards per game, but Denver is 5th against the pass as they give up just 185.5 ypg.

What makes Denver even scarier this weekend and for the rest of the season is that they will get Patrick Surtain II back after a lengthy hiatus due to an injury. So, I fully expect this secondary to shut down Washington’s receivers and to get after the QB. The Broncos have the second highest sack rate (11.72%).

Even if Washington wanted to rely on their run more, the Broncos boast of the no.3 run defense as they only give up 88.5 yards per game. Any way you slice it, the Denver defense is the difference maker in this matchup. And, with Surtain back, I expect the defense to lead the way in Week 13 and for the rest of the season.

Who Is Winning Sunday Night Football?

On the season, Washington averages 21.5 ppg. However, over their last six games (all losses), the Commanders have scored an average of 17.0 ppg. Denver allows just 17.5 ppg.

The Commanders put up just 13 points against Miami in Week 11. Against the Chiefs in Week 8 and the Seahawks in Week 9, two top tier defenses, Washington averaged 10.5 ppg.

Denver is 7-0 SU in their last seven NFC games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games during the month of November. Washington is 0-5 ATS in their last five November games. Additionally, the Commanders are 0-6 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last six overall games.

I’m taking the Broncos to win this game outright and to easily cover this spread. Denver should win by double digits.

Bet: Denver Broncos (-260), Broncos -5.5 (-110), Total (pass)

Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game prop bets for this Sunday Night Football matchup:

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards

  • Over 193.5 yards (-110)
  • Under 193.5 yards (-110)

The Broncos should get Surtain back and they allow just 185.8 ypg through the air. The Commanders averaged 191.6 passing ypg and Mariota is going to get beat up for four quarters with one of the league’s best pass rushes.

I just don’t see Mariota coming close to this mark and wouldn’t be surprised if he’s out before the final quarter.

Bet: Under 193.5 yards (-110)

Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards

  • Over 19.5 yards (-110)
  • Under 19.5 yards (-110)

This is a sneaky one. McLaughlin had 19 yards in Week 11 and is reportedly going to be part of Denver’s rushing plans for the rest of the year since JK Dobbins is out with an injury. So, I think we see McLaughlin get at least 20 rushing yards and possibly even a TD this week against a bad Washington defense.

Bet: Over 19.5 yards (-110)

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Rushing Yards

  • Over 23.5 yards (-110)
  • Under 23.5 yards (-110)

Nicknamed “Bill,” Jacory Croskey-Merritt was a highly talked about rookie coming into the season. He’s showed flashes at times, like when he put up 111 yards against the Chargers in Week 5. Unfortunately, over the last five games, Bill hasn’t even cracked 40 rushing yards. Against Miami, he had 28 yards on nine carries.

Between Denver’s stout run defense, and Washington’s three-headed backfield, I just don’t see JCM getting 24 yards or more.

Bet: Over 23.5 yards (-110)

Denver Broncos Team Touchdowns

  • Over 2.5 TDs (-125)
  • Under 2.5 TDs (-105)

Denver averages 2.6 TDs per game, while Washington allows 3.0 TDs per game. I see the Broncos scoring at least three total touchdowns in this matchup. They’re playing against a lifeless team with a bad defense. That bodes well for Bo Nix and the offense. Take the Over!

Bet: Over 2.5 TDs (-125)

Best Bets For Sunday Night Football

Check out our best bets for Sunday Night Football:

  • Denver Broncos -260
  • Denver Broncos -5.5 (-110)
  • Denver Broncos Over 2.5 TDs (-125)

I see this game being a double-digit blowout in favor of the Denver Broncos. They are the superior team on both sides of the ball. The biggest reason why I think they will win is that this Denver defense will shutdown Washington’s inept offense. The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league.

On the flip side, Nix and company will have plenty of chunk plays and scoring opportunities against a bad Washington defense. I think the Broncos win this game 31-10 or something close to that. Washington is 0-6 ATS in their last six games, while Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last six November games.

If you decide to put these best Week 13 SNF bets into a parlay, then you will win $376 for every $100 wagered. And, when you look at this parlay, it’s down to the Denver Broncos playing to their full potential against a lifeless Washington Commanders team.  

Last week, we swept through our Player Prop picks and also nailed our Week 12 SNF parlay for a $369 payout on the following picks:

  • Los Angeles Rams -350
  • Matthew Stafford over 255.5 passing yards (-110)
  • Davante Adams over 4.5 catches (-110)

If this excites you, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week. We also have weekly College Football parlays, as well. So, take a peek and possibly even combine the two.o have weekly College Football parlays, as well. So, take a peek and possibly even combine the two.

Sunday Night Football Schedule 

DateTime(ET)Road TeamHome TeamPrediction
Sep. 48:20 PMDallas CowboysPhiladelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles (W)
Sep. 78:20 PMBaltimore RavensBuffalo BillsBuffalo Bills (W)
Sep. 148:20 PMAtlanta FalconsMinnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons (W)
Sep. 218:20 PMKansas City ChiefsNew York Giants Kansas City Chiefs (W)
Sep. 288:20 PMGreen Bay PackersDallas CowboysGreen Bay Packers (T)
Oct. 58:20 PMNew England PatriotsBuffalo Bills Buffalo Bills (L)
Oct. 128:20 PMDetroit LionsKansas City ChiefsDetroit Lions (L)
Oct. 198:20 PMAtlanta FalconsSan Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons (L)
Oct. 268:20 PMGreen Bay PackersPittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers (L)
Nov. 28:20 PMSeattle SeahawksWashington Commanders Seattle Seahawks (W)
Nov. 98:20 PMPittsburgh SteelersLos Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers (W)
Nov. 168:20 PMDetroit LionsPhiladelphia EaglesDetroit Lions (L)
Nov. 238:20 PMTampa Bay BuccaneersLos Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams (W)
Nov. 308:20 PMDenver BroncosWashington CommandersDenver Broncos 
Dec. 78:20 PMHouston TexansKansas City Chiefs 
Dec. 148:20 PMMinnesota VikingsDallas Cowboys 
Dec. 218:20 PMCincinnati BengalsMiami Dolphins 
Dec. 278:20 PMTBDTBD 
Dec. 288:20 PMChicago BearsSan Francisco 49ers 
Jan. 48:20 PMTBDTBD 

Sunday Night Football Song

When Sunday Night Football debuted in 2006, singer-songwriter Pink sang the theme song for SNF. She reworked Joan Jett’s “I hate Myself for Loving You” and retitled it “Waiting All Day For Sunday Night.

From 2007-2012, Faith Hill took over for Pink to a mixed reaction. In 2013, Carrie Underwood has been the SNF singer. Since then, Underwood and NBC attempted a few different opening songs but they were met with a furious backlash. So, they returned to “Waiting All Day for Sunday Night” as we wait for the upcoming SNF game.

Sunday Night Football Record

The following list is of each team’s all-time record on Sunday Night Football. This also includes postseason games as well:

TeamGamesWinsLossesTies
Arizona Cardinals14851
Atlanta Falcons166100
Baltimore Ravens3017130
Buffalo Bills141130
Carolina Panthers8260
Chicago Bears3411230
Cincinnati Bengals194150
Cleveland Browns6240
Dallas Cowboys6535300
Denver Broncos2816120
Detroit Lions15780
Green Bay Packers5028220
Houston Texans15870
Indianapolis Colts3719180
Jacksonville Jaguars5230
Kansas City Chiefs3822160
Las Vegas Raiders11470
Los Angeles Chargers2814140
Los Angeles Rams177100
Miami Dolphins9270
Minnesota Vikings2810180
New England Patriots4324190
New Orleans Saints261970
New York Giants4016240
New York Jets11560
Philadelphia Eagles4825230
Pittsburgh Steelers5229230
San Francisco 49ers2211110
Seattle Seahawks3220111
Tampa Bay Buccaneers13670
Tennessee Titans7250
Washington Commanders2210120