As we close out the month of October, things are heating up in the NFL at the midpoint of the season. Week 9 opens with a Thursday Night Football matchup that doesn’t seem very important on the surface but could have a significant impact on the AFC moving forward.

That’s right, we’re talking about the Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins for another head-scratching TNF matchup that will definitely make one fanbase turn their attention towards next year.

The Ravens (2-5) snapped a four-game losing streak with a huge win at home over the surging Chicago Bears by two touchdowns. It was the best that Baltimore has looked since Week 2. And, the big news coming out of this weekend’s action, is that Lamar Jackson will return on TNF.

For a team that’s chasing after the Steelers and Bengals in the AFC North, along with an AFC Wild Card spot, and trying to get back to their preseason Super Bowl contender status, Jackson’s return must feel like a Christmas miracle in October.

The Miami Dolphins (2-6) shocked the NFL with their demolishing of the Atlanta Falcons by the score of 34-10. In fact, the game wasn’t even as close as that score indicates. The Dolphins’ offense had arguably their best performance of the year.

Tua and company rebounded in a big way in Week 8 and there’s hope that they can continue this weekend against a suspect defense.

With that said, let’s dive into the Ravens vs. Dolphins Week 9 matchup, take a look at the latest NFL betting odds and trends between these two teams, and make our Thursday Night Football predictions.

What Channel Is Thursday Night Football On?

• Thursday Night Football Channel: Amazon Prime Video
• Thursday Night Football Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Thursday Night Football Announcers: Al Michaels and Kirk Herbstreit

The Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins will kick off at 8:15pm ET live from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.

Thursday Night Football Odds

The following Thursday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for TNF and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

The Week 9 TNF odds opened with the Miami Dolphins listed as a 5.5-point Underdog and sporting a +185  moneyline at the top sports betting sites. Over the last few weeks, these odds have seen some movement as the Dolphins went as high as +8.5 before coming back down to the current spread of 7.5 points.

The Baltimore Ravens went from a -225 favorite to the current high of -425 moneyline. The Total opened at 47.5 points and has slowly worked its way up to the current O/U of 50.5 total points.

Last week, we the Los Angeles Chargers reestablished themselves as an AFC contender with a big win over the Vikings. It was a remarkable contrast of performances from LA as they were blown out in Week 7 against the Colts but looked like a completely different team against the Vikings just four days later.

If you need even more in-depth NFL predictions for the Thursday Night Football games, then check out the industry’s best handicapping membership for free. These handicappers will have dozens of picks for this TNF matchup and the rest of the week, as well.

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Thursday Night Football Betting Trends

The following Thursday Night Football betting trends include data from last season:

Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends

• 1-4 SU in last five games
• 6-0 SU in last six Week 9 games
• 10-4 SU in last 14 October games
• 1-4 ATS in last five games
• Over is 7-1 in last eight games

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

• 2-7 SU in last nine games
• 1-5 SU in last six October games
• 7-3 SU in last 10 AFC North games
• 4-2 ATS in last six games
• 5-2 ATS in last seven Week 9 games
• Over is 5-0 in last five AFC games

Thursday Night Football Matchup

These two NFL teams have played against each other 19 times and it’s the Baltimore Ravens that hold the slight advantage with an 11-8 record. They last played in 2023, and Baltimore crushed the Miami Dolphins by the score of 56-19.

The Ravens are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games versus the Dolphins. Additionally, they’re 10-2 ATS in the last 12 head-to-head meetings along with going 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Miami. The Over is 5-1 in the last six matchups between these two teams.

Thursday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a look at each team in the Thursday Night Football game this week, and make our NFL picks for the winner: 

Baltimore Ravens Thursday Night Football

After five weeks of futility and embarrassment, the Baltimore Ravens regained their swagger from the beginning of the season by smacking the Bears in the mouth with a 30-16 victory. And, they did it with Tyler Huntley as the starting QB.

Baltimore came out of their Bye Week looking like a different team and it showed up on the field. King Henry scored two touchdowns and Huntley made timely plays to get this offense rolling.

The defense even showed up by hold Chicago to just 16 points, which was their lowest output of the season. Keep in mind, this is a Ravens defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in most major defensive categories, which we’ll discuss further below.

Fortunately for the Ravens, they’re facing a defense in Miami that’s also near the bottom in most categories. The Dolphins give up 26.9 ppg which is 26^th in the league. Most notably, they give up 145 rushing yards per game which is the 5^th most in the league.

You can expect the returning Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry to take full advantage of an inferior run defense. While Miami is solid against the pass, allowing just 199.4 ypg, they do struggle against elite QBs. Josh Allen put up 213 yards and 3 TDs in Week 2 versus the Dolphins. I expect similar numbers for Jackson this TNF.

Miami Dolphins Thursday Night Football

As someone who has multiple Miami offensive players on his fantasy football team, I was very happy to see the Dolphins’ offensive explosion last weekend as Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and De’Von Achane had big games and helped me win all three of my fantasy games.

Their performances also helped Miami put up the most points of the season so far. And, they have a chance of keeping the momentum going considering that Baltimore’s defense is atrocious on paper.

Miami averages 21.8 ppg, but Baltimore give sup 30 ppg which is the third most in the NFL. The Ravens also allow the 5^th most yards (379.6 ypg), the 5^th most passing yards (250.7 ypg), and the 10^th most rushing yards (128.9 ypg).

So, this game will come down to Miami’s offensive momentum versus Baltimore’s defensive momentum from last weekend. In addition to Miami’s defensive momentum versus the return of Lamar Jackson.

Who Is Winning Thursday Night Football?

Despite Miami’s performance last weekend, the return of Jackson completely changes the outlook of this TNF game. As one of the best players in the NFL, Jackson makes this offense unstoppable at times. And, for a team that needs to go on a big run to get back into the Playoff hunt, I see Baltimore playing with a desperate aggression on Thursday.

Of the three key wagers, I am the least confident in the Total just because neither team has been consistent. With that said, the Over is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings, 9-0 in Miami’s last nine home games, and 11-2 in Baltimore’s last 13 road games.

The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games versus the Dolphins and 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Miami. While I would prefer a -7 instead of that half point or eight points at some sportsbooks, I do believe that the Ravens could cover. And, I believe that Baltimore will win this game outright.

The Ravens are 9-3 SU in their last 12 meetings versus the Dolphins, 10-4 SU in their last 14 October games, and a perfect 6-0 SU in their last six Week 9 games.

Bet: Baltimore Ravens (-425), Ravens -7.5 (-110), O 50.5 (-110)

Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

Let’s take a look at some of the best Player props and Game for this Thursday Night Football matchup:

Lamar Jackson Anytime TD

Because Miami allows 145 rushing yards per game, and 1.3 rushing TDs per game, in addition to this being Jackson’s return following a three-game absence, I expect the talented QB to score a rushing TD this week. He has just one on the season but that will change on Thursday. Lamar is going to make a statement in his return.

Bet: Lamar Jackson Anytime TD (+180)

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards

• Over 222.5 yards (-110)
• Under 222.5 yards (-110)

The Dolphins are 26^th in the league at 187.9 passing yards per game. Fortunately, the Ravens are 28^th against the pass and allow 250.7 ypg. Tua has gone over this mark just twice in eight games so far. Last week, Caleb Williams tallied 285 passing yards on the Ravens.

I think Tagovailoa is going to find success in the quick passing game and rack up more than 223 passing yards in a losing effort.

Bet: Over 222.5 yards (-110)

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards

• Over 90.5 yards (-110)
• Under 90.5 yards (-110)

As mentioned above, Derrick Henry is going to feast on a Dolphins run defense that allows 145 yards per game. While he’s only gone over this mark twice this season to date, the return of Jackson at QB is going to keep the defense honest. This will allow Henry to face more favorable boxes and hulk smash the Dolphins defense.

Bet: Over 90.5 yards (-110)

Best Bets For Thursday Night Football

The following is our picks as the best bets for Thursday Night Football:

• Baltimore Ravens (-425)
• Derrick Henry Over 90.5 yards (-110)
• Tua Tagovailoa Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-110)

The Ravens will be the better team on Thursday due to Lamar Jackson returning. They’ve won nine of the last 12 meetings with the Dolphins and are a perfect 6-0 in their last six Week 9 football games.

Part of the reason why the Ravens will win is the fact that Miami allows 145 rushing yards per game, which means Henry and Jackson will put up big performances. Look for Henry to cross 100 yards on TNF.

With that said, Miami’s lone hope of staying in the ball game or trying to claw back from being down big, is throwing the ball against the 30^th ranked pass defense. Tua will have at least 223 yards.

If you want to add all three of these Week 9 TNF bets to a parlay card, then you would win $350 on a $100 wager. Check out our best NFL parlay of the week for more exciting multi-wager action. And, if you want even more parlays, then take a look at our best College parlay of the week.

Thursday Night Football Schedule