Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC are 2.93 units up on the moneyline this season so far, and every one of those units came in the seven games they were favored. In the other 20, as underdogs, the bets have returned exactly nothing.

The record, and where the money came from

Through 27 league games, the last on 26 September, Orlando are 10-4-13: ten wins, four draws, thirteen losses. A unit on Orlando in each of those games stands 2.93 up, a return only six MLS clubs have beaten.

Seven times favored, twenty times not

Favored seven times, Orlando went 5-1-1 and made 2.93 units; only Colorado, Nashville and New England made more in that role. The underdog games went 5-3-12, and the five wins paid back the fifteen games that were not wins to the cent. Only Sporting Kansas City have been the underdog more often; CF Montreal match the 20.

Is that an underdog worth backing blind? Take out one result, the 4-3 win at Inter Miami at +650 on 2 May, and the column is 6.5 units down. Not blind, then.

Home and away

At home Orlando are 7-2-4 and 2.33 units up; four clubs have made more at home. Away they are 3-2-9 and still 0.6 units up, because every road win came at a long price: +650 in Miami, +320 at San Jose (4-0, 22 July) and +190 at Atlanta United (3-2, 9 September).

Month by month

March and April went 2-1-6 and cost 4.32 units. May and July went 4-1-2 and made 9.6. August gave 3.29 back at 1-2-2; September, 3-0-2, added 1.93.

Goals and the total

Orlando concede 2.37 goals a game; only FC Cincinnati and Sporting Kansas City concede more. They score 1.78. Sixteen Orlando games have gone over and 11 under. On a 3.5 line the split was 11 over, 10 under; the lean came from the six games set at 2.5, where five went over.

The opponents

Nobody has met Orlando more than twice. The New York Red Bulls won both, starting with 2-1 in Orlando on 21 February, where Orlando were -130: the shortest price they have lost at. Against Inter Miami, a win and a loss were worth 5.5 units.

Questions and answers