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Lithuania

World Cup1 prediction

Lithuania did not win in 14 competitive games, and backing them in every one cost 14 units, the biggest loss of the 54 European nations. They were rarely beaten heavily: eight of the 11 defeats came by one goal.

Fourteen games, no win: 0-3-11

Six Nations League games, six defeats, every one of them by one or two goals. World Cup qualifying brought the three draws, 2-2 at home to Finland, 0-0 in Malta and 1-1 at home to Malta, among five defeats. Ten goals for, 26 against.

Lithuania, game by game, since September 20242024-09-06 v Cyprus 0-12024-09-09 at Romania 1-32024-10-12 v Kosovo 1-22024-10-15 v Romania 1-22024-11-15 at Cyprus 1-22024-11-18 at Kosovo 0-12025-03-21 at Poland 0-12025-03-24 v Finland 2-22025-06-07 at Malta 0-02025-09-04 v Malta 1-12025-09-07 v Netherlands 2-32025-10-09 at Finland 1-22025-10-12 v Poland 0-22025-11-17 at Netherlands 0-4Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
0-3-11 in 14 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Close, and still nothing

Eight one-goal defeats is the number that matters. Kosovo won 2-1 and 1-0, Cyprus 1-0 and 2-1, Romania 2-1 in Lithuania, Poland 1-0, Finland 2-1 and the Netherlands 3-2 in Lithuania at +1900. Favorite twice, Lithuania lost 1-0 at home to Cyprus at +140 and drew 1-1 at home to Malta at -160.

Lithuania at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 0 (0.0%)Away (7)won 0 (0.0%)Favorite (2)won 0 (0.0%)Underdog (12)won 0 (0.0%)50%
Competitive internationals, September 2024 to July 2026. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Every stake lost: -14.0

Fourteen priced games, fourteen stakes gone. No month from September 2024 to November 2025 finished in profit. Against the goal line they did better, five covers in 14.

One unit on Lithuania to win, every game0-10-5-14.00 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 14 priced competitive games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Malta and Finland

The three draws came against two nations: Malta twice, Finland once. Every other opponent beat Lithuania in both meetings, the Netherlands by 3-2 and 4-0.

The total

Overs 9, unders 5: a 64.3% over rate that seven nations topped and one matched, too far from first for a lean.

Questions and answers

Did Lithuania win any of their 14 games from September 2024 to November 2025?

No: 0-3-11, every priced stake lost, -14.0 units.

How many of Lithuania’s defeats were by one goal?

Eight of 11, including 3-2 at home to the Netherlands at +1900 in September 2025.

Who did Lithuania draw with?

Finland, 2-2 at home in March 2025, and Malta twice in qualifying, 0-0 away and 1-1 at home.