Toronto FC

Eleven of Toronto FC’s 27 MLS games this season have ended level, eight of them at home, where Toronto have lost only twice. Each draw sinks a bet on Toronto to win, which is why one unit on them every game is 5.55 down.

Look for the draw

In a Toronto game the result we watch for is the draw. Home is 4-8-2: more draws than wins and losses together. The level scores have not been dull: three at 3-3, against Austin FC, Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC, and a 4-4 with Chicago Fire FC. Five were 1-1, both meetings with New York City FC among them, and two 0-0. Six wins in 27 is a 22.2% win rate, tied with Sporting Kansas City and CF Montreal for the lowest in MLS.

Favored, and held level

As favorite Toronto are 2-5-1 in eight games, 3.9 units down, and 22 clubs have done better in that spot. All eight favorite prices came at home, and five of the eight finished level. The only defeat came at -130, 2-1 to Atlanta United FC. In 13 away games the market has not once made Toronto favorite.

Where it paid

The six wins are the whole of the return: 1-0 at FC Cincinnati at +340, 2-1 over Columbus Crew at +200, 3-2 over Colorado Rapids at -105, 2-1 over New England Revolution at +115, 2-1 at Inter Miami CF at +550 and 2-1 over Nashville SC at +245. March (+4.4) and August (+4.65) are the two months in profit. July went 0-3-1 and cost four units. Miami, met twice, has been worth 4.5 units.

Away from home Toronto are 2-3-8 and 2.1 units down. Toronto score 1.44 goals a game and concede 1.89; only four clubs concede more. The total is a coin toss so far, 14 overs to 13 unders.

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