South Alabama Basketball Predictions and Odds, 8-6 as Underdogs Skip to content
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South Alabama Jaguars

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Fourteen times in 2025-26 the Jaguars were underdogs; they won eight, and a unit on each returned 6.39, a sum 34 Division I teams topped. Laying points, they covered 6 of 16.

Better as the underdog

South Alabama were underdogs 14 times in 2025-26 and won eight, every one of those wins also a cover. Their underdog cover count reached 10 of 14, 71.4%, a rate 28 teams in Division I bettered and four equalled. The wins came at prices from +105 to +320, the longest 92-88 at Arkansas State. Five of the eight came on the road, including 90-83 at James Madison at +160.

One unit on the Jaguars to win, every game0+2+4+6+4.88 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 29 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Worse as the favorite

Laying points, the Jaguars went 11-5 and covered only 6 of 16, and backing them to win across 15 priced favorite games lost 1.51 units. The short prices that lost: 56-59 at home to Louisiana at -485, 55-68 at home to Southern Miss at -205, and 85-94 to Georgia Southern at -205 in the Sun Belt tournament.

The Jaguars at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (14)won 10 (71.4%)covered 6 of 12 (50.0%)Away (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 9 of 14 (64.3%)Favorite (16)won 11 (68.8%)covered 6 of 16 (37.5%)Underdog (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 10 of 14 (71.4%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home, road, neutral

The road was the better side of the schedule: 8-6 straight up, 9 covers in 14, and 3.07 units on the moneyline over 13 priced games. At home they went 10-4, covered 6 of 12 and made 1.12 units. At neutral sites they went 3-1 but covered once, missing as -6000 favorites against Coppin State among them. The full-season moneyline, 29 priced games, ended 4.88 units ahead; 47 Division I teams ended further ahead.

The Jaguars 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Toledo Rockets 76-742025-11-06 v Alcorn State Braves 76-702025-11-08 v Spring Hill Badgers 99-502025-11-13 v Central Michigan Chippewas 66-642025-11-15 v Coppin State Eagles 72-622025-11-19 at Jacksonville State Gamecocks 71-652025-11-21 at UAB Blazers 72-802025-11-30 at UTSA Roadrunners 82-582025-12-02 v New Mexico State Aggies 77-752025-12-05 at East Tennessee State Buccaneers 65-912025-12-14 v North Texas Mean Green 57-582025-12-17 at UL Monroe Warhawks 96-922025-12-20 at Texas State Bobcats 65-672025-12-29 v Mobile Rams 85-522025-12-31 at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 63-582026-01-03 at Troy Trojans 49-592026-01-10 v Georgia Southern Eagles 87-712026-01-15 v Arkansas State Red Wolves 91-872026-01-17 v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 56-592026-01-22 at James Madison Dukes 90-832026-01-29 v Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 53-482026-01-31 v Georgia State Panthers 69-672026-02-04 at App State Mountaineers 57-652026-02-07 v Buffalo Bulls 81-692026-02-12 at Southern Miss Golden Eagles 84-782026-02-14 at Arkansas State Red Wolves 92-882026-02-16 at Marshall Thundering Herd 80-842026-02-19 v Texas State Bobcats 82-902026-02-21 v Troy Trojans 65-542026-02-25 v UL Monroe Warhawks 89-542026-02-27 v Southern Miss Golden Eagles 55-682026-03-06 v Georgia Southern Eagles 85-94Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
21-11 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Sun Belt opponents

Arkansas State lost twice to South Alabama, both times as the favorite, and the Jaguars covered both for 4.80 units. Texas State won both meetings. Southern Miss split two games.

The Jaguars against the teams they played mostArkansas State Red Wolves2-0, covered 2Georgia Southern Eagles1-1, covered 1Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns1-1, covered 1Southern Miss Golden Eagles1-1, covered 1Texas State Bobcats0-2, covered 1Troy Trojans1-1, covered 1UL Monroe Warhawks2-0, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

After the season

South Alabama lost its NIT first-round game to Auburn.

The total

Sixteen overs against 14 unders across 30 totals; the Jaguars scored 74.59 points a game and allowed 69.81.

Questions and answers

How did South Alabama do as an underdog in 2025-26?

8-6 straight up, 10 covers in 14, and 6.39 units won backing them to win.

How did South Alabama fare when favored?

11-5 straight up but 6 covers in 16, and 1.51 units lost over 15 priced games.

How did South Alabama do against Arkansas State?

Two wins in two meetings, both as underdogs, both covers.

Sun Belt Conference