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Chicago Fire FC

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MLSSat 10 Oct
New York City FC
at
Chicago Fire FC
SpreadTotalMoneyNYC+0.5U 2.5+285CHI-0.5O 2.5-125
Our call

No bet on New York City at Chicago Fire FC. The draw and New York City are each 4.9 points above the market, short of the 5 a bet needs.

NYCFC at Chicago · 10 OctNo bet
Keylor SantosRead the predictionNYCFC at Chicago prediction

Chicago Fire FC have been favored in 19 of 27 league games this season and are still 0.73 units down in those games, four of which ended level. Five of their six draws came away from home, where the Fire are 5-5-4.

Watch the draw

The thing to watch in a Fire game is the draw. Chicago are 13-6-8 through 6 October. Only Nashville, New England and the Vancouver Whitecaps have won a bigger share of their games, and four clubs match it. Backing the Fire to win every time is still 0.43 units down.

Chicago Fire FC 2026 season to 6 October, game by game2026-02-21 at Houston Dynamo FC 1-22026-02-28 v CF Montréal 3-02026-03-07 at Columbus Crew 0-02026-03-14 v D.C. United 1-22026-03-21 at Philadelphia Union 2-12026-04-04 v Nashville SC 1-02026-04-11 v Atlanta United FC 1-02026-04-18 at FC Cincinnati 3-32026-04-25 v Sporting Kansas City 5-02026-05-02 v FC Cincinnati 2-32026-05-09 v Red Bull New York 1-32026-05-13 at D.C. United 3-12026-05-16 at CF Montréal 2-02026-05-23 v Toronto FC 2-12026-07-22 at Inter Miami CF 2-32026-07-25 at New York City FC 1-32026-08-01 v Charlotte FC 2-12026-08-16 v Portland Timbers 2-12026-08-19 at Orlando City SC 2-12026-08-22 at Red Bull New York 1-12026-08-29 at Seattle Sounders FC 2-22026-09-05 at Toronto FC 4-42026-09-09 v Inter Miami CF 1-12026-09-13 v New England Revolution 1-22026-09-19 at Nashville SC 0-32026-09-26 at Charlotte FC 1-02026-10-06 v Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
13-6-8 in 27 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

A draw loses a moneyline bet, and Chicago’s draws arrive when the price is short. Four of the six came with the Fire favored. In their 19 games as favorite they are 10-4-5, 0.73 units down. As underdogs, eight times, they are 3-2-3 and 0.3 up; only five clubs have been underdogs less often.

Home and away

At home the Fire are 8-1-4 and 1.12 units up. On the road they are 5-5-4 and 1.55 down, with five of the six draws.

Chicago Fire FC at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 8 (61.5%)Away (14)won 5 (35.7%)Favorite (19)won 10 (52.6%)Underdog (8)won 3 (37.5%)50%
2026 season to 6 October. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The home losses that hurt came at short prices: 1-3 to the New York Red Bulls at -215 on 9 May, 1-2 to D.C. United at -170 on 14 March, and 2-3 to FC Cincinnati at -145 on 2 May.

How the Fire are finishing

July was 0-0-2. September started with two draws and two defeats and cost 2.15 units. Then the last two games turned it: 1-0 at Charlotte at +185 on 26 September, and 3-1 at home to Vancouver at +175 on 6 October. Those are the two best prices Chicago have won at all season.

One unit on the Chicago Fire FC to win, every game0-4-3-2-1+1-0.43 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 27 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Who they beat

Chicago are 2-0 against CF Montreal and 2-0 against Charlotte, worth 1.83 and 2.35 units. Against Cincinnati, Inter Miami and the Red Bulls they have not won yet: a draw and a loss against each.

The total

Fourteen overs, 13 unders. No lean.

Questions and answers

How often do Chicago Fire games end in a draw?

Six times in 27 this season so far, five of them on the road and four with Chicago the favorite.

Has backing the Fire as favorites paid this season?

No: 10-4-5 in 19 games, 0.73 units down.

Are the Fire a better moneyline bet at home or away?

At home: 8-1-4 and 1.12 units up, against 5-5-4 and 1.55 down on the road.

Past games

  1. Chicago at Nashville · 19 SepThe Nashville vs Chicago Fire recap was the cleanest favorite-style performance on the Soccer slate.
  2. Chicago at New England · 13 SepThe Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution recap rewarded the preview’s protected underdog position with something better than a draw.

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