FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati games have gone over the total 17 times in 26 this MLS season, a rate only Philadelphia Union have beaten. Cincinnati score 2.12 goals a game, the third most in the league, and concede 2.46, the most.

Watch the total first

In a Cincinnati game we look at the total before the winner. Only Inter Miami CF and Vancouver Whitecaps FC score more; nobody concedes more. The scorelines follow: 4-4 at New York City FC, 6-2 over Orlando City SC, 3-5 at home to Miami and 1-6 at New England Revolution.

From April the books set the line at 3.5 goals in 19 of 21 games, and the over still won 14 of those 19. Only Philadelphia Union games have gone over more often.

Two different teams

At home Cincinnati are 7-3-2, and one unit on them there is 1.82 up; six clubs have done better. Away they are 1-6-7 and 9.9 down, tied with Real Salt Lake for the worst road return in MLS. The single road win was 3-2 at Chicago Fire FC at +310. The goals tell the same story: 34 scored and 24 conceded in 12 home games, 21 scored and 40 conceded in 14 away. On the road we see a defence that has let in 40 goals in 14 games, and we want the over, not the moneyline.

What it does to the moneyline

Every game backed, 8.08 units gone, a return only four clubs have undercut. The underdog spots did it: 15 games, 2-6-7, 7.6 units lost, and only three clubs have lost more as underdogs. As favorite they are 6-3-2 and close to level at 0.48 down; nine of those 11 games were at home, where the favorite’s record is 6-2-1. September went 0-2-2 for 4.0 units. Charlotte FC drew both meetings, 2-2 and 3-3.

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