The Bulldogs covered every one of their seven lined November games in 2025-26 and then 4 of the next 13. By March the season sat at 16 covers and 16 misses, exactly level.
Seven for seven, then the turn
November was 6-1 straight up and 7-0 against the spread, worth 1.93 units on the moneyline. It included an 80-73 win over Virginia on a neutral floor as +230 underdogs. December (4-3, two covers) and January (3-5, two covers) reversed it, and the blind unit lost 3.94 units across those two months.
16-16 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Level against the number
Sixteen covers, 16 misses, no pushes. The split held almost everywhere: 8 of 17 at home, 6 of 11 away, 8 of 17 as favorites, 8 of 15 as underdogs. Straight up, the record was the same 16-16.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Home prices
Where Butler lost money was its own floor. One unit on each of 17 priced home games lost 5.1 units, with Georgetown winning there 77-64 at -250 on 31 January and Creighton 76-59 at -155 on 4 March. Away, the 11 priced games lost 1.95. Over all 32 priced games: 4.69 down.
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The Big East slate
Providence came up three times, a Big East first-round game being the third; Butler won once and covered none. St. John’s won both meetings and covered both. DePaul lost twice, worth 1.91 units, and at Seton Hall the Bulldogs won 77-66 as +225 underdogs.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Total
Eighteen overs, 14 unders: Butler scored 79.38 a game and allowed 77.53, and the total split close to even.
Questions and answers
Did Butler cover the spread in 2025-26?
Exactly half the time: 16 covers and 16 misses in 32 lined games.
How did Butler do against Providence?
Butler beat the Friars once in three games and failed to cover all three times.
When were the Bulldogs worth backing?
November: 7 covers from 7 lined games and 1.93 units on the moneyline.
