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Inter Miami CF

MLSNext: vs D.C. United, Sat3 predictions

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MLSSat 10 Oct
D.C. United
at
Inter Miami CF
SpreadTotalMoneyDC+1.5U 3.5+500MIA-1.5O 3.5-270
Our call

Bet D.C. United at +500. The bet holds down to +192.

D.C. United at Miami · 10 OctD.C. United +500
Keylor SantosRead the predictionD.C. United at Miami prediction

Inter Miami score more goals than any club in MLS, 2.37 a game, and have still drawn seven of their 13 home games this season, every one of them as favorite. That has left the home moneyline 6.47 units down, a loss only Minnesota United have topped.

The record

Inter Miami are 12-10-5 through 27 league games: twelve wins, ten draws, five losses. Backing them to win in every one is 3.5 units down.

Inter Miami CF 2026 season to 27 September, game by game2026-02-21 at LAFC 0-32026-03-01 at Orlando City SC 4-22026-03-07 at D.C. United 2-12026-03-14 at Charlotte FC 0-02026-03-22 at New York City FC 3-22026-04-04 v Austin FC 2-22026-04-11 v Red Bull New York 2-22026-04-18 at Colorado Rapids 3-22026-04-22 at Real Salt Lake 2-02026-04-25 v New England Revolution 1-12026-05-02 v Orlando City SC 3-42026-05-09 at Toronto FC 4-22026-05-13 at FC Cincinnati 5-32026-05-17 v Portland Timbers 2-02026-05-24 v Philadelphia Union 6-42026-07-22 v Chicago Fire FC 3-22026-07-25 at CF Montréal 1-02026-08-01 v Columbus Crew 2-22026-08-15 at Nashville SC 1-42026-08-19 at Philadelphia Union 2-22026-08-22 v Toronto FC 1-22026-08-29 v CF Montréal 7-12026-09-05 v Atlanta United FC 2-22026-09-09 at Chicago Fire FC 1-12026-09-12 v Nashville SC 2-22026-09-20 v San Diego FC 2-22026-09-27 at Columbus Crew 1-2Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
12-10-5 in 27 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Draws at home

Seven of the ten draws came in Miami, and Miami were favored in all seven: -340 against Atlanta United, -295 against Austin FC, -285 against San Diego FC, -240 against the New York Red Bulls, -225 against the New England Revolution, -170 against the Columbus Crew and -115 against Nashville. Each one was a lost unit. Add two home defeats, 3-4 to Orlando City at -340 on 2 May and 1-2 to Toronto FC at -300 on 22 August, and the home column reads 4-7-2, 6.47 units down. Only Minnesota United have lost more at home.

Do we lay -300 on a home side that has drawn more than half its home games? The record says we have not been paid for it.

Inter Miami CF at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 4 (30.8%)Away (14)won 8 (57.1%)Favorite (19)won 9 (47.4%)Underdog (8)won 3 (37.5%)50%
2026 season to 27 September. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Away

On the road it is a different club: 8-3-3 and 2.97 units up, a return five clubs have beaten. The best prices won were +200 at New York City FC, 3-2 on 22 March, and +180 at Real Salt Lake, 2-0 on 22 April.

The run, and September

Six straight wins, from 9 May to 25 July, were the high point. September was the low one: 0-4-1, five units lost, four draws in five games.

One unit on the Inter Miami CF to win, every game0-2+2+4-3.50 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 27 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Goals and the total

Miami score 2.37 a game and concede 1.85. Their totals are set high: six games carried a 4.5 line, and five of those went under. Over all 27 games the over has won 16 times.

Questions and answers

How often do Inter Miami draw at home?

Seven times in 13 home games this season so far, each time as the favorite.

Is Inter Miami a better bet home or away?

Away: 2.97 units up on the road against 6.47 down at home.

What happens on a 4.5 total in Inter Miami games?

Five of the six games set at 4.5 went under.

Past games

  1. San Diego at Miami · 20 SepThe Inter Miami vs San Diego recap delivered exactly the type of underdog resistance ScoresAndStats expected.
  2. Nashville at Miami · 12 SepThe Inter Miami vs Nashville recap delivered the exact protection the ScoresAndStats handicap was designed to provide.

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