NHL
SpreadTotalMoneySJ-1.5U 5.5-115STL+1.5O 5.5-105
NHL · Thursday 8 October
Sharks at Blues Final Score: Sharks Win 3-2 in Overtime
Final: San Jose Sharks 3, St. Louis Blues 2 in overtime, Thursday 8 October at Enterprise Center.
Our call was no bet. Before the game this page said: “Our number leans to the Blues by 3.5 points. No bet.”
What decided it
San Jose won the second period by 1, and the game went to overtime. San Jose had 27 shots to St. Louis’s 26, and scored 0 power-play goals to 0.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| St. Louis Blues | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
The last DraftKings moneyline ESPN holds for the game is San Jose Sharks +136, St. Louis Blues -162, with a total of 5.5. St. Louis, the favourite, lost. The 5 goals went under the total.
What comes next
San Jose plays next against the Vancouver Canucks on Thursday 29 October. St. Louis plays next against the Boston Bruins on Thursday 29 October.
The prediction, as published before the game
Everything below is the page as it stood before the game, kept unchanged as the record. It was titled “Sharks at Blues Best Pick, Prediction and Odds”.
Our number leans to the Blues by 3.5 points. No bet.
The St. Louis Blues are -105 and the San Jose Sharks -115 at DraftKings, which is a 48.9% chance for the Blues once the margin is removed. Our number gives the Blues 52.4%. The gap is 3.5 points. A side is a bet when the gap is 5 points or more, so this is a pass. When this page first went up on 29 September the prices were the same, -105 and -115, and so was the call.
How the number is built
One clause: our home win chance is the average of the home team’s 2025-26 home win rate and the visitor’s 2025-26 road loss rate, where a win in overtime or a shootout counts as a win.
The Blues went 20-14-7 at home, meaning 20 wins, 14 regulation losses and 7 losses after regulation. That is a 48.8% home win rate over 41 games. The Sharks went 18-21-2 on the road and lost 23 of 41, a 56.1% road loss rate. The average is 52.4% for the Blues, 47.6% for the Sharks.
The margin is the few points a book builds into both prices so that they add to more than 100%. Removed from -105 and -115, it leaves the Blues at 48.9% and the Sharks at 51.1%.
It is a new season. Rosters change over a summer, and this page has no measure of what changed. Last season is the only evidence in hand: 41 home games for the Blues and 41 road games for the Sharks. No game from the new season is in these figures.
The Blues at home, the Sharks on the road
The Blues at home scored 2.83 goals a game and allowed 3.07. The Sharks on the road scored 3.05 and allowed 3.66. Both sides were outscored in these games, the Sharks by more: 0.61 a game against 0.24.
Neither half is a winning record. The Blues lost 21 of 41 at home, 7 of them after regulation. The Sharks lost 23 of 41 on the road, 21 of them in regulation. Those two extra Sharks losses are what move our number 2.4 points off even.
The two teams finished level on 86 points. The Blues went 37-33-12 and were outscored by 0.33 goals a game. The Sharks went 39-35-8 and were outscored by 0.50 a game. Neither team reached the playoffs.
The Sharks won more than their goals suggest. They played 35 one-goal games and went 22-5-8 in them. We read a record built on one-goal wins as the least repeatable part of a season, and it is one reason not to back the Sharks as the favorite.
The teams met three times in March, and two went to overtime. The Blues won 3-2 in overtime at San Jose on 6 March and 2-1 in overtime at home on 26 March. The Sharks won 5-4 at home on 30 March. Three games are a small sample, and the method does not use them.
Pick: no bet
No bet on the moneyline. The gap is 3.5 points against a 5-point threshold.
The Blues opened at +100 and the Sharks at -120, a gap of 4.6 points. Read on 6 October 2026 at 08:14 UTC, DraftKings via ESPN, the Blues were -105 and the Sharks -115.
What changes it
A longer price on either side. The Blues become a bet at +111 or longer, whatever the Sharks are priced at. The Sharks become a bet at +135 or longer.
A price is only one of the unknowns. This page states nothing about either lineup on 8 October. Check the lineups before you bet.
The total and the puck line
The total is 5.5, over -110 and under -110. The Blues’ games went over 5.5 in 39 of 82 and the Sharks’ in 49 of 82. The Blues’ home games averaged 5.90 goals, the Sharks’ road games 6.71.
The two over rates, 47.6% and 59.8%, average 53.7%. The over at -110 is priced at 50.0% with the margin removed, 3.7 points away. Pass on the total.
The puck line has the Sharks -1.5 at +205 and the Blues +1.5 at -250. The Sharks won by two goals or more in 17 of 82 games. The Blues lost by two or more in 24 of 82. Averaged, Sharks -1.5 lands 25.0% of the time against 31.5% priced, so there is nothing on that side.
The other side reads the other way. Blues +1.5 lands 75.0% of the time against 68.5% priced, a 6.5-point gap. Our call is made on the moneyline, and these are season counts, not the method behind it, so we do not make it a pick. At -250 it risks 250 to win 100.
Sharks at Blues, Thursday 8 October, 8:00 PM ET, Enterprise Center. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 6 October 2026, 08:14 UTC. Results: ESPN, read 6 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.