Kellen Moore of the New Orleans Saints is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year at +600 at DraftKings, a 14.3% implied chance. Kevin O’Connell of Minnesota and Klint Kubiak of Las Vegas are next at +900, and both of their teams are 2-0.
The board was read on September 25, 2026, with Week 3 under way. It prices 12 of the league’s 32 head coaches, and Mike Vrabel, who won the award for the 2025 season with New England, is one of the three at +8000.
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach | Team | Odds | Implied chance | 2026 record | 2025 record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Moore | New Orleans Saints | +600 | 14.3% | 1-1 | 6-11 |
| Kevin O’Connell | Minnesota Vikings | +900 | 10.0% | 2-0 | 9-8 |
| Klint Kubiak | Las Vegas Raiders | +900 | 10.0% | 2-0 | 3-14 |
| Aaron Glenn | New York Jets | +2000 | 4.8% | 1-1 | 3-14 |
| Zac Taylor | Cincinnati Bengals | +2200 | 4.3% | 2-0 | 6-11 |
| Dave Canales | Carolina Panthers | +3000 | 3.2% | 1-1 | 8-9 |
| Dan Campbell | Detroit Lions | +4000 | 2.4% | 1-1 | 9-8 |
| DeMeco Ryans | Houston Texans | +4500 | 2.2% | 0-2 | 12-5 |
| Sean Payton | Denver Broncos | +7000 | 1.4% | 1-1 | 14-3 |
| Jim Harbaugh | Los Angeles Chargers | +8000 | 1.2% | 0-2 | 11-6 |
| Mike Vrabel | New England Patriots | +8000 | 1.2% | 1-1 | 14-3 |
| Todd Bowles | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +8000 | 1.2% | 0-2 | 8-9 |
The implied chance is 100 divided by the price plus 100. The 12 prices add up to 56.3%, so close to half of the probability sits with the 20 coaches who have no price posted, including those of the 2-0 Chiefs, Bills, Seahawks, Eagles and 49ers.
This is the market for the 2026 season. ESPN files it under season 2026, the 2025 award has already gone to Vrabel, and every coach on the board is listed as his team’s head coach for 2026 in ESPN’s season coaching records.
The turnaround prices
Four of the five shortest prices belong to coaches whose teams had losing records in 2025. Las Vegas and the Jets both went 3-14, and New Orleans and Cincinnati both went 6-11. Two of those four, the Raiders and the Bengals, are 2-0.
Kubiak and Glenn start from the lowest floor. Moore and Kubiak also meet on September 27, when the Raiders play at New Orleans, so one of the two shortest turnaround cases takes a loss on Sunday unless the game ends in a tie.
The coaches of winning teams
O’Connell is the exception near the top. Minnesota went 9-8 in 2025, and he has won the award before, for 2024, when the Vikings went 14-3 after a 7-10 season.
The coaches of last season’s best records sit at the back of the board. Payton’s Denver and Vrabel’s New England both went 14-3 in 2025, and they are priced at +7000 and +8000. Houston went 12-5 and is 0-2, and Ryans is at +4500.
Recent NFL Coach of the Year winners
| Season | Coach | Team | Record | Record the season before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mike Vrabel | New England Patriots | 14-3 | 4-13 |
| 2024 | Kevin O’Connell | Minnesota Vikings | 14-3 | 7-10 |
Both winners improved by seven games or more, and Vrabel also won the award for 2021 with Tennessee. The Associated Press gives the award. For the 2025 season its panel of 50 media members voted before the playoffs began, so a postseason run did not count toward it.
What the prices say
At +600, Moore needs to win the award 14.3% of the time for a bet to break even. At +2000, Glenn needs 4.8%, and at +8000, Vrabel needs 1.2%. A Coach of the Year bet is worth making only when you rate a coach’s chance higher than the price does.
This week’s NFL games are on our NFL predictions hub, including Raiders at Saints on Sunday. The team markets are on our Super Bowl odds page and the player award on our NFL MVP odds. For paid NFL picks, compare the handicappers on pickstoday.