Avalanche at Jets Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

The Avalanche lost 12 of 41 on the road last season. Our number makes them 62.2%: bet Colorado at -133 or better, Winnipeg at +205 or better.

Our number is 62.2% for the Colorado Avalanche and 37.8% for the Winnipeg Jets. No line had been posted for this game as of 28 September 2026. A side becomes a bet when the market, with its margin removed, sits at least 5 points below our number for it.

How the number is built

The method is one clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, with a win in overtime or a shootout counted as a win.

The Jets went 19-16-6 at home last season: 19 wins, 16 regulation losses and 6 losses after regulation. That is a 46.3% home win rate over 41 games. The Avalanche went 29-7-5 on the road, so they lost 12 of 41, a 29.3% road loss rate. The average of 46.3 and 29.3 is 37.8 for the Jets, and 62.2 for the Avalanche.

Colorado’s road record carries this number. They won 29 of 41 away from home, a 70.7% rate, the highest on this page.

It is a new season. Rosters change over a summer, and nothing on this page measures what changed. The 2026-27 season opened on 29 September, and no game from it is in these figures.

The Jets at home, the Avalanche on the road

At home, the Jets scored 3.02 goals a game and allowed 3.10. The Avalanche on the road scored 3.54 and allowed 2.32. That is 0.52 goals a game more scored by the visitor, and 0.78 fewer allowed.

Colorado won more away than at home. Their home record was 26-9-6, a 63.4% win rate, three wins fewer than their 29 on the road. Winnipeg went 16-19-6 away.

Across the full season the Avalanche finished 55-16-11 with 121 points and outscored opponents by 99 goals, scoring 3.68 a game and allowing 2.48. They won by two goals or more in 41 of their 82 games. In the playoffs they swept the Los Angeles Kings 4-0 and beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1, then were swept 4-0 by the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Jets finished 35-35-12 with 82 points and were outscored by 29 goals, scoring 2.82 a game and allowing 3.17. They did not reach the playoffs.

The season series is the one thing here that does not favour Colorado. The teams met four times in 2025-26 and split 2-2, all in regulation. Colorado won 3-2 at home on 19 December and 3-2 in Winnipeg on 26 March. Winnipeg won 3-1 at home on 14 March and 4-2 in Colorado on 28 March. Four games prove nothing about a fifth, and the method uses the 82 home and road games instead.

The price

There is no line yet, so the page states the prices at which this becomes a bet.

The Avalanche need the market to rate them at 57.2% or less, with the margin removed. At -133 or better, that holds whatever Winnipeg is priced at. The Jets need 32.8% or less, which +205 or better guarantees.

Our number makes Colorado a favourite by 12.2 points over even. The bet on them stands at a favourite’s price, up to -133.

Pick: Avalanche at -133 or better, Jets at +205 or better

Our number is 62.2% for Colorado. With no line posted, the call is the pair of prices above. Between them, pass.

It rests on 82 games from last season: 41 at home for the Jets and 41 on the road for the Avalanche.

What changes it

The price. The full page re-reads the line on the day of the game. An Avalanche price slightly worse than -133 may still qualify once the book’s margin is taken out, and that check is made against the posted pair.

The summer is the other thing. A season of home and road results says how these teams played in 2025-26. Nothing on this page says who is in either lineup on 7 October. Check the lineups before you bet.

Avalanche at Jets, Wednesday 7 October, 7:30 PM ET, Canada Life Centre. Results: ESPN, read 28 September 2026 (2025-26 regular season and playoffs). No line posted as of 28 September 2026. Nothing here states who is available.