East Carolina Pirates

Backing the Pirates to win at home in 2025-26 cost 6.42 units over 15 priced games; only 16 Division I teams lost more that way. On the road the same blind bet came out 3.16 units ahead.

The expensive place was home

Fifteen home moneylines, one unit each, finished 6.42 units down. Only 16 Division I teams did worse backing themselves at home, and one finished level with them. Three short-priced home defeats set the tone: 77-65 to Charleston Southern at -1000 on 21 November, 82-78 to UNC Greensboro at -305 on 6 December and 67-54 to App State at -198 five days later. None covered.

So where did the Pirates pay? On the road. Twelve priced away games returned 3.16 units, on the strength of two upsets as 10.5-point underdogs: 63-59 at North Texas at +440 on 23 January and 76-75 at Florida Atlantic at +455 on 1 February.

Against the spread

East Carolina went 11-20 and covered 12 of 30 lined games, 40.0%. Laying points was the weak side: 3 covers in 11 games as favorites. Taking them, 9 in 19. On the moneyline the split was even: the 10 priced favorite games lost 2.62 units and the 19 underdog games 2.65. The Pirates scored 71.52 a game and conceded 77.45.

November and December did the damage

The first two months went 5-9 straight up, brought 3 covers in 13 and cost 7.28 units on the moneyline. February was the only month in profit, 4-3 and 3.91 units up. Across all 29 priced games the blind unit lost 5.27.

Conference opponents

Charlotte and Temple each won both meetings and covered both. UAB also won twice, yet East Carolina covered the number in each. UTSA was the one side beaten twice.

Over or under

Pirates games split 16 overs to 14 unders across the 30 with a posted total, which is no lean at all.

Questions and answers