Game Preview Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets
The Jacksonville Jaguars head to MetLife Stadium on December 14, 2025, to take on the New York Jets in a crucial AFC tilt. Jacksonville remains in the thick of the playoff race, while the Jets are fighting to salvage their season amid quarterback uncertainty and offensive struggles.
This game represents a major test for both teams: the Jaguars bring one of the most balanced rosters in the AFC, while the Jets rely on elite defensive talent to stay competitive. Cold weather and field conditions could also play a role, making this a matchup worth close betting attention.
Stay informed with market updates and betting splits on our real-time NFL odds page.
Odds and Key Information
The Jaguars opened as 3-point road favorites, with the total set at 38.5. The low total reflects expected struggles on the offensive side for the Jets and the strength of both defenses. Early sharp action moved the spread slightly toward Jacksonville, and the market remains cautious about a potential quarterback change in New York.
For tips on betting low totals in cold-weather games, visit our NFL betting strategy hub.
Jacksonville Jaguars Outlook
The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a critical divisional win and have built momentum behind Trevor Lawrence, who continues to develop into one of the league’s most efficient quarterbacks. Travis Etienne gives the offense balance, while the defense has steadily improved, particularly against the run.
Jacksonville ranks in the top ten in takeaways and is among the AFC’s most opportunistic teams in the red zone. Their ability to win on third down and limit mistakes gives them an edge in matchups against less consistent opponents.
For futures bettors, check how Jacksonville stacks up in the AFC playoff race heading into the final stretch of the season.
New York Jets Outlook
The New York Jets continue to lean heavily on their defense, which ranks top five in both pass yards allowed and scoring defense. Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner lead a unit capable of keeping even high-powered offenses in check.
But the offense has been the issue all season. Injuries, inconsistency, and quarterback rotation have resulted in one of the league’s lowest-scoring teams. Breece Hall remains a bright spot, but predictable playcalling and poor protection have kept the offense stuck in neutral.
This game could affect offseason decisions and futures markets like NFL coaches fired odds, as coaching staff changes are likely if the Jets fail to compete down the stretch.
Key Matchup
The primary battle here is Jacksonville’s offense versus New York’s defense. Trevor Lawrence will face tight windows and disguised coverages, and if the Jets’ front four gets pressure without blitzing, it could force mistakes. Etienne’s ability to contribute in the passing game will be critical to keeping drives alive.
On the flip side, the Jaguars should load the box and force the Jets to throw. With New York’s poor pass efficiency, Jacksonville has the clear advantage if they win early downs and force third-and-long.
Looking for prop opportunities in this defensive matchup? View our expert picks on top NFL player props for low-scoring games.
Betting Trends
Jacksonville is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games against AFC opponents and 4-1 ATS on the road this season. The Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games and have scored fewer than 17 points in five of their last six. The under is 7-3 in New York’s last ten home games.
Get more data-driven breakdowns of weekly trends in our NFL blog to track spread and total performance across the slate.
Prediction
This game favors Jacksonville in nearly every key metric. The Jaguars are more consistent offensively and strong enough on defense to take advantage of New York’s weaknesses. While the Jets will keep it close early with solid defense, expect Jacksonville to control the second half with better execution.
Final prediction: Jaguars 20, Jets 13
Spread Pick: Jaguars -3
Total Lean: Under 38.5
For comparisons to other tight totals and AFC matchups, check our latest breakdown of Monday Night Football odds.
Why You Need Expert Picks
With playoff races tightening and line efficiency peaking, finding edge in matchups like this requires insight beyond the surface stats. That’s where expert picks make the difference.
Visit the Handicappers Leaderboard to track the most profitable NFL bettors, then get real-time picks, props, and parlays from our full NFL picks section.
Want futures plays? Check our projections for Super Bowl MVP odds, NFL Coach of the Year, and who makes the playoffs.


