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Norway

World Cup2 predictions

Norway won every one of their 14 games as favorite, and one unit a game across 19 priced internationals returned +12.24, the largest total of the 54 European nations. They also scored 3.25 goals a game, more than any of them, and 17 of 18 settled totals went over.

The record: 16-2-2

Nations League 4-1-1, World Cup qualifying 8-0-0, World Cup 4-1-1; 65 goals for, 23 against. Qualifying was eight wins in eight with 37 scored, 11-1 over Moldova among them, and the run reached 12 straight wins. Every game decided by one goal went Norway’s way, five of five.

Norway, game by game, since September 20242024-09-06 at Kazakhstan 0-02024-09-09 v Austria 2-12024-10-10 v Slovenia 3-02024-10-13 at Austria 1-52024-11-14 at Slovenia 4-12024-11-17 v Kazakhstan 5-02025-03-22 at Moldova 5-02025-03-25 at Israel 4-22025-06-06 v Italy 3-02025-06-09 at Estonia 1-02025-09-09 v Moldova 11-12025-10-11 v Israel 5-02025-11-13 v Estonia 4-12025-11-16 at Italy 4-12026-06-16 v Iraq 4-12026-06-22 v Senegal 3-22026-06-26 v France 1-42026-06-30 v Ivory Coast 2-12026-07-05 v Brazil 2-12026-07-11 v England 1-2Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
16-2-2 in 20 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The favorite that always won

Here is what to watch: Norway as favorite. Fourteen times, 14 wins, +9.24 units, the most of the 50 European nations ever favored. Several of those wins were priced plus money, which happens in soccer’s three-way market: 2-1 over Austria at +120, 4-1 in Slovenia at +165, 3-0 over Italy at +160, and 3-2 over Senegal at +145 at the World Cup. As underdog, five times, Norway went 2-1-2: 4-1 in Italy at +230 and 2-1 over Brazil at +370 on 5 July.

Norway at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 7 (100.0%)Away (7)won 5 (71.4%)Favorite (14)won 14 (100.0%)Underdog (5)won 2 (40.0%)50%
Competitive internationals, September 2024 to July 2026. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: +12.24

Nineteen priced games, +12.24 units, 64.4% on the stake. Only one month finished below zero, October 2024 at -0.31, the month of a 5-1 defeat in Austria. Outside the World Cup Norway went 7-0-0 at home and 5-1-1 away, and both made money: +3.81 and +3.89.

One unit on Norway to win, every game0+5+10+12.24 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 19 priced competitive games (September 2024 to July 2026), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The World Cup

Six games: 4-1 over Iraq, 3-2 over Senegal, 4-1 to France, 2-1 over Ivory Coast, 2-1 over Brazil, and then England on 11 July, a 2-1 defeat after extra time at +330. Level after 90 minutes, that game is a draw in these numbers. The six returned +4.54 units.

The total

The over is the lean, and it is the strongest of any European nation: 17 of 18 totals settled in regulation went over, 94.4%, the highest share of the 54. Norway scored 3.25 a game; the defense allowed 1.15.

Questions and answers

Did Norway ever fail to win as favorite?

Never: 14-0-0, +9.24 units, a bigger favorite return than any other European side posted.

How many Norway totals went over?

17 of the 18 games with a total settled in regulation, 94.4%, more often than any other European nation.

How did Norway’s 2026 World Cup end?

With a 2-1 extra-time defeat to England on 11 July at +330, after wins over Iraq, Senegal, Ivory Coast and Brazil; the record files it as a draw.