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Armenia

World Cup

Armenia conceded 37 goals in 14 Nations League and World Cup qualifying games up to November 2025, 2.64 a game; only four of the 54 European nations let in more per game. The one price worth having was +270 at home to the Republic of Ireland, and it landed 2-1.

Fourteen games, 3-1-10

Armenia went 2-1-5 in the Nations League, the Georgia tie included, and 1-0-5 in World Cup qualifying. The goals tell it: 12 scored, 37 against. Portugal alone put 14 past them in two qualifiers, 5-0 in Armenia and 9-1 in Portugal. The two-legged Nations League tie with Georgia in March 2025 went 3-0 and 6-1 against them, 9-1 on aggregate.

Armenia, game by game, since September 20242024-09-07 v Latvia 4-12024-09-10 at North Macedonia 0-22024-10-10 at Faroe Islands 2-22024-10-13 v North Macedonia 0-22024-11-14 v Faroe Islands 0-12024-11-17 at Latvia 2-12025-03-20 v Georgia 0-32025-03-23 at Georgia 1-62025-09-06 v Portugal 0-52025-09-09 v Republic of Ireland 2-12025-10-11 at Hungary 0-22025-10-14 at Republic of Ireland 0-12025-11-13 v Hungary 0-12025-11-16 at Portugal 1-9Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
3-1-10 in 14 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite five times, and still short

Was Armenia worth backing when the market liked them? No. As favorite they went 2-1-2 for -1.01 units, and the worst of it came at home: Faroe Islands won 1-0 there in November 2024 with Armenia at -210. As underdog, seven times, they won once and lost six.

Armenia at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 2 (28.6%)Away (7)won 1 (14.3%)Favorite (5)won 2 (40.0%)Underdog (7)won 1 (14.3%)50%
Competitive internationals, September 2024 to July 2026. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: -4.31

Twelve priced games, -4.31 units, 35.9% of the stake. Two months finished ahead: November 2024 by 0.3, and September 2025 by 1.7 on the win over the Irish at +270. October and November 2025 were two defeats each. Against ESPN’s goal line Armenia covered 4 of 12; only six nations covered less often.

One unit on Armenia to win, every game0-4-3-2-1-4.31 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced competitive games (September 2024 to November 2025), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Latvia, then everyone else

Latvia is the one nation Armenia beat twice: 4-1 at home and 2-1 away, both in the Nations League, for +1.99 units. Hungary and North Macedonia each won both meetings, and the Republic of Ireland split theirs, 2-1 to Armenia and 1-0 to Ireland.

The total

Six of Armenia’s priced games went over and six under, an even split with no lean in it.

Questions and answers

How many goals did Armenia concede against Portugal and the rest?

37 in 14 competitive games, 2.64 a game; only four of the 54 European nations conceded more per game, and 14 of the 37 came in two qualifiers against Portugal.

What was Armenia’s best win against the price?

2-1 at home to the Republic of Ireland in September 2025, at +270, the only win among their seven games as underdog.

Did Armenia pay as a five-time favorite?

No: 2-1-2 in those five priced games for -1.01 units, including a 1-0 home defeat to the Faroe Islands at -210.

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