Week 16 Sunday Night Football Odds and Picks: Patriots vs. Ravens

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The Week 16 Sunday Night Football game is a crucial AFC matchup as the Baltimore Ravens host the New England Patriots. Both teams are fighting for Playoff seeding and hoping to clinch their respective divisions over the next three weeks.

In Week 15, the Patriots (11-3) dropped a massive home game to the Buffalo Bills which prevented New England from clinching the AFC East and knocked them a game back of Denver in the race for the AFC’s no.1 seed. A loss this weekend would put the division up for grabs.

The Ravens (7-7) stopped a two-game losing streak by blanking their division rival Cincinnati Bengals, who they had just lost to in Week 13. The win kept them in the hunt for the AFC North as they sit a game back of the Steelers. A loss this weekend would almost certainly knock them out of Playoff contention.

As you can see, the stakes are high for both teams. While the Ravens were a preseason favorite in the AFC, it’s the Patriots that look like the true contender to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.

Let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL betting odds for SNF, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 16 NFL predictions for the New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens.

What Channel Is Sunday Night Football On?

  • Sunday Night Football Channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Sunday Night Football Time: 8:20pm ET
  • Sunday Night Football Announcers: Mike Tirico and Chris Collinsworth

The New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. Kickoff time is expected to be at 8:20 pm ET.

Sunday Night Football Odds

The following Sunday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
New England Patriots+135+3 (-110)O 48 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens-160-3 (-110)U 48 (-110)

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for SNF and monitor how the lines change from now until kickoff.

When the lines first came out, the New England Patriots were a large Underdog at +8.5 points and +295 odds. Those lines went as high as +315 and +9 before the season got underway and things began to unfold throughout the year.

The spread went as low as +1.5 points and +115 moneyline for New England before rising back up to +3 and +135 odds. The Ravens opened at -375, went as high as -430, before settling at a range of -150 to -160 odds.

The Total opened at 46.5 points, went has high as 48.5 points, before settling at the current O/U of 48 points.

Last week, the Dallas Cowboys let us down by losing at home to the Minnesota Vikings who were already eliminated from the Playoffs. The loss dropped us to 8-7-1 on the season.

In addition to our Week 16 Sunday Night Football preview below, if you are in need of more NFL predictions for this weekend or the rest of the season, then check out the industry’s best handicapping membership. And, you can test it out for free!

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The following Sunday Night Football betting trends include data from last season:

New England Patriots Betting Trends

  • 10-1 SU in last 11 games
  • 6-0 SU in last 17 games
  • 5-1 SU in last six AFC games
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games
  • Over is 6-2 in last eight games

Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends

  • 6-2 SU in last eight games
  • 9-2 SU in last 11 December games
  • 1-4 ATS in last five games
  • 1-6 ATS in last seven home games
  • Under is 5-2 in last seven games

Sunday Night Football Matchup

These two NFL teams have played against each other 16 times and the New England Patriots hold a sizable lead in this rivalry with an 11-5 series record.

The Patriots have gone 4-2 SU in the last six meetings between these two teams. Their last matchup came in 2022, and the Ravens won that game 37-26. However, New England is 3-2 SU in their five trips to Baltimore since the Ravens came into the league in 1996.

The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams. At Baltimore, the Over has gone 5-0 in the five games played there.  

Sunday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a look at the participants in the Sunday Night Football game tonight, and make our winning NFL picks

New England Patriots Sunday Night Football

The New England Patriots had their 10-game winning streak snapped last weekend after blowing a 21-point lead to the Buffalo Bills. But don’t let that setback fool you. New England is still one of the top teams in the AFC and definitely capable of defeating the Ravens on SNF.

The offense is Top 10 in most major categories like scoring 27.3 ppg (7th), 364.2 total ypg (6th), 3.1 TDs per game (5th) and 241.8 passing ypg (6th). Although their rushing attack ranks 13th (122.4 ypg), they’ve actually evolved over the season and feature an explosive backfield with Henderson who is their homerun hitter.

With that said, this game comes down to how well the offensive line blocks for Drake Maye, and how the second-year QB can dissect Baltimore’s pass coverages. I love Maye’s chances for a big outing in this game.

The Ravens give up the 7th most passing yads at 233.3 ypg and have seen the 4th most passing attempts per game (36.4) due to their suspect defense. Even worse for Baltimore this weekend, is that they have the second lowest sack rate in the NFL. Allowing Maye time to throw the ball is a dangerous game to play.

Defensively, the Patriots matchup well with Baltimore’s strength which is running the ball. The Patriots have the 5th best run defense that allows only 95.1 ypg. They also give up the second fewest rushing TDs at 0.5 touchdowns per game. Baltimore averages 1.1 rushing TDs per game which is the 7th best.

This in-game matchup is going to be crucial for both teams’ chances of winning this game.

Baltimore Ravens Sunday Night Football

The Baltimore Ravens snapped a two-game losing streak by shutting out their AFC North rival Cincinnati Bengals 24-0. Lamar Jackson threw for two TDs and the defense also scored a touchdown, while shutting down an explosive Cincy offense.

The Ravens will need to duplicate that feat, or come close, if they want to beat New England this weekend.

Baltimore’s identity is in running the ball. They rank 3rd in the NFL at 146.2 rushing ypg and have the 3rd highest rush play percentage at 49.37% per game. This running game ranks first with 5.2 yards per rush. With that said, they’re facing a tough Patriots’ run defense that has been stout all season long.

Where the Patriots have been subpar on defense is in stopping the pass. Currently, they rank 15th with 205.1 ypg. They also don’t get after the QB as much as needed. The Pats are 23rd in sack rate, which bodes well for Lamar Jackson’s chances.

However, Baltimore ranks dead last in passing attempts (26.0) and they have the 3rd lowest pass plays called at 50.63%.

Defensively, Baltimore needs another outstanding performance otherwise they have no shot at winning. In their seven losses, the Ravens have given up over 33 points per game. If they let Maye and company score 33 points, then they will definitely lose.

Who Is Winning Sunday Night Football?

I like New England to cover the spread in this matchup. They’re currently 5-1 ATS as the Away team, 2-0 ATS after a loss, and 3-0 ATS as the Away Underdog.  

I also like the Patriots to win this game outright as they’re 10-1 SU in their last 11 games, 6-0 SU in their last six road games, 5-1 SU in their last six AFC games, and 11-5 SU against the Ravens.

I see New England’s run defense creating more stops than Baltimore’s pass defense. I expect Maye to have better game than Jackson. The latter will need a solid performance, which he’s not produced since coming back from his injury. Jackson has six INTs in his last five games, which includes three weeks in a row.

I’m passing on the Total because I just don’t trust Baltimore’s offense enough to bet on them or against them, especially if their ground game is limited.

Bet: New England Patriots +135, Patriots +3 (-110), Total (pass)

Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game prop bets for this Sunday Night Football matchup:

Drake Maye Passing Yards

  • Over 235.5 yards (-110)
  • Under 235.5 yards (-110)

After 14 games, Drake Maye is averaging 254.8 passing yards per game. He’s eclipsed the 236-yard mark in 10 of his 14 starts so far. Last week in the snow, was the first time that Maye hadn’t eclipsed 235 yards in seven weeks. He only finished with 155 yards, but that was also due to the success that New England was having on the ground.

This week, I expect Maye to shine again. Look for at least 250 yards against the 7th worst passing defense in the NFL.

Bet: Over 235.5 yards (-110)

Drake Maye Passing TDs

  • Over 1.5 TDs (-110)
  • Under 1.5 TDs (-110)

Drake Maye has 23 passing TDs this season and has thrown for two or more touchdowns in nine of his 14 starts on the season. Maye had a streak during the middle of the season, where he had two or more passing TDs in eight of nine games.

Look for Maye to toss at least two touchdowns against a Ravens defense that allow at least 1.5 passing TDs per game.

Bet: Over 1.5 TDs (-110)

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards

  • Over 79.5 yards (-110)
  • Under 79.5 yards (-110)

Derrick Henry comes into this week’s matchup averaging 80.4 rushing yards per game. However, in eight of his 14 starts, Henry has finished with less than 79 rushing yards in a game.

Now, Henry faces the 5th best run defense, who will certainly focus on stopping the run first. I’m taking the Under for this matchup.

Bet: Under 79.5 yards (-110)

Best Bets For Sunday Night Football

Check out our best bets for Sunday Night Football:

  • New England Patriots +135
  • New England Patriots +3 (-110)
  • Drake Maye over 235.5 passing yards (-110)

As a Bills fan, I will be rooting for the Ravens to win. However, I just don’t see that happening. New England is the better team on both sides of the ball. Drake Maye will throw for at least 250 passing yards and two touchdowns as he leads the Patriots to a big road win and one step closer to the AFC East title.

If you decide to put these best Week 16 SNF bets into a parlay, then you will win $756 for every $100 wagered. All we need is for things to play out as expected based on the stats and trends.

If this excites you, then check out our best NFL parlays of the week. We also have weekly College Football parlays, as well. So, take a peek and possibly even combine the two.

Sunday Night Football Schedule 

DateTime(ET)Road TeamHome TeamPrediction
Sep. 48:20 PMDallas CowboysPhiladelphia EaglesPhiladelphia Eagles (W)
Sep. 78:20 PMBaltimore RavensBuffalo BillsBuffalo Bills (W)
Sep. 148:20 PMAtlanta FalconsMinnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons (W)
Sep. 218:20 PMKansas City ChiefsNew York Giants Kansas City Chiefs (W)
Sep. 288:20 PMGreen Bay PackersDallas CowboysGreen Bay Packers (T)
Oct. 58:20 PMNew England PatriotsBuffalo Bills Buffalo Bills (L)
Oct. 128:20 PMDetroit LionsKansas City ChiefsDetroit Lions (L)
Oct. 198:20 PMAtlanta FalconsSan Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons (L)
Oct. 268:20 PMGreen Bay PackersPittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers (L)
Nov. 28:20 PMSeattle SeahawksWashington Commanders Seattle Seahawks (W)
Nov. 98:20 PMPittsburgh SteelersLos Angeles ChargersLos Angeles Chargers (W)
Nov. 168:20 PMDetroit LionsPhiladelphia EaglesDetroit Lions (L)
Nov. 238:20 PMTampa Bay BuccaneersLos Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams (W)
Nov. 308:20 PMDenver BroncosWashington CommandersDenver Broncos (W)
Dec. 78:20 PMHouston TexansKansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs (L)
Dec. 148:20 PMMinnesota VikingsDallas CowboysDallas Cowboys (L)
Dec. 218:20 PMNew England PatriotsBaltimore Ravens New England Patriots
Dec. 288:20 PMChicago BearsSan Francisco 49ers 
Jan. 48:20 PMTBDTBD 

Sunday Night Football Song

When Sunday Night Football debuted in 2006, singer-songwriter Pink sang the theme song for SNF. She reworked Joan Jett’s “I hate Myself for Loving You” and retitled it “Waiting All Day For Sunday Night.

From 2007-2012, Faith Hill took over for Pink to a mixed reaction. In 2013, Carrie Underwood has been the SNF singer. Since then, Underwood and NBC attempted a few different opening songs but they were met with a furious backlash. So, they returned to “Waiting All Day for Sunday Night” as we wait for the upcoming SNF game.

Sunday Night Football Record

The following list is of each team’s all-time record on Sunday Night Football. This also includes postseason games as well:

TeamGamesWinsLossesTies
Arizona Cardinals14851
Atlanta Falcons166100
Baltimore Ravens3017130
Buffalo Bills141130
Carolina Panthers8260
Chicago Bears3411230
Cincinnati Bengals194150
Cleveland Browns6240
Dallas Cowboys6535300
Denver Broncos2816120
Detroit Lions15780
Green Bay Packers5028220
Houston Texans15870
Indianapolis Colts3719180
Jacksonville Jaguars5230
Kansas City Chiefs3822160
Las Vegas Raiders11470
Los Angeles Chargers2814140
Los Angeles Rams177100
Miami Dolphins9270
Minnesota Vikings2810180
New England Patriots4324190
New Orleans Saints261970
New York Giants4016240
New York Jets11560
Philadelphia Eagles4825230
Pittsburgh Steelers5229230
San Francisco 49ers2211110
Seattle Seahawks3220111
Tampa Bay Buccaneers13670
Tennessee Titans7250
Washington Commanders2210120