Panthers vs Blues Picks and Predictions, November 14

No bet on the Blues on Saturday, November 14. Our number leans to St. Louis by 4.8 points, and a bet needs 5.

The Florida Panthers are at the St. Louis Blues at Enterprise Center, Saturday 14 November, 7:00 PM ET. DraftKings has the Blues at -105 and the Panthers at -115. Our number makes St. Louis a 53.7% winner against the price’s 48.9%. That gap is the whole question, and it falls 0.2 short of the line we bet at.

Panthers vs Blues odds

DraftKings, read 13 November 2026 at 16:33 UTC, has the Panthers -115 and the Blues -105 on the moneyline. Both prices are where they opened. The total is 6.5, over +110 and under -130. On the puck line, Panthers -1.5 is +200 and Blues +1.5 is -245.

The margin is the extra a book builds into both prices so the pair adds to more than 100%. Here the two moneyline prices add to 104.7%. Taken out, the market has Florida at 51.1% and St. Louis at 48.9%. That is close to a coin flip, with the visitors slightly ahead.

Panthers betting form

Florida is 11-7-2 this season and 6-5-2 on the road. The Panthers won 3 of their last 5:

• W 5-3 vs Chicago Blackhawks, Wednesday 4 November
• L 4-3 at Washington Capitals, Saturday 7 November
• L 4-1 at Boston Bruins, Sunday 8 November
• W 4-1 at Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday 10 November
• W 5-4 vs Detroit Red Wings, Thursday 12 November

They score 3.25 goals a game on 29.5 shots, and their goals-against average is 3.00 on 26.1 shots against. The power play runs at 23.8% and the penalty kill at 86.3%. Sam Reinhart leads them with 11 goals. Matthew Tkachuk leads with 24 assists and 28 points.

The net is split. Jacob Markstrom has played 10 games with a .900 save percentage, a 2.56 goals-against average and 1 shutout. Akira Schmid has also played 10, at .883 and 3.10. Cooper Black has 1 game at .857 and 3.15.

ESPN’s injury list has Brad Marchand (knee), Aleksander Barkov (knee) and Jonah Gadjovich (neck) on injured reserve.

Blues betting form

St. Louis is 9-8-2 this season and 5-2-1 at home. The Blues won 2 of their last 5:

• L 3-1 at New York Rangers, Tuesday 3 November
• L 5-4 in overtime at New Jersey Devils, Thursday 5 November
• L 3-1 at Nashville Predators, Saturday 7 November
• W 3-2 vs Detroit Red Wings, Tuesday 10 November
• W 1-0 in a shootout at Utah Mammoth, Thursday 12 November

They score 2.79 goals a game on 27.1 shots, and their goals-against average is 2.90 on 28.9 shots against. The power play is at 20.0% and the penalty kill at 86.0%. Jimmy Snuggerud leads them with 10 goals and 14 points. Robert Thomas leads with 11 assists.

Joel Hofer has carried the net: 14 games, a .926 save percentage, a 2.15 goals-against average and 2 shutouts. Jordan Binnington has played 5, at .851 and 4.27. The gap between those two lines is wide, and who starts is worth checking.

ESPN lists Torey Krug (ankle), Dillon Dube (neck) and Tyler Tucker (knee) on injured reserve.

Panthers vs Blues matchup

Our method uses two halves of 2025-26: the Blues at home and the Panthers on the road. Neutral-site games are left out of both. St. Louis went 20-14-7 at home, a 48.8% win rate, scoring 2.83 a game and allowing 3.07, a deficit of 0.24. Florida went 17-23-1 on the road, a 58.5% road loss rate, scoring 2.88 and allowing 3.73, a deficit of 0.85.

The halves the method leaves out point the other way for Florida. The Panthers went 23-14-3 at home, a 57.5% win rate, scoring 3.30 and allowing 2.95. The Blues went 17-19-5 on the road. Florida at home was a winning team, and none of that is in our number.

Over the full season the two finished 2 points apart, and neither made the playoffs. St. Louis went 37-33-12 with 86 points in the Western Conference and was outscored by 27. Florida went 40-38-4 with 84 points in the Eastern Conference and was outscored by 25.

The Panthers were the better team in close games. They went 21-6-4 in one-goal games and won 8 of the 12 that went past 60 minutes. The Blues went 18-9-12 in one-goal games and won 4 of 16 past regulation. Florida lost by two goals or more in 32 of 82 games; St. Louis in 24 of 82.

St. Louis won both meetings in 2025-26. The first, 6-2 in Florida on Saturday 20 December 2025, is in neither half of our number. The second, 5-4 in St. Louis on Thursday 29 January 2026, is in both halves.

Panthers vs Blues prediction and best bet

Projected score: Florida Panthers 3.0, St. Louis Blues 3.3

Each team’s goals are the average of what it scored and what the other allowed at this venue in 2025-26. The Blues scored 2.83 a game at home and the Panthers allowed 3.73 on the road. The Panthers scored 2.88 on the road and the Blues allowed 3.07 at home. This is a projection of goals from last season, and it is not a bet.

Pick: No bet on Blues -105

No bet. The gap is 4.8 points toward St. Louis, against a threshold of 5. The price is Blues -105 and Panthers -115 at DraftKings, read 13 November 2026 at 16:33 UTC, unchanged from the opening -105 and -115.

Our home win chance is the average of two 2025-26 rates: the Blues’ 48.8% home win rate and the Panthers’ 58.5% road loss rate. Overtime and shootout wins count as wins. The result is 53.7% for St. Louis and 46.3% for Florida, against 48.9% and 51.1% in the price.

The projected score also has St. Louis ahead, by 0.3 goals. That changes nothing: a goal projection says who scores more on average, while a bet needs the price to be wrong by 5 points, and at -105 it is wrong by 4.8. The price is close enough to right.

Every input is from 2025-26. This season is outside the method. Florida is 11-7-2 and St. Louis 9-8-2, and Hofer’s .926 is from 14 games, a sample that proves nothing either way.

What kills the bet

A longer St. Louis price makes this a bet. At +106 or longer the Blues are a bet whatever Florida is priced at. Against Florida at -115, they become a bet at -103 or longer. Two cents of movement is all it takes.

For the Panthers to become the bet, they would have to be +142 or longer, whatever the Blues are priced at. Against the Blues at -105 they are never a bet: at the price that would take, Florida is under 40%, and the method does not bet a side the market gives less than 40%, however wide the gap. That rule exists because the method has no adjustment for opponent strength, and on underdogs its number has run above what teams then did.

Florida is without Barkov and Marchand, both on injured reserve. That is mentioned here, not used: the method was not re-run on games without them. Check the lineups before you bet, and check who starts in goal for St. Louis.

The total and the puck line

The total is 6.5, over +110 and under -130. The Blues’ games went over in 33 of 82 last season, 40.2%. The Panthers’ went over in 42 of 82, 51.2%. Blues home games averaged 5.90 goals and Panthers road games 6.61.

Our number for the over is 45.7%. With the margin removed the market prices the over at 45.7% and the under at 54.3%. The gap is 0.0 points. Pass on the total.

On the puck line, the market has Panthers -1.5 landing 31.9% of the time and Blues +1.5 68.1%. Last season Florida won by two goals or more in 19 of 82 games, and St. Louis lost by two or more in 24 of 82. Averaged, Panthers -1.5 lands 26.2% of the time, a gap of 5.7 points toward Blues +1.5 at -245. Our method stakes the moneyline only, so this is a lean, and the moneyline is no bet. Nothing on this game is a bet at these prices.

Panthers at Blues, Saturday 14 November, 7:00 PM ET, Enterprise Center. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 13 November 2026, 16:33 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025-26 regular season and playoffs. This season’s records, last five games, team and goalie stats, scoring leaders and injury list: ESPN’s game page, read 13 November 2026, 16:33 UTC.