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Montenegro

World Cup1 prediction

Montenegro covered the goal line ESPN posted with each price in 3 of 14 games, 21.4%, the lowest rate of the 54 European nations. Fourteen games produced no draw: four wins and ten defeats.

The record: 4-0-10

Montenegro went 1-0-5 in the Nations League and 3-0-5 in World Cup qualifying, scoring 12 and conceding 26. The Nations League win was the one that paid: 3-1 at home to Türkiye at +500 in November 2024. The qualifying wins came against Gibraltar twice and the Faroe Islands at home.

Montenegro, game by game, since September 20242024-09-06 at Iceland 0-22024-09-09 v Wales 1-22024-10-11 at Türkiye 0-12024-10-14 at Wales 0-12024-11-16 v Iceland 0-22024-11-19 v Türkiye 3-12025-03-22 v Gibraltar 3-12025-03-25 v Faroe Islands 1-02025-06-06 at Czechia 0-22025-09-05 v Czechia 0-22025-09-08 at Croatia 0-42025-10-09 at Faroe Islands 0-42025-11-14 at Gibraltar 2-12025-11-17 v Croatia 2-3Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
4-0-10 in 14 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite five times: 3-0-2

The three wins were Gibraltar twice, 3-1 at home and 2-1 away, and the Faroe Islands 1-0 at home. The two defeats came at plus prices in a three-way market: 2-0 at home to Iceland at +150 in November 2024, and 4-0 in the Faroe Islands at +155 in October 2025, -1.24 units as favorite in all. As underdog Montenegro went 1-0-8; the Türkiye win was the one.

Montenegro at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 3 (42.9%)Away (7)won 1 (14.3%)Favorite (5)won 3 (60.0%)Underdog (9)won 1 (11.1%)50%
Competitive internationals, September 2024 to July 2026. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: -4.24

Fourteen priced games, -4.24 units, 30.3% down. The Türkiye win alone was +5.0, and November 2024 finished +4.0 on it; take that game out and the other 13 lost 9.24. At home Montenegro went 3-0-4 for +1.56; away, 1-0-6 for -5.8.

One unit on Montenegro to win, every game0-5-4-3-2-1-4.24 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 14 priced competitive games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Croatia, Czechia, Wales, Iceland

Croatia, Czechia, Wales and Iceland each won both of their games against Montenegro. Croatia’s were 4-0 and 3-2, the second in Montenegro in November 2025.

The total

Seven over, seven under. We would not bet it.

Questions and answers

Did any European nation cover the goal line less often than Montenegro?

No: 3 times in 14 priced games, 21.4%, the lowest of the 54 European nations.

Did Montenegro draw any game from 2024 to 2025?

None in 14: four wins and ten defeats in the Nations League and World Cup qualifying.

Which Montenegro result paid +5.0 units?

3-1 at home to Türkiye at +500 in November 2024; without it the other 13 priced games lost 9.24.

Past games

  1. Cyprus at Montenegro · 25 SepMontenegro host Cyprus on Friday, September 25, 2026 in League C, Group C2 of the UEFA Nations League at Gradski Stadion Podgorica.

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