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MLSSat 10 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
at
Los Angeles FC
Our call

No bet on Vancouver Whitecaps FC at Los Angeles FC. Our number is within 2 points of the market on all three outcomes, well short of the 5…

Vancouver at FC · 10 OctNo bet
Keylor SantosRead the predictionVancouver at FC prediction

LAFC have been the favorite in 23 of their 28 MLS games this season so far, yet one unit on them every game is 9.48 down, a loss only two clubs exceed. Six of the eight draws came with LAFC favored.

Favored nearly every week, and down on it

Conceding 1.07 goals a game, how is LAFC’s moneyline 9.48 units down? Only Nashville SC allow fewer, and the Vancouver Whitecaps FC match it. The record is 11-8-9, and on the moneyline only the Columbus Crew and San Diego FC are further behind.

LAFC 2026 season to 26 September, game by game2026-02-21 v Inter Miami CF 3-02026-02-28 at Houston Dynamo FC 2-02026-03-07 v FC Dallas 1-02026-03-14 v St. Louis CITY SC 2-02026-03-21 at Austin FC 0-02026-04-04 v Orlando City SC 6-02026-04-11 at Portland Timbers 1-22026-04-19 v San Jose Earthquakes 1-42026-04-22 v Colorado Rapids 0-02026-04-25 at Minnesota United FC 1-02026-05-02 at San Diego FC 2-22026-05-10 v Houston Dynamo FC 1-42026-05-13 at St. Louis CITY SC 1-22026-05-17 at Nashville SC 2-32026-05-24 v Seattle Sounders FC 1-02026-07-17 at LA Galaxy 3-02026-07-22 v Real Salt Lake 3-12026-07-25 v Sporting Kansas City 4-02026-08-01 at Vancouver Whitecaps 1-12026-08-15 v San Diego FC 0-12026-08-19 at Colorado Rapids 0-12026-08-22 v Portland Timbers 1-12026-08-29 at D.C. United 0-02026-09-05 at Real Salt Lake 2-22026-09-09 v Red Bull New York 2-02026-09-12 at Sporting Kansas City 1-32026-09-19 at San Jose Earthquakes 2-22026-09-26 at FC Dallas 0-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
11-8-9 in 28 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites LAFC went 11-6-6. All eleven wins came in that spot and together paid 7.52 units; the six draws and six defeats cost twelve. The ceiling on a win was low: a 4-0 home win over Sporting Kansas City at -450 returned 0.22. The other five games, as underdogs, went 0-2-3.

Home and away

At home LAFC are 8-2-3 and only 0.85 units down. Away it is 3-6-6 and 8.63 down; two clubs have lost more on the road. The home defeats came at short prices: 1-4 to the San Jose Earthquakes at -175, 0-1 to San Diego at -165, and 1-4 to the Houston Dynamo FC at -145.

LAFC at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 8 (61.5%)Away (15)won 3 (20.0%)Favorite (23)won 11 (47.8%)Underdog (5)won 0 (0.0%)50%
2026 season to 26 September. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

August and September

July went 3-0-0 and made 2.01 units. Then August went 0-3-2 and lost five, and September 1-2-2 and lost 3.6. Ten games, one win, 8.6 units gone.

One unit on the LAFC to win, every game0-8-6-4-2+2-9.48 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 28 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The Colorado Rapids, Portland Timbers, San Diego and San Jose each took a win and a draw from their two games with LAFC, two units lost on every one of those pairs. In one-goal games LAFC are 3-6.

The under

Sixteen unders against 12 overs in LAFC’s 28; three clubs have a higher under rate.

Questions and answers

How often have LAFC been the favorite in 2026?

In 23 of 28 MLS games through 26 September, with an 11-6-6 record in those games.

Why is backing LAFC to win down money this season?

Eleven wins as favorite paid 7.52 units; the six draws and six defeats as favorite cost twelve, and the five underdog games cost five more.

How have LAFC done away from home this MLS season?

3-6-6, and 8.63 units down on the moneyline.

Past games

  1. FC at San Jose · 19 SepThe LAFC vs San Jose recap became a test of game state almost immediately.
  2. FC at Kansas City · 12 SepThe Sporting KC vs LAFC recap produced one of Saturday’s largest MLS betting reversals.

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