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Game Preview New Orleans Saints @ New York Jets
The New Orleans Saints visit MetLife Stadium to face the New York Jets in a Week 16 interconference showdown. Both teams enter the matchup with outside playoff hopes, though the Jets face a more urgent scenario in a crowded AFC Wild Card race.
New Orleans relies on its veteran core and defensive discipline, while the Jets hope to lean on elite defensive play and find just enough offense to remain competitive. With a modest total and narrow spread, this game offers potential value in both side and total markets.
Live betting movement is available on the NFL odds and scores page.
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Odds and Key Information
- Spread: Jets -2.5
- Total: 38.5
- Moneyline: Saints +120, Jets -140
- Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
This is one of the lowest totals on the board for Week 16, reflecting the teams’ defensive strengths and inconsistent quarterback play. For movement and betting signals, visit the NFL betting guide.
New Orleans Saints Outlook
The New Orleans Saints come into this game at 7-7 and still in the hunt in the NFC South. Quarterback Derek Carr has been steady but unspectacular, managing games while limiting turnovers. Chris Olave leads the receiving corps, while Alvin Kamara remains the most versatile weapon out of the backfield.
The Saints’ defense continues to be a strength, ranking top 10 in points allowed and opponent third-down conversion rate. They’ve allowed just 17.5 points per game over their last four contests and have been especially tough in the red zone.
New Orleans has covered in four of their last six games, and their strong defensive fundamentals make them a live dog. See weekly updates in the NFL picks section.
New York Jets Outlook
The New York Jets are 6-8 and clinging to playoff hopes. Their season has been defined by elite defensive play and a rotating cast of quarterbacks. Aaron Rodgers remains out, leaving the Jets to rely on a limited passing game and the explosiveness of Breece Hall in the run game.
Defensively, the Jets are top five in passing yards allowed, sacks, and red zone stops. Sauce Gardner continues to erase opposing WR1s, and the pass rush has kept them competitive in most games. However, the offense remains bottom five in scoring, averaging just 16.4 points per game.
New York is 3-4 at home this season and just 2-5 ATS in their last seven. More postseason implications are explored in our NFL playoff picture blog.
Key Matchup Table
| Key Matchup | Edge |
|---|---|
| Quarterback Play | Saints |
| Pass Rush | Jets |
| Run Game Efficiency | Saints |
| Defensive Red Zone Stops | Jets |
| Turnover Margin | Even |
Betting Trends
The New Orleans Saints are 4-2 ATS in their last six games and 5-2 ATS when listed as underdogs of 3 points or less. The under has hit in six of their last eight games on the road.
The New York Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this season. The under is 7-2 in Jets home games.
Find more matchup data and predictive insights in the full NFL Week 16 predictions blog.
Prediction
This game profiles as a defensive battle with long drives, conservative playcalling, and limited explosive plays. Both teams rank top 10 in time of possession allowed and red zone defense, pointing to a likely under scenario.
The edge lies with New Orleans, whose offense has shown more consistency and is less turnover-prone. If Carr can manage the game without mistakes, the Saints’ balanced attack gives them the better path to win outright.
Projected Score: Saints 20, Jets 17
Spread Pick: Saints +2.5
Total Lean: Under 38.5
More low-total game previews are available in our Sunday Night Football odds predictions.
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