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MLSSat 10 Oct
Nashville SC
at
Austin FC
SpreadTotalMoneyNSH-0.5U 2.5-115ATX+0.5O 2.5+270
Our call

Bet the draw at +265. The bet holds down to +194.

Nashville at Austin · 10 OctDraw +265
Keylor SantosRead the predictionNashville at Austin prediction

Ten of Austin FC’s 27 MLS games this season have finished level, and every one of them lost the moneyline bet on Austin. A unit on Austin in each of the 27 is still 0.16 up, held there by a road return of 3.7 units that only three clubs have beaten.

Ten draws, seven wins

Austin’s record through 26 September is 7-10-10. The seven wins returned 20.16 units; the 20 games without one cost a unit each. Net, +0.16 units, a figure nine clubs have bettered. The win rate is 25.9%, with 23 clubs above it.

Austin FC 2026 season to 26 September, game by game2026-02-21 v Minnesota United FC 2-22026-03-01 v D.C. United 1-02026-03-07 at Charlotte FC 1-32026-03-14 at Real Salt Lake 1-22026-03-21 v LAFC 0-02026-04-04 at Inter Miami CF 2-22026-04-11 v LA Galaxy 1-22026-04-18 at Toronto FC 3-32026-04-22 at San Jose Earthquakes 1-52026-04-25 v Houston Dynamo FC 2-02026-05-03 v St. Louis CITY SC 2-02026-05-10 at Minnesota United FC 2-22026-05-13 at San Diego FC 0-52026-05-16 v Sporting Kansas City 1-22026-05-23 at St. Louis CITY SC 0-32026-07-22 v Seattle Sounders FC 3-12026-07-25 at Houston Dynamo FC 0-32026-08-01 at Colorado Rapids 0-12026-08-16 v FC Dallas 1-22026-08-19 at Seattle Sounders FC 2-12026-08-22 v Philadelphia Union 1-12026-08-29 at Portland Timbers 2-12026-09-05 v San Jose Earthquakes 1-12026-09-09 v Colorado Rapids 1-12026-09-13 at Vancouver Whitecaps 2-12026-09-19 at FC Dallas 0-02026-09-26 v San Diego FC 3-3Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
7-10-10 in 27 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Draws at home, wins on the road

At home Austin are 4-6-3 and down 3.54 units; 22 clubs have done better on their own ground. Six of the ten draws came there. On the road they are 3-4-7 and up 3.7 units, behind only San Jose Earthquakes, FC Dallas and New York Red Bulls. All three road wins were 2-1, at long prices: at Vancouver Whitecaps FC at +750, at Seattle Sounders FC at +400 and at Portland Timbers at +320.

Austin FC at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 4 (30.8%)Away (14)won 3 (21.4%)Favorite (8)won 3 (37.5%)Underdog (19)won 4 (21.1%)50%
2026 season to 26 September. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite and underdog

As favorite, 8 games: 3-3-2 and 1.14 units lost. The shortest price was -190 at home to Sporting Kansas City, a 2-1 defeat. As underdog, 19 games: 4-7-8 and 1.3 units won; seven clubs returned more in that role, and three were underdogs more often.

One unit on the Austin FC to win, every game0-8-6-4-2+2+0.16 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 27 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

By month and by opponent

March, April and May lost 2.09, 2.4 and 2.55 units, 7.04 in all. August (+4.2) and September (+3.5) recovered it. September was 1-4-0: four draws, and the +750 win in Vancouver. Seattle lost both meetings, worth 5.5 units. Minnesota United FC drew 2-2 with Austin twice.

Austin have scored 1.3 goals a game, a rate 23 clubs beat, and conceded 1.74. Two of the draws were goalless, at home to Los Angeles FC and away at Dallas; two finished 3-3, at Toronto FC and at home to San Diego FC. The heaviest defeats came on the road, 5-1 at San Jose and 5-0 at San Diego. Overs and unders are split 14 to 13, nothing to lean on.

Questions and answers

How many Austin FC games have ended in a draw this season?

10 of 27, six of them at home.

What does one unit on Austin FC every game return?

+0.16 units so far: +3.7 on the road and -3.54 at home.

How has Austin FC done as the underdog?

4-7-8 in 19 games, +1.3 units.

Past games

  1. Austin at Dallas · 19 SepThe FC Dallas vs Austin recap delivered the slate’s clearest low-event result.
  2. Austin at Vancouver · 13 SepThe Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC recap delivered an outright upset while still validating the preview’s preferred total.

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