Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams leads the NFL in passing yards with 1,572 after five games, and he is also the favorite to finish the regular season on top, at +275 on DraftKings, a 26.7% implied chance. Jared Goff of the Detroit Lions is second on both lists, with 1,485 yards and a price of +350.
The prices are DraftKings’ as ESPN listed them at 11:18 UTC on Saturday, October 17, 2026, and the yards are ESPN’s leaders read at 11:22 UTC the same day. Week 6 is under way: Seattle and Denver played on Thursday, and none of the ten quarterbacks below has played this week yet. When this page was last updated, on September 25, Jordan Love led with 844 yards and no price was posted. Last season’s title went to Stafford, with 4,707 yards in 17 games.
The passing yards race this season
| Quarterback | Team | Yards | Games | Yards per game | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | 1,572 | 5 | 314.4 | +275 |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | 1,485 | 5 | 297.0 | +350 |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | 1,408 | 5 | 281.6 | +1400 |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | 1,402 | 5 | 280.4 | +1500 |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | 1,381 | 5 | 276.2 | +800 |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | 1,361 | 5 | 272.2 | +600 |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | 1,299 | 5 | 259.8 | +1200 |
| Kirk Cousins | Las Vegas Raiders | 1,269 | 5 | 253.8 | +10000 |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | 1,268 | 4 | 317.0 | +2000 |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | 1,249 | 5 | 249.8 | +2500 |
Games are each player’s games played in ESPN’s season statistics. Bryce Young has the best average of the ten, 317.0 yards a game, and has played one game fewer than the rest; Carolina has had its bye. Stafford is next at 314.4, so his lead is not only a matter of games played.
The passing yards odds
| Quarterback | Team | Price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | +275 | 26.7% |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | +350 | 22.2% |
| Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals | +600 | 14.3% |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | +800 | 11.1% |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | +1400 | 6.7% |
| C.J. Stroud | Houston Texans | +1500 | 6.2% |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | +2000 | 4.8% |
DraftKings prices 24 quarterbacks, and the rest are at +2500 or longer. The board does not follow the yards table exactly: Burrow, sixth in yards, is third in price, and Love, third in yards, is sixth. The 24 implied chances add up to 122.0%, so the book’s margin is 22.0 points.
How the last title was won
| Quarterback | Team | 2025 yards | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | 4,707 | 17 |
| Jared Goff | Detroit Lions | 4,564 | 17 |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | 4,552 | 17 |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | 4,394 | 17 |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | 4,048 | 17 |
Stafford beat Goff by 143 yards, and Goff finished 12 ahead of Prescott. All five played all 17 games. Justin Herbert, ninth with 3,727 in 16 games, was the only one of last season’s top ten who missed a game. In our reading, availability matters more here than a hot start: two missed games cost more than 550 yards at Stafford’s winning pace.
How to read a passing yards price
A futures price turns into an implied chance with simple arithmetic. At +275, the book is saying 100 / (275 + 100), or 26.7%. At +1400 it is 6.7%, and at -150 it would be 150 / (150 + 100), or 60%. Add every price on the board and the total runs above 100%, which is the book’s margin.
A passing yards futures bet is worth making only when you rate a quarterback’s chance higher than the price does. That rating has to include the two things the tables above show: how many games he will play, and how much his team will throw. We do not tip a side on this market.
Where to go next
Our NFL predictions cover every game this week, and the NFL Week 6 page has the full slate. The other season races are on our rushing yards, receiving yards and MVP pages, and every board is on our NFL futures odds page. To compare the books that post player futures, see our sportsbook reviews.